Sunday, August 2, 2015
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Probable Pitchers: Jake Odorizzi (6-6) vs. Wade Miley (8-9)
The Boston Red Sox host the Tampa Bay Rays at Fenway Park on Sunday. The probable starters are Jake Odorizzi for the Rays and Wade Miley for the Red Sox. The opening line for this matchup has Tampa Bay at +112 and Boston at -122. The over/under was set at 9. The Rays have a 42-53 over/under record and a 55-49 run line mark, meaning they cover 53% of the time. The Red Sox are 43-61 against the run line and have a 51-49 over/under record. They cover the spread 41% of the time.
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The Rays come into this game with a 51-53 record, and they are 25-25 away from home. Jake Odorizzi has a 6-6 record on the season, an earned run average of 2.76 and a 1.11 WHIP. In his starts, the Rays are 8-8 over his 97.2 innings pitched this season while giving up 82 hits during those innings. The Rays are also 4-12 against the over/under in his starts. His teammates are averaging 2.9 runs a game when he pitches. The bullpen has given up 310 hits on the season and have a earned run average of 3.86. Teams are hitting .234 against the bullpen while being struck out 320 times and walking 136 times this season. As a team, Tampa Bay has allowed 7.85 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.23 batters per nine. They are 8th in the league in team earned run average at 3.51.
Tampa Bay ranks 28th in the league in team batting average at .239 while hitting .239 on the road. The Rays on-base percentage sits at .304, which puts them at 25th in the league and they have a team slugging percentage of .380. They rank 29th in baseball with 7.89 hits per game and Evan Longoria leads the team with 100.
With a 46-58 overall record, Boston will come into this game 26-27 at home. Wade Miley has a record of 8-9 while sporting an earned run average of 4.65 on the year with a 1.42 WHIP. In his starts, the Red Sox are 10-11 and he has allowed 123 hits over 120 innings pitched this season. The Red Sox are also 10-11 against the over/under in his starts. His teammates score an average of 4.5 runs a game when he pitches. The bullpen has given up 340 hits on the season and have a team earned run average of 3.85. Teams are hitting .254 against the Red Sox bullpen while being struck out 297 times and walking 113 times this season. As a team, Boston has allowed 9.31 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.46 batters per nine. They are 27th in the league in team earned run average at 4.50.
They rank 10th in the league in team batting average with a .256 average while hitting .278 at home. The Red Sox on-base percentage sits at .319, which puts them at 11th in the league and they have a team slugging percentage of .392. They rank 9th in baseball with 8.81 hits per game and Xander Bogaerts leads the team with 118.
In terms of team defense, the Rays have a fielding percentage of .984 with 59 total errors, 923 assists and 2,790 put outs. For the home team, they hold a .984 team fielding percentage while committing 63 errors, accumulating 1055 assists and compiling 2,775 put outs.
Tampa Bay Rays Betting Trends
The Tampa Bay Rays are 42-53 against the over/under so far this season
The Tampa Bay Rays are 55-49 against the run line so far this season
Boston Red Sox Betting Trends
The Boston Red Sox are 51-49 against the over/under so far this season
The Boston Red Sox are 43-61 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
Tampa Bay Rays
05/10/15 P Drew Smyly Shoulder Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (5/6), out for season
05/09/15 P Alex Cobb Forearm Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/27), out for season
05/03/15 CF Desmond Jennings Knee Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/26)
04/29/15 P Kirby Yates Pectoral Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (4/29)
04/18/15 P Jeff Beliveau Shoulder Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/22), out for season
Boston Red Sox
08/01/15 3B Pablo Sandoval Wrist "?" Sunday vs. Tampa Bay Rays
07/29/15 CF Mookie Betts Concussion 7-day DL (7/28)
07/25/15 2B Dustin Pedroia Hamstring Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (7/23)
07/11/15 P Clay Buchholz Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (7/11)
05/29/15 P Brandon Workman Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/3)
05/28/15 P Anthony Varvaro Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/29)
05/13/15 P Justin Masterson Arm Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (5/13)
04/04/15 C Christian Vazquez Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/30), out for season
Guy's Pick: Take the Red Sox
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