Saturday, August 1, 2015
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Probable Pitchers: Matt Moore (1-2) vs. Joe Kelly (2-6)
The Boston Red Sox welcome the Tampa Bay Rays to Fenway Park on Saturday. The Rays send Matt Moore to the mound to face Joe Kelly of the Red Sox. The opening line for this matchup has Tampa Bay at +123 and Boston at -133. The over/under was set at 8.5. The Rays have a 41-53 over/under record and a 55-48 run line mark, meaning they cover 53% of the time. The Red Sox are 42-61 against the run line and have a 50-49 over/under record. They cover the spread 41% of the time.
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The Rays come into this game with a 51-52 record, and they are 25-24 away from home. Starting pitcher Matt Moore holds a 1-2 record with an earned run average of 7.61 and a WHIP of 1.90. He's pitched 23.2 innings thus far while surrendering 33 hits over that time and when he starts, the Rays are 1-4. Their record against the over/under when he starts is 2-0. He is getting 3.6 runs from the team when he takes the mound. The bullpen's earned run average is currently 3.73 and they've given up 300 hits on the season. Opposing teams are hitting .232 against the Rays bullpen while walking 131 times and striking out 314 times. Tampa Bay is averaging 8.22 strikeouts per game while getting 7.84 hits per nine innings as a team. They rank 7th in baseball in team earned run average at 3.50.
As a team, Tampa Bay is batting .238, good for 27th in the league while putting together a .238 average away from home. Ranked at 25th in the league in on-base percentage, the Rays sit at .303 and they hold a .381 team slugging percentage. Logan Forsythe leads the team in hits with 98 while the team ranks 29th in baseball with 7.87 hits per game.
With a 45-58 overall record, Boston will come into this game 25-27 at home. With an earned run average of 5.94, Joe Kelly will come into this game holding a 2-6 record and a 1.51 WHIP. He's pitched 83.1 innings thus far while surrendering 94 hits over that time in which the Red Sox are 5-11. Their record against the over/under when he starts is 8-8. He is getting 4.1 runs from the team when he takes the mound. The bullpen's earned run average is currently at 3.83 and they have given up 332 hits on the season. Opposing teams are hitting .254 against the Red Sox bullpen while walking 110 times and striking out 289 times. Boston is averaging 7.45 strikeouts per game while getting 9.3 hits per nine innings as a team. They rank 27th in the league in team earned run average at 4.50.
As a team, they are batting .256, good for 9th in the league while putting together a .279 average at home. Ranked at 11th in the league in on-base percentage, the Red Sox sit at .319 and they hold a .392 team slugging percentage. Xander Bogaerts leads the team in hits with 118 while the team ranks 9th in baseball with 8.82 hits a game.
The Rays have committed 57 errors and have combined for 913 assists and 2,766 put outs leading to a .985 team fielding percentage. The Red Sox have committed 61 errors on the season with 1045 assists and 2,748 put outs leading to a team fielding percentage of .984 on the year.
Tampa Bay Rays Betting Trends
The Tampa Bay Rays are 41-53 against the over/under so far this season
The Tampa Bay Rays are 55-48 against the run line so far this season
Boston Red Sox Betting Trends
The Boston Red Sox are 50-49 against the over/under so far this season
The Boston Red Sox are 42-61 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
Tampa Bay Rays
05/10/15 P Drew Smyly Shoulder Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (5/6), out for season
05/09/15 P Alex Cobb Forearm Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/27), out for season
05/03/15 CF Desmond Jennings Knee Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/26)
04/29/15 P Kirby Yates Pectoral Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (4/29)
04/18/15 P Jeff Beliveau Shoulder Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/22), out for season
Boston Red Sox
07/30/15 3B Pablo Sandoval Wrist injured last game, "?" Friday vs. Tampa Bay Rays
07/29/15 CF Mookie Betts Concussion 7-day DL (7/28)
07/25/15 2B Dustin Pedroia Hamstring Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (7/23)
07/11/15 P Clay Buchholz Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (7/11)
05/29/15 P Brandon Workman Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/3)
05/28/15 P Anthony Varvaro Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/29)
05/13/15 P Justin Masterson Arm Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (5/13)
04/04/15 C Christian Vazquez Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/30), out for season
Guy's Pick: Take the Red Sox
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