Saturday, May 14, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Mike Foltynewicz vs. Dillon Gee
The Atlanta Braves visit Kauffman Stadium on Saturday to play the Kansas City Royals. The probable starters are Mike Foltynewicz for the Braves and Dillon Gee for the Royals. The opening line for this matchup has Atlanta at +160 and Kansas City at -170. The over/under was set at 8.5. The Braves have a 17-12-4 over/under record and a 13-20-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 39% of the time. The Royals are 16-18-0 against the run line and have a 13-19-2 over/under record. They cover the spread 47% of the time.
The Braves head into this matchup with a 8-25 record, including 6-8 on the road. Starting pitcher Mike Foltynewicz has a 0-1 record with an earned run average of 5.06 and a WHIP of 1.41. He has 12 strikeouts over his 10.2 innings pitched and he has given up 13 hits so far this season. He has allowed 11 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 6.28. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 4.62 and they have given up 110 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .248 against the bullpen while being struck out 122 times and walking 61 times this season. As a team, Atlanta has allowed 8.64 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.85 batters per nine. They are 24th in the league in team earned run average at 4.58. The Braves pitchers have collectively given up 285 base hits and 151 earned runs. They have allowed 38 home runs this season and they allow 1.2 homers per nine innings as a staff. Atlanta as a pitching staff has walked 126 batters and struck out 259. They walk 3.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.38 and their FIP as a unit is 4.41.
As a team, Atlanta is batting .226, good for 29th in the league while putting together a .214 average away from home. The Braves hold a .292 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .292 which is good for 27th in baseball. They rank 27th in baseball with 7.61 hits per game. Nick Markakis comes into this game hitting .275 and his on-base percentage is at .373. He has 33 hits this season along with 12 runs scored and 21 runs batted in. He's struck out 22 times and has walked 18 times. Freddie Freeman is hitting .288 and he has an on-base percentage of .387. He has totaled 34 hits so far while scoring 15 runs and he's driven in 10. He has walked 16 times and has struck out 33 times. The Braves have 251 hits, including 47 doubles and 9 home runs. They've stolen 16 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 8 times. Atlanta has walked 95 times this season and they've struck out 266 times as a unit. They've left 227 men on base and have a team OPS of .585. They score 3.06 runs per contest and have scored a total of 101 runs so far this year.
Kansas City comes into this matchup with a 9-5 home record and a 16-18 overall mark. With an earned run average of 2.61, Dillon Gee has a 0-0 record and a 1.26 WHIP. He has 16 strikeouts over the 20.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 18 hits. He has allowed 7.8 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.37. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 2.83 and they have given up 99 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .231 against the Royals bullpen while being struck out 111 times and walking 39 times this season. As a team, Kansas City has allowed 8.39 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.05 batters per nine. They are 14th in the league in team earned run average at 4.10. The Royals pitchers as a team have surrendered 274 base knocks and 134 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 38 home runs this year and they give up 1.2 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Kansas City as a staff has walked 129 hitters and struck out 263. They give up a walk 3.9 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.1 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.37 while their FIP as a staff is 4.43.
As a team, they are batting .255, good for 12th in the league while putting together a .251 average at home. The Royals hold a .390 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .308 which is good for 22nd in baseball. They rank 12th in baseball with 8.59 hits per contest. Eric Hosmer comes into this matchup batting .333 and he has an OBP of .381. He has 43 hits this year along with 18 runs scored and 16 RBI. He's struck out 24 times and has walked on 10 occasions. Alcides Escobar is hitting .248 and he has an OBP of .286. He has collected 36 hits so far while he's scored 10 runs and drove in 9. He has earned a walk 7 times and has punched out 22 times. The Royals as a unit have 292 base hits, including 51 doubles and 32 homers. They have 24 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 9 times. Kansas City as a team has walked 80 times this year and they have struck out 238 times. They've had 227 men left on base and have an OPS of .698. They score 3.59 runs per game and have totaled 122 runs so far this season.
Atlanta Braves Betting Trends
The Atlanta Braves are 17-12-4 against the over/under so far this season
The Atlanta Braves are 13-20-0 against the run line so far this season
Kansas City Royals Betting Trends
The Kansas City Royals are 13-19-2 against the over/under so far this season
The Kansas City Royals are 16-18-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
05/11/16 P Jim Johnson Groin 15-day DL (5/9)
04/13/16 2B Hector Olivera Legal problems out indefinitely
04/12/16 P Daniel Winkler Elbow 15-day DL (4/11)
04/04/16 P Andrew McKiraha Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Manuel Banuelos Elbow 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Paco Rodrigue Elbow out for season
04/04/16 P Shae Simmons Elbow 15-day DL (3/25)
Kansas City Royals
05/12/16 P Chris Young Forearm 15-day DL (5/9)
05/12/16 P Kris Medlen Shoulder 15-day DL (5/10)
05/07/16 3B Mike Moustakas Hand 15-day DL (5/5)
04/10/16 P Mike Minor Shoulder 60-day DL (3/15)
04/04/16 P Tim Collins Elbow 60-day DL; out for season
03/31/16 P Jason Vargas Elbow 60-day DL (3/15)
Tony's Pick: Take the Royals
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