Monday, September 28, 2015
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Probable Pitchers: Marco Estrada (13-8) vs. Chris Tillman (10-11)
The Baltimore Orioles host the Toronto Blue Jays at Oriole Park on Monday. The probable starters are Marco Estrada for the Blue Jays and Chris Tillman for the Orioles. The opening line for this matchup has Toronto at -128 and Baltimore at +118. The over/under was set at 8.5. The Blue Jays have a 73-72 over/under record and a 88-66 run line mark, meaning they cover 57% of the time. The Orioles have a 68-77 over/under record and a 75-79 run line mark, which means they are covering the spread 49% of the time.
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The Blue Jays show up with a 89-65 record, including 37-37 on the road. Marco Estrada has an earned run average of 3.13 and is 13-8 so far on the season while having a 1.08 WHIP. The Blue Jays are 15-11 over his 167 innings pitched and he's also given up 127 hits over that time period. The Blue Jays are also 12-14 against the over/under in his starts. His teammates are averaging 5.1 runs a game when he pitches. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.33 and they have given up 387 base hits on the year. Opposing teams are hitting .227 against the Blue Jays bullpen while walking 120 times and striking out 437 times. Toronto is averaging 6.96 strikeouts per game while getting 8.48 hits per nine innings as a team. They rank 11th in baseball in team earned run average at 3.77.
Toronto ranks 4th in the league in team batting average at .267 while hitting .256 on the road. The Blue Jays hold a .455 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .338 which is good for 1st in baseball. Josh Donaldson leads the team in hits with 178 while the team ranks 8th in baseball with 9.05 hits per game.
Baltimore is 44-30 at home while holding a 76-78 overall record on the season. Chris Tillman is starting this game 10-11 for the season with an earned run average of 5.16 and a WHIP of 1.39. The Orioles have a record of 14-15 over the 160.1 innings he's pitched during which he's given up 164 hits. The Orioles are also 13-14 against the over/under in his starts. His teammates score an average of 4.7 runs a game when he pitches. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.10 and they have given up 430 base hits on the year. Opposing teams are hitting .231 against the Orioles bullpen while walking 179 times and striking out 498 times. Baltimore is averaging 7.75 strikeouts per game while getting 8.8 hits per nine innings as a team. They rank 18th in the league in team earned run average at 4.07.
They rank 23rd in the league in team batting average with a .249 average while hitting .268 at home. The Orioles hold a .418 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .306 which is good for 26th in baseball. Manny Machado leads the team in hits with 172 while the team ranks 21st in baseball with 8.45 hits a game.
Toronto has a team fielding percentage of .985 after having committed 85 errors with 1,526 assists and 4,117 put outs for the season. The Orioles have committed 71 errors on the season with 1,510 assists and 4,091 put outs leading to a team fielding percentage of .987 on the year.
Toronto Blue Jays Betting Trends
The Toronto Blue Jays are 73-72 against the over/under so far this season
The Toronto Blue Jays are 88-66 against the run line so far this season
Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends
The Baltimore Orioles are 68-77 against the over/under so far this season
The Baltimore Orioles are 75-79 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
Toronto Blue Jays
09/12/15 SS Troy Tulowitzki Back out indefinitely
07/29/15 2B Devon Travis Shoulder Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (7/29)
05/10/15 RF Michael Saunders Knee Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (5/10)
04/06/15 2B Maicer Izturis Groin Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/27)
09/27/15 CF Adam Jones Back is upgraded to expected to be in the starting lineup Sunday vs. Boston Red Sox
09/26/15 P Miguel Gonzalez Shoulder Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (8/31); expected to start Tuesday vs Toronto Blue Jays
05/13/15 P Jason Garcia Shoulder Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (5/11)
Tony's Pick: Take the Orioles
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