Saturday, April 30, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Julio Teheran vs. John Lackey
The Atlanta Braves visit Wrigley Field on Saturday to play the Chicago Cubs. The probable starters are Julio Teheran for the Braves and John Lackey for the Cubs. The Braves have a 13-7-2 over/under record and a 10-12-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 46% of the time. The Cubs are 15-6-0 against the run line and have a 12-8-1 over/under record. They cover the spread 71% of the time.
The Braves head into this matchup with a 5-17 record, including 4-5 on the road. Starting pitcher Julio Teheran has a 0-3 record with an earned run average of 4.60 and a WHIP of 1.36. He has 25 strikeouts over his 29.1 innings pitched and he has given up 29 hits so far this season. He has allowed 8.9 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.74. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 4.67 and they have given up 79 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .251 against the bullpen while being struck out 86 times and walking 44 times this season. As a team, Atlanta has allowed 9.27 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.09 batters per nine. They are 27th in the league in team earned run average at 4.98. The Braves pitchers have collectively given up 203 base hits and 109 earned runs. They have allowed 24 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Atlanta as a pitching staff has walked 87 batters and struck out 177. They walk 4 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.1 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.47 and their FIP as a unit is 4.32.
As a team, Atlanta is batting .229, good for 27th in the league while putting together a .223 average away from home. The Braves hold a .288 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .302 which is good for 24th in baseball. They rank 25th in baseball with 7.77 hits per game. Nick Markakis comes into this game hitting .305 and his on-base percentage is at .412. He has 25 hits this season along with 9 runs scored and 19 runs batted in. He's struck out 14 times and has walked 13 times. Adonis Garcia is hitting .284 and he has an on-base percentage of .356. He has totaled 23 hits so far while scoring 7 runs and he's driven in 6. He has walked 7 times and has struck out 17 times. The Braves have 171 hits, including 32 doubles and 4 home runs. They've stolen 9 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 6 times. Atlanta has walked 71 times this season and they've struck out 187 times as a unit. They've left 161 men on base and have a team OPS of .591. They score 3.36 runs per contest and have scored a total of 74 runs so far this year.
Chicago comes into this matchup with a 6-2 home record and a 16-5 overall mark. With an earned run average of 4.97, John Lackey has a 3-1 record and a 1.22 WHIP. He has 27 strikeouts over the 25.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 25 hits. He has allowed 8.9 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.22. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.18 and they have given up 34 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .184 against the Cubs bullpen while being struck out 63 times and walking 18 times this season. As a team, Chicago has allowed 6.32 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.97 batters per nine. They are 3rd in the league in team earned run average at 2.56. The Cubs pitchers as a team have surrendered 131 base knocks and 51 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 14 home runs this year and they give up 0.7 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Chicago as a staff has walked 52 hitters and struck out 186. They give up a walk 2.5 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9 per 9. Their team WHIP is 0.98 while their FIP as a staff is 2.95.
As a team, they are batting .255, good for 11th in the league while putting together a .214 average at home. The Cubs hold a .432 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .362 which is good for 2nd in baseball. They rank 11th in baseball with 8.62 hits per contest. Anthony Rizzo comes into this matchup batting .213 and he has an OBP of .379. He has 16 hits this year along with 15 runs scored and 23 RBI. He's struck out 14 times and has walked on 17 occasions. Kris Bryant is hitting .289 and he has an OBP of .372. He has collected 24 hits so far while he's scored 17 runs and drove in 15. He has earned a walk 9 times and has punched out 18 times. The Cubs as a unit have 181 base hits, including 39 doubles and 27 homers. They have 12 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 5 times. Chicago as a team has walked 114 times this year and they have struck out 164 times. They've had 167 men left on base and have an OPS of .795. They score 6.19 runs per game and have totaled 130 runs so far this season.
Atlanta Braves Betting Trends
The Atlanta Braves are 13-7-2 against the over/under so far this season
The Atlanta Braves are 10-12-0 against the run line so far this season
Chicago Cubs Betting Trends
The Chicago Cubs are 12-8-1 against the over/under so far this season
The Chicago Cubs are 15-6-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
04/18/16 3B Gordon Beckham Hamstring 15-day DL (4/17)
04/13/16 2B Hector Olivera Legal problems out indefinitely
04/12/16 P Daniel Winkler Elbow 15-day DL (4/11)
04/11/16 RF Ender Inciarte Hamstring 15-day DL (4/9)
04/04/16 P Andrew McKiraha Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Manuel Banuelos Elbow 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Paco Rodrigue Elbow out for season
04/04/16 P Shae Simmons Elbow 15-day DL (3/25)
04/28/16 LF Kris Bryant Ankle left last game, "?" Friday vs. Atlanta Braves
04/28/16 C Miguel Montero Back 15-day DL (4/25)
04/08/16 C Kyle Schwarber Knee 60-day DL (4/8); out for season
04/04/16 P Aaron Brooks Hip 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 3B Christian Villanueva Fibula 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Dallas Beeler Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
03/31/16 P Zac Rosscup Shoulder 60-day DL (2/25)
Guy's Pick: Take the Braves
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