Tuesday, July 26, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Patrick Corbin vs. Matt Garza
The Arizona Diamondbacks visit Miller Park on Tuesday to play the Milwaukee Brewers. The probable starters are Patrick Corbin for the Diamondbacks and Matt Garza for the Brewers. The opening line for this matchup has Arizona at +110 and Milwaukee at -120. The over/under was set at 9. The Diamondbacks have a 52-43-3 over/under record and a 41-57-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 42% of the time. The Brewers are 50-46-0 against the run line and have a 45-45-6 over/under record. They cover the spread 52% of the time.
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The Diamondbacks head into this matchup with a 41-57 record, including 24-22 on the road. Starting pitcher Patrick Corbin has a 4-9 record with an earned run average of 5.23 and a WHIP of 1.54. He has 86 strikeouts over his 115.1 innings pitched and he has given up 131 hits so far this season. He has allowed 10.2 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 5.18. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 4.57 and they have given up 335 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .261 against the bullpen while being struck out 295 times and walking 150 times this season. As a team, Arizona has allowed 9.51 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.02 batters per nine. They are 27th in the league in team earned run average at 4.82. The Diamondbacks pitchers have collectively given up 933 base hits and 471 earned runs. They have allowed 116 home runs this season and they allow 1.2 homers per nine innings as a staff. Arizona as a pitching staff has walked 358 batters and struck out 787. They walk 3.6 men per 9 innings while striking out 8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.46 and their FIP as a unit is 4.42.
As a team, Arizona is batting .265, good for 8th in the league while putting together a .265 average away from home. The Diamondbacks hold a .434 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .322 which is good for 16th in baseball. They rank 4th in baseball with 9.23 hits per game. Jean Segura comes into this game hitting .316 and his on-base percentage is at .364. He has 122 hits this season along with 58 runs scored and 38 runs batted in. He's struck out 61 times and has walked 22 times. Paul Goldschmidt is hitting .289 and he has an on-base percentage of .410. He has totaled 101 hits so far while scoring 58 runs and he's driven in 63. He has walked 69 times and has struck out 91 times. The Diamondbacks have 905 hits, including 168 doubles and 113 home runs. They've stolen 68 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 21 times. Arizona has walked 271 times this season and they've struck out 869 times as a unit. They've left 678 men on base and have a team OPS of .756. They score 4.43 runs per contest and have scored a total of 434 runs so far this year.
Milwaukee comes into this matchup with a 24-24 home record and a 41-55 overall mark. With an earned run average of 5.94, Matt Garza has a 1-4 record and a 1.76 WHIP. He has 22 strikeouts over the 36.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 51 hits. He has allowed 12.6 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.6. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.99 and they have given up 325 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .262 against the Brewers bullpen while being struck out 299 times and walking 135 times this season. As a team, Milwaukee has allowed 9.25 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.38 batters per nine. They are 18th in the league in team earned run average at 4.34. The Brewers pitchers as a team have surrendered 873 base knocks and 409 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 112 home runs this year and they give up 1.2 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Milwaukee as a staff has walked 337 hitters and struck out 695. They give up a walk 3.6 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.43 while their FIP as a staff is 4.56.
As a team, they are batting .244, good for 24th in the league while putting together a .246 average at home. The Brewers hold a .391 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .322 which is good for 18th in baseball. They rank 28th in baseball with 8.01 hits per contest. Jonathan Lucroy comes into this matchup batting .301 and he has an OBP of .362. He has 97 hits this year along with 46 runs scored and 50 RBI. He's struck out 68 times and has walked on 32 occasions. Ryan Braun is hitting .319 and he has an OBP of .375. He has collected 101 hits so far while he's scored 47 runs and drove in 45. He has earned a walk 26 times and has punched out 57 times. The Brewers as a unit have 769 base hits, including 146 doubles and 98 homers. They have 94 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 32 times. Milwaukee as a team has walked 355 times this year and they have struck out 925 times. They've had 656 men left on base and have an OPS of .712. They score 3.98 runs per game and have totaled 382 runs so far this season.
Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Trends
The Arizona Diamondbacks are 52-43-3 against the over/under so far this season
The Arizona Diamondbacks are 41-57-0 against the run line so far this season
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends
The Milwaukee Brewers are 45-45-6 against the over/under so far this season
The Milwaukee Brewers are 50-46-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
07/24/16 SS Nick Ahmed Hip 15-day DL (7/23)
07/17/16 C Chris Herrmann Hamstring 15-day DL (7/17)
07/07/16 P Andrew Chafin Shoulder 15-day DL (7/4)
07/03/16 P Zack Greinke Oblique 15-day DL (6/29)
06/24/16 CF Socrates Brito Toe 15-day DL (6/23)
06/20/16 RF David Peralta Back 15-day DL (6/19)
05/27/16 P Rubby De La Rosa Elbow 15-day DL (5/26)
04/02/16 CF A.J. Pollock Elbow 60-day DL (4/2), out for season
07/25/16 3B Will Middlebrooks Leg injured last game, "?" Monday vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
06/10/16 RF Domingo Santana Elbow 15-day DL (6/8)
05/27/16 P Chris Capuano Elbow 60-day DL (4/2)
04/04/16 LF Rymer Liriano Facial 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Zach Jones Shoulder 60-day DL (3/31)
04/02/16 P Yhonathan Barrios Shoulder 60-day DL (3/25)
04/01/16 P Sean Nolin Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
Josh's Pick: Take the Diamondbacks
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