Saturday, April 16, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Bud Norris vs. Tom Koehler
The Atlanta Braves visit Marlins Park on Saturday to play the Miami Marlins. The probable starters are Bud Norris for the Braves and Tom Koehler for the Marlins. The opening line for this matchup has Atlanta at +161 and Miami at -171. The over/under was set at 8. The Braves have a 5-3-1 over/under record and a 2-7-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 22% of the time. The Marlins are 5-2-0 against the run line and have a 4-3-0 over/under record. They cover the spread 71% of the time.
The Braves head into this matchup with a 0-8 record, including 0-3 on the road. Starting pitcher Bud Norris has a 0-2 record with an earned run average of 6.00 and a WHIP of 1.58. He has 8 strikeouts over his 12 innings pitched and he has given up 15 hits so far this season. He has allowed 11.3 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.96. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 7.01 and they have given up 29 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .274 against the bullpen while being struck out 30 times and walking 19 times this season. As a team, Atlanta has allowed 9.23 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.54 batters per nine. They are 29th in the league in team earned run average at 5.88. The Braves pitchers have collectively given up 80 base hits and 51 earned runs. They have allowed 13 home runs this season and they allow 1.5 homers per nine innings as a staff. Atlanta as a pitching staff has walked 36 batters and struck out 74. They walk 4.2 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.5 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.49 and their FIP as a unit is 5.02.
As a team, Atlanta is batting .196, good for 29th in the league while putting together a .194 average away from home. The Braves hold a .269 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .291 which is good for 24th in baseball. They rank 29th in baseball with 6.22 hits per game. Nick Markakis comes into this game hitting .303 and his on-base percentage is at .395. He has 10 hits this season along with 4 runs scored and 8 runs batted in. He's struck out 4 times and has walked 5 times. Adonis Garcia is hitting .300 and he has an on-base percentage of .417. He has totaled 9 hits so far while scoring 3 runs and he's driven in 2. He has walked 5 times and has struck out 9 times. The Braves have 56 hits, including 12 doubles and 3 home runs. They've stolen 4 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 3 times. Atlanta has walked 37 times this season and they've struck out 78 times as a unit. They've left 62 men on base and have a team OPS of .560. They score 2.67 runs per contest and have scored a total of 24 runs so far this year.
Miami comes into this matchup with a 0-2 home record and a 3-4 overall mark. With an earned run average of 2.84, Tom Koehler has a 0-1 record and a 1.90 WHIP. He has 6 strikeouts over the 6.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 8 hits. He has allowed 11.4 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.21. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.07 and they have given up 27 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .245 against the Marlins bullpen while being struck out 25 times and walking 17 times this season. As a team, Miami has allowed 8.86 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.43 batters per nine. They are 19th in the league in team earned run average at 4.14. The Marlins pitchers as a team have surrendered 62 base knocks and 29 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 6 home runs this year and they give up 0.9 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Miami as a staff has walked 31 hitters and struck out 66. They give up a walk 4.4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.48 while their FIP as a staff is 3.88.
As a team, they are batting .284, good for 5th in the league while putting together a .270 average at home. The Marlins hold a .420 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .348 which is good for 7th in baseball. They rank 3rd in baseball with 10.14 hits per contest. Dee Gordon comes into this matchup batting .314 and he has an OBP of .333. He has 11 hits this year along with 5 runs scored and 2 RBI. He's struck out 6 times and has walked on 1 occasion. Giancarlo Stanton is hitting .231 and he has an OBP of .344. He has collected 6 hits so far while he's scored 5 runs and drove in 6. He has earned a walk 5 times and has punched out 8 times. The Marlins as a unit have 71 base hits, including 16 doubles and 4 homers. They have 4 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 3 times. Miami as a team has walked 26 times this year and they have struck out 63 times. They've had 58 men left on base and have an OPS of .768. They score 4.43 runs per game and have totaled 31 runs so far this season.
Atlanta Braves Betting Trends
The Atlanta Braves are 5-3-1 against the over/under so far this season
The Atlanta Braves are 2-7-0 against the run line so far this season
Miami Marlins Betting Trends
The Miami Marlins are 4-3-0 against the over/under so far this season
The Miami Marlins are 5-2-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
04/13/16 2B Hector Olivera Legal problems out indefinitely
04/12/16 P Daniel Winkler Elbow 15-day DL (4/11)
04/11/16 RF Ender Inciarte Hamstring 15-day DL (4/9)
04/04/16 P Andrew McKiraha Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Manuel Banuelos Elbow 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Paco Rodrigue Elbow out for season
04/04/16 P Shae Simmons Elbow 15-day DL (3/25)
04/10/16 P Wei-Yin Chen Elbow "?" next start Friday vs Atlanta Braves
04/04/16 P Raudel Lazo Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
04/03/16 P Carter Capps Arm 60-day DL; out for season
04/03/16 P Mike Dunn Forearm 15-day DL (3/25)
Josh's Pick: Take the Braves
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