Friday, August 14, 2015
For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here
Probable Pitchers: Mike Montgomery (4-4) vs. Joe Kelly (4-6)
The Boston Red Sox welcome the Seattle Mariners to Fenway Park on Friday. The Mariners send Mike Montgomery to the mound to face Joe Kelly of the Red Sox. The opening line for this matchup has Seattle at +123 and Boston at -133. The over/under was set at 9. The Mariners, with a 49-66 run line record, cover the spread 43% of the time. They also have a 52-58 over/under record. The Red Sox are 49-65 against the run line and have a 57-52 over/under record. They cover the spread 43% of the time.
The Mariners head into this matchup with a 54-61 record, including 28-28 on the road. Starting pitcher Mike Montgomery holds a 4-4 record with an earned run average of 3.25 and a WHIP of 1.24. He's pitched 80.1 innings thus far while surrendering 69 hits over that time and when he starts, the Mariners are 4-9. Their record against the over/under when he starts is 5-6. His teammates are averaging 3.4 runs a game when he pitches. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.99 and they have given up 332 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .249 against the bullpen while being struck out 319 times and walking 137 times this season. As a team, Seattle has allowed 8.45 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.88 batters per nine. They are 18th in the league in team earned run average at 3.96.
Seattle ranks 27th in the league in team batting average at .242 while hitting .235 on the road. The Mariners hold a .397 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .302 which is good for 27th in baseball. They rank 25th in baseball with 8.23 hits per game and Nelson Cruz leads the team with 140.
With a 27-28 home record, Boston will hope to improve on their 50-64 overall mark. With an earned run average of 5.96, Joe Kelly will come into this game holding a 4-6 record and a 1.55 WHIP. He's pitched 93.2 innings thus far while surrendering 110 hits over that time in which the Red Sox are 7-11. Their record against the over/under when he starts is 9-8. His teammates score an average of 4.7 runs a game when he pitches. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.16 and they have given up 375 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .260 against the Red Sox bullpen while being struck out 326 times and walking 130 times this season. As a team, Boston has allowed 9.42 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.56 batters per nine. They are 28th in the league in team earned run average at 4.62.
They rank 8th in the league in team batting average with a .257 average while hitting .280 at home. The Red Sox hold a .394 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .319 which is good for 12th in baseball. They rank 8th in baseball with 8.86 hits per game and Xander Bogaerts leads the team with 132.
Seattle has a team fielding percentage of .987 after having committed 59 errors with 1,200 assists and 3,122 put outs for the season. For the home team, they hold a .985 team fielding percentage while committing 65 errors, accumulating 1139 assists and compiling 3,034 put outs.
Seattle Mariners Betting Trends
The Seattle Mariners are 52-58 against the over/under so far this season
The Seattle Mariners are 49-66 against the run line so far this season
Boston Red Sox Betting Trends
The Boston Red Sox are 57-52 against the over/under so far this season
The Boston Red Sox are 49-65 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
08/13/15 DH Nelson Cruz Neck "?" Friday vs. Boston Red Sox
07/09/15 P Charlie Furbush Bicep Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (7/9)
05/29/15 P James Paxton Finger Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (5/29)
Boston Red Sox
08/12/15 LF Hanley Ramirez Foot "?" Friday vs Seattle Mariners
08/11/15 P Koji Uehara Wrist Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (8/8), out for season
08/02/15 P Rick Porcello Tricep Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (7/30)
07/25/15 2B Dustin Pedroia Hamstring Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (7/23)
07/11/15 P Clay Buchholz Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (7/11)
05/29/15 P Brandon Workman Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/3)
05/28/15 P Anthony Varvaro Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/29)
05/13/15 P Justin Masterson Arm Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (5/13)
04/04/15 C Christian Vazquez Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/30), out for season
Guy's Pick: Take the Mariners
Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here
Read more articles by Guy Bruhn
Get all of Today's MLB Picks
Get all of Today's Guaranteed Expert MLB Picks