Thursday, April 28, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Jhoulys Chacin vs. Clay Buchholz
The Atlanta Braves visit Fenway Park on Thursday to play the Boston Red Sox. The probable starters are Jhoulys Chacin for the Braves and Clay Buchholz for the Red Sox. The opening line for this matchup has Atlanta at +203 and Boston at -220. The over/under was set at 8.5. The Braves have a 12-6-2 over/under record and a 9-11-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 45% of the time. The Red Sox are 11-9-0 against the run line and have a 11-9-0 over/under record. They cover the spread 55% of the time.
The Braves head into this matchup with a 4-16 record, including 3-4 on the road. Starting pitcher Jhoulys Chacin has a 0-1 record with an earned run average of 3.18 and a WHIP of 1.06. He has 19 strikeouts over his 17 innings pitched and he has given up 16 hits so far this season. He has allowed 8.5 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 1.22. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 4.86 and they have given up 71 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .256 against the bullpen while being struck out 75 times and walking 39 times this season. As a team, Atlanta has allowed 9.1 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.1 batters per nine. They are 26th in the league in team earned run average at 4.85. The Braves pitchers have collectively given up 182 base hits and 97 earned runs. They have allowed 22 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Atlanta as a pitching staff has walked 78 batters and struck out 162. They walk 3.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.1 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.44 and their FIP as a unit is 4.30.
As a team, Atlanta is batting .227, good for 29th in the league while putting together a .215 average away from home. The Braves hold a .280 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .299 which is good for 27th in baseball. They rank 26th in baseball with 7.65 hits per game. Nick Markakis comes into this game hitting .274 and his on-base percentage is at .391. He has 20 hits this season along with 8 runs scored and 15 runs batted in. He's struck out 14 times and has walked 12 times. Adonis Garcia is hitting .306 and he has an on-base percentage of .375. He has totaled 22 hits so far while scoring 7 runs and he's driven in 6. He has walked 6 times and has struck out 15 times. The Braves have 153 hits, including 27 doubles and 3 home runs. They've stolen 8 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 4 times. Atlanta has walked 63 times this season and they've struck out 174 times as a unit. They've left 143 men on base and have a team OPS of .579. They score 3.25 runs per contest and have scored a total of 65 runs so far this year.
Boston comes into this matchup with a 4-6 home record and a 11-9 overall mark. With an earned run average of 6.33, Clay Buchholz has a 0-2 record and a 1.50 WHIP. He has 17 strikeouts over the 21.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 23 hits. He has allowed 9.7 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.49. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.82 and they have given up 60 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .221 against the Red Sox bullpen while being struck out 85 times and walking 35 times this season. As a team, Boston has allowed 8.3 hits per nine innings while striking out 10.44 batters per nine. They are 23rd in the league in team earned run average at 4.48. The Red Sox pitchers as a team have surrendered 167 base knocks and 90 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 22 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Boston as a staff has walked 79 hitters and struck out 210. They give up a walk 3.9 times per 9 innings while they strike out 10.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.36 while their FIP as a staff is 3.90.
As a team, they are batting .276, good for 3rd in the league while putting together a .258 average at home. The Red Sox hold a .436 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .338 which is good for 4th in baseball. They rank 3rd in baseball with 9.75 hits per contest. David Ortiz comes into this matchup batting .290 and he has an OBP of .405. He has 18 hits this year along with 8 runs scored and 14 RBI. He's struck out 12 times and has walked on 12 occasions. Dustin Pedroia is hitting .318 and he has an OBP of .370. He has collected 27 hits so far while he's scored 15 runs and drove in 7. He has earned a walk 7 times and has punched out 15 times. The Red Sox as a unit have 195 base hits, including 56 doubles and 15 homers. They have 19 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 2 times. Boston as a team has walked 64 times this year and they have struck out 161 times. They've had 141 men left on base and have an OPS of .773. They score 5.1 runs per game and have totaled 102 runs so far this season.
Atlanta Braves Betting Trends
The Atlanta Braves are 12-6-2 against the over/under so far this season
The Atlanta Braves are 9-11-0 against the run line so far this season
Boston Red Sox Betting Trends
The Boston Red Sox are 11-9-0 against the over/under so far this season
The Boston Red Sox are 11-9-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
04/18/16 3B Gordon Beckham Hamstring 15-day DL (4/17)
04/13/16 2B Hector Olivera Legal problems out indefinitely
04/12/16 P Daniel Winkler Elbow 15-day DL (4/11)
04/11/16 RF Ender Inciarte Hamstring 15-day DL (4/9)
04/04/16 P Andrew McKiraha Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Manuel Banuelos Elbow 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Paco Rodrigue Elbow out for season
04/04/16 P Shae Simmons Elbow 15-day DL (3/25)
Boston Red Sox
04/19/16 P Joe Kelly Shoulder 15-day DL (4/19)
04/13/16 3B Pablo Sandoval Shoulder 15-day DL (4/11)
04/04/16 P Brandon Workman Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Carson Smith Elbow 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Eduardo Rodrigue Knee 15-day DL (4/2)
Tony's Pick: Take the Red Sox
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