Toronto Blue Jays at Kansas City Royals Free MLB Picks & ALCS Odds - 10-24-2015
by Guy Bruhn - 10/23/2015
Saturday, October 24, 2015
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Probable Pitchers: Marcus Stroman (5-0) vs. Johnny C (11-13)
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The Kansas City Royals might host the the Toronto Blue Jays at Kauffman Stadium on Saturday in Game 7 of the ALCS pending tonight's outcome. Marcus Stroman is the probable starter for the Blue Jays and he'll face Johnny Cueto of the Royals. The opening line for this matchup has Toronto at -137 and Kansas City at +127. The over/under was set at 7. The Blue Jays have a 84-76 over/under record and a 95-77 run line mark, meaning they cover 55% of the time. The Royals are 94-78 against the run line and have a 79-79 over/under record. They cover the spread 55% of the time.
The Blue Jays show up with a 98-74 record, including 42-43 on the road. Marcus Stroman has an earned run average of 2.72 and is 5-0 so far on the season while having a 1.12 WHIP. The Blue Jays are 6-1 over his 46.1 innings pitched and he's also given up 42 hits over that time period. Against the over/under, the Blue Jays are 5-2 in his starts. His teammates are averaging 8 runs a game when he pitches. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.50 and they have given up 412 base hits on the year. The bullpen has struck out 459 and walked 130 batters this season while opposing teams hit .229 against them. Toronto has a team average of 8.47 hits allowed per game and are averaging 6.94 strikeouts per nine innings. With a team earned run average of 3.87, they are 12th in the league.
Toronto ranks 4th in the league in team batting average at .267 while hitting .260 on the road. The Blue Jays hold a .454 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .338 which is good for 1st in baseball. With 194 hits, Josh Donaldson leads the team while his team ranks 7th in hits per game with 9.08.
Kansas City is 55-31 at home while holding a 101-71 overall record on the season. Johnny Cueto is starting this game 11-13 for the season with an earned run average of 3.44 and a WHIP of 1.13. The Royals have a record of 14-16 over the 212 innings he's pitched during which he's given up 194 hits. Against the over/under, the Royals are 15-15 when he starts. His teammates score an average of 5.1 runs a game when he pitches. The bullpen has an earned run average of 2.72 and they have given up 419 base hits on the year. The Royals bullpen has struck out 502 batters and walked 191 this season while opposing teams have hit .211 against them. Kansas City has a team average of 8.47 hits per game and are averaging 7.39 strikeouts per nine innings. With a team earned run average of 3.78, they are 11th in the league.
They rank 2nd in the league in team batting average with a .269 average while hitting .278 at home. The Royals hold a .414 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .322 which is good for 10th in baseball. With 187 hits, Eric Hosmer leads the team while his team ranks 3rd in hits per game with 9.23.
Toronto has a team fielding percentage of .985 after having committed 88 errors with 1,592 assists and 4,323 put outs for the season. Over the course of this season, the Royals have accumulated 88 errors while having 1,611 assists and 4,356 put outs leading to a .985 fielding percentage.
Toronto Blue Jays Betting Trends
The Toronto Blue Jays are 84-76 against the over/under so far this season
The Toronto Blue Jays are 95-77 against the run line so far this season
Kansas City Royals Betting Trends
The Kansas City Royals are 79-79 against the over/under so far this season
The Kansas City Royals are 94-78 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
Toronto Blue Jays
10/09/15 P Brett Cecil Calf out indefinitely
07/29/15 2B Devon Travis Shoulder Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (7/29)
05/10/15 RF Michael Saunders Knee Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (5/10)
04/06/15 2B Maicer Izturis Groin Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/27)
Kansas City Royals
09/24/15 P Greg Holland Elbow out for season
09/19/15 2B Omar Infante Oblique out indefinitely
07/22/15 P Jason Vargas Elbow Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (7/22); out for season
05/17/15 P Brian Flynn Shoulder Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (5/16)
04/06/15 P Tim Collins Elbow Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (4/6)
Guy's Pick: Take the Blue Jays
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