Friday, June 3, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Archie Bradley vs. John Lackey
The Arizona Diamondbacks visit Wrigley Field on Friday to play the Chicago Cubs. The probable starters are Archie Bradley for the Diamondbacks and John Lackey for the Cubs. The opening line for this matchup has Arizona at +203 and Chicago at -220. The over/under was set at 8. The Diamondbacks have a 31-21-3 over/under record and a 25-30-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 46% of the time. The Cubs are 31-20-0 against the run line and have a 26-23-2 over/under record. They cover the spread 61% of the time.
The Diamondbacks head into this matchup with a 23-32 record, including 14-12 on the road. Starting pitcher Archie Bradley has a 2-0 record with an earned run average of 6.11 and a WHIP of 1.47. He has 15 strikeouts over his 17.2 innings pitched and he has given up 18 hits so far this season. He has allowed 9.2 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.25. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 4.21 and they have given up 195 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .261 against the bullpen while being struck out 165 times and walking 83 times this season. As a team, Arizona has allowed 9.62 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.7 batters per nine. They are 27th in the league in team earned run average at 4.85. The Diamondbacks pitchers have collectively given up 534 base hits and 269 earned runs. They have allowed 63 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Arizona as a pitching staff has walked 198 batters and struck out 427. They walk 3.6 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.7 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.47 and their FIP as a unit is 4.38.
As a team, Arizona is batting .266, good for 7th in the league while putting together a .273 average away from home. The Diamondbacks hold a .438 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .328 which is good for 9th in baseball. They rank 4th in baseball with 9.35 hits per game. Paul Goldschmidt comes into this game hitting .267 and his on-base percentage is at .421. He has 50 hits this season along with 28 runs scored and 33 runs batted in. He's struck out 57 times and has walked 49 times. Jean Segura is hitting .306 and he has an on-base percentage of .338. He has totaled 68 hits so far while scoring 28 runs and he's driven in 27. He has walked 6 times and has struck out 30 times. The Diamondbacks have 514 hits, including 102 doubles and 62 home runs. They've stolen 36 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 12 times. Arizona has walked 165 times this season and they've struck out 446 times as a unit. They've left 389 men on base and have a team OPS of .766. They score 4.56 runs per contest and have scored a total of 251 runs so far this year.
Chicago comes into this matchup with a 19-7 home record and a 36-15 overall mark. With an earned run average of 3.16, John Lackey has a 5-2 record and a 0.97 WHIP. He has 67 strikeouts over the 68.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 49 hits. He has allowed 6.5 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.37. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.18 and they have given up 99 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .197 against the Cubs bullpen while being struck out 148 times and walking 59 times this season. As a team, Chicago has allowed 6.42 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.86 batters per nine. They are 1st in the league in team earned run average at 2.59. The Cubs pitchers as a team have surrendered 330 base knocks and 134 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 39 home runs this year and they give up 0.8 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Chicago as a staff has walked 152 hitters and struck out 454. They give up a walk 3 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.9 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.05 while their FIP as a staff is 3.34.
As a team, they are batting .255, good for 14th in the league while putting together a .240 average at home. The Cubs hold a .419 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .354 which is good for 3rd in baseball. They rank 14th in baseball with 8.61 hits per contest. Ben Zobrist comes into this matchup batting .339 and he has an OBP of .439. He has 60 hits this year along with 37 runs scored and 35 RBI. He's struck out 27 times and has walked on 33 occasions. Kris Bryant is hitting .280 and he has an OBP of .366. He has collected 56 hits so far while he's scored 38 runs and drove in 39. He has earned a walk 23 times and has punched out 48 times. The Cubs as a unit have 439 base hits, including 88 doubles and 59 homers. They have 26 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 15 times. Chicago as a team has walked 236 times this year and they have struck out 419 times. They've had 390 men left on base and have an OPS of .773. They score 5.43 runs per game and have totaled 277 runs so far this season.
Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Trends
The Arizona Diamondbacks are 31-21-3 against the over/under so far this season
The Arizona Diamondbacks are 25-30-0 against the run line so far this season
Chicago Cubs Betting Trends
The Chicago Cubs are 26-23-2 against the over/under so far this season
The Chicago Cubs are 31-20-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
05/28/16 P Shelby Miller Finger 15-day DL (5/25)
05/27/16 P Rubby De La Rosa Elbow 15-day DL (5/26)
05/15/16 RF David Peralta Wrist 15-day DL (5/9)
04/02/16 CF A.J. Pollock Elbow 60-day DL (4/2), out for season
05/31/16 P Jason Hammel Hamstring "?" for next scheduled start Saturday vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
05/18/16 P Joe Nathan Elbow 60-day DL (5/17)
04/08/16 C Kyle Schwarber Knee 60-day DL (4/8); out for season
04/04/16 P Aaron Brooks Hip 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 3B Christian Villanueva Fibula 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Dallas Beeler Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
03/31/16 P Zac Rosscup Shoulder 60-day DL (2/25)
Tony's Pick: Take the Diamondbacks
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