Monday, September 5, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Zack Greinke vs. Kenta Maeda
The Arizona Diamondbacks visit Dodger Stadium on Monday to play the Los Angeles Dodgers. The probable starters are Zack Greinke for the Diamondbacks and Kenta Maeda for the Dodgers. The opening line for this matchup has Arizona at +142 and Los Angeles at -152. The over/under was set at 6.5. The Diamondbacks have a 78-52-5 over/under record and a 52-83-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 39% of the time. The Dodgers are 63-72-0 against the run line and have a 61-65-9 over/under record. They cover the spread 47% of the time.
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The Diamondbacks head into this matchup with a 57-78 record, including 32-35 on the road. Starting pitcher Zack Greinke has a 12-4 record with an earned run average of 4.17 and a WHIP of 1.24. He has 114 strikeouts over his 136 innings pitched and he has given up 140 hits so far this season. He has allowed 9.3 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.64. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 5.16 and they have given up 490 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .270 against the bullpen while being struck out 417 times and walking 223 times this season. As a team, Arizona has allowed 9.84 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.02 batters per nine. They are 30th in the league in team earned run average at 5.18. The Diamondbacks pitchers have collectively given up 1,327 base hits and 698 earned runs. They have allowed 173 home runs this season and they allow 1.3 homers per nine innings as a staff. Arizona as a pitching staff has walked 507 batters and struck out 1,081. They walk 3.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.51 and their FIP as a unit is 4.60.
As a team, Arizona is batting .264, good for 8th in the league while putting together a .262 average away from home. The Diamondbacks hold a .430 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .322 which is good for 16th in baseball. They rank 3rd in baseball with 9.26 hits per game. Jean Segura comes into this game hitting .317 and his on-base percentage is at .365. He has 167 hits this season along with 81 runs scored and 51 runs batted in. He's struck out 85 times and has walked 30 times. Paul Goldschmidt is hitting .300 and he has an on-base percentage of .417. He has totaled 145 hits so far while scoring 89 runs and he's driven in 80. He has walked 96 times and has struck out 117 times. The Diamondbacks have 1,250 hits, including 239 doubles and 150 home runs. They've stolen 114 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 27 times. Arizona has walked 382 times this season and they've struck out 1,177 times as a unit. They've left 943 men on base and have a team OPS of .752. They score 4.61 runs per contest and have scored a total of 622 runs so far this year.
Los Angeles comes into this matchup with a 43-27 home record and a 75-60 overall mark. With an earned run average of 3.38, Kenta Maeda has a 13-8 record and a 1.10 WHIP. He has 148 strikeouts over the 146.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 121 hits. He has allowed 7.4 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.69. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.41 and they have given up 387 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .215 against the Dodgers bullpen while being struck out 501 times and walking 165 times this season. As a team, Los Angeles has allowed 9.52 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.22 batters per nine. They are 22nd in the league in team earned run average at 4.47. The Dodgers pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,060 base knocks and 514 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 138 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Los Angeles as a staff has walked 393 hitters and struck out 1,250. They give up a walk 2.9 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.3 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.20 while their FIP as a staff is 3.65.
As a team, they are batting .265, good for 6th in the league while putting together a .263 average at home. The Dodgers hold a .415 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .326 which is good for 10th in baseball. They rank 9th in baseball with 8.95 hits per contest. Corey Seager comes into this matchup batting .314 and he has an OBP of .376. He has 164 hits this year along with 89 runs scored and 62 RBI. He's struck out 106 times and has walked on 49 occasions. Adrian Gonzalez is hitting .293 and he has an OBP of .359. He has collected 142 hits so far while he's scored 60 runs and drove in 76. He has earned a walk 48 times and has punched out 100 times. The Dodgers as a unit have 1,152 base hits, including 229 doubles and 160 homers. They have 37 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 22 times. Los Angeles as a team has walked 441 times this year and they have struck out 1,089 times. They've had 932 men left on base and have an OPS of .731. They score 4.47 runs per game and have totaled 603 runs so far this season.
Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Trends
The Arizona Diamondbacks are 78-52-5 against the over/under so far this season
The Arizona Diamondbacks are 52-83-0 against the run line so far this season
Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Trends
The Los Angeles Dodgers are 61-65-9 against the over/under so far this season
The Los Angeles Dodgers are 63-72-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
08/07/16 RF David Peralta Wrist 60-day DL (8/6), out for season
07/24/16 SS Nick Ahmed Hip 15-day DL (7/23); out for season
07/17/16 C Chris Herrmann Hamstring 15-day DL (7/17)
07/07/16 P Andrew Chafin Shoulder 15-day DL (7/4)
05/27/16 P Rubby De La Rosa Elbow 60-day DL (5/26)
Los Angeles Dodgers
08/31/16 P Rich Hill Finger "?" next start
08/24/16 P Brett Anderson Finger 15-day DL (8/21)
08/24/16 P Scott Kazmir Neck 15-day DL (8/23)
08/14/16 P Brandon McCarthy Hip 15-day DL (8/14)
08/10/16 LF Scott Van Slyke Wrist 60-day DL (8/8)
07/21/16 P Chris Hatcher Oblique 60-day DL (7/20)
07/19/16 P Hyun-Jin Ryu Elbow 15-day DL (7/9)
07/16/16 LF Trayce Thompson Back 60-day DL (7/10)
06/30/16 P Clayton Kershaw Back 60-day DL (6/27)
05/31/16 P Alex Wood Tricep 60-day DL (5/31)
05/24/16 P Chin-Hui Tsao Tricep 60-day DL (5/22)
04/23/16 P Yimi Garcia Bicep 60-day DL (4/23)
03/31/16 LF Andre Ethier Leg 60-day DL (3/25)
Tony's Pick: Take the Diamondbacks
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