Sunday, April 17, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Jhoulys Chacin vs. Jarred Cosart
The Atlanta Braves visit Marlins Park on Sunday to play the Miami Marlins. The probable starters are Jhoulys Chacin for the Braves and Jarred Cosart for the Marlins. The opening line for this matchup has Atlanta at +134 and Miami at -144. The over/under was set at 8. The Braves have a 6-3-1 over/under record and a 3-7-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 30% of the time. The Marlins are 5-3-0 against the run line and have a 5-3-0 over/under record. They cover the spread 63% of the time.
The Braves head into this matchup with a 1-9 record, including 1-4 on the road. Starting pitcher Jhoulys Chacin has a 0-0 record with an earned run average of 0.00 and a WHIP of 0.83. He has 8 strikeouts over his 6 innings pitched and he has given up 5 hits so far this season. He has allowed 7.5 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 0.49. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 5.93 and they have given up 33 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .268 against the bullpen while being struck out 33 times and walking 22 times this season. As a team, Atlanta has allowed 9.52 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.07 batters per nine. They are 29th in the league in team earned run average at 5.59. The Braves pitchers have collectively given up 92 base hits and 54 earned runs. They have allowed 13 home runs this season and they allow 1.3 homers per nine innings as a staff. Atlanta as a pitching staff has walked 41 batters and struck out 78. They walk 4.2 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.1 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.53 and their FIP as a unit is 4.86.
As a team, Atlanta is batting .201, good for 29th in the league while putting together a .204 average away from home. The Braves hold a .270 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .292 which is good for 24th in baseball. They rank 28th in baseball with 6.4 hits per game. Nick Markakis comes into this game hitting .306 and his on-base percentage is at .405. He has 11 hits this season along with 5 runs scored and 9 runs batted in. He's struck out 5 times and has walked 6 times. Adonis Garcia is hitting .324 and he has an on-base percentage of .425. He has totaled 11 hits so far while scoring 3 runs and he's driven in 5. He has walked 5 times and has struck out 9 times. The Braves have 64 hits, including 13 doubles and 3 home runs. They've stolen 5 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 3 times. Atlanta has walked 38 times this season and they've struck out 87 times as a unit. They've left 65 men on base and have a team OPS of .562. They score 3 runs per contest and have scored a total of 30 runs so far this year.
Miami comes into this matchup with a 0-3 home record and a 3-5 overall mark. With an earned run average of 5.79, Jarred Cosart has a 0-0 record and a 1.50 WHIP. He has 3 strikeouts over the 4.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 4 hits. He has allowed 7.7 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.8. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.94 and they have given up 31 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .254 against the Marlins bullpen while being struck out 28 times and walking 17 times this season. As a team, Miami has allowed 8.75 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.38 batters per nine. They are 19th in the league in team earned run average at 4.38. The Marlins pitchers as a team have surrendered 70 base knocks and 35 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 6 home runs this year and they give up 0.8 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Miami as a staff has walked 32 hitters and struck out 75. They give up a walk 4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.42 while their FIP as a staff is 3.61.
As a team, they are batting .289, good for 3rd in the league while putting together a .288 average at home. The Marlins hold a .418 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .355 which is good for 5th in baseball. They rank 2nd in baseball with 10.38 hits per contest. Dee Gordon comes into this matchup batting .325 and he has an OBP of .341. He has 13 hits this year along with 6 runs scored and 2 RBI. He's struck out 6 times and has walked on 1 occasion. Giancarlo Stanton is hitting .233 and he has an OBP of .351. He has collected 7 hits so far while he's scored 5 runs and drove in 7. He has earned a walk 6 times and has punched out 9 times. The Marlins as a unit have 83 base hits, including 19 doubles and 4 homers. They have 4 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 3 times. Miami as a team has walked 31 times this year and they have struck out 67 times. They've had 71 men left on base and have an OPS of .773. They score 4.25 runs per game and have totaled 34 runs so far this season.
Atlanta Braves Betting Trends
The Atlanta Braves are 6-3-1 against the over/under so far this season
The Atlanta Braves are 3-7-0 against the run line so far this season
Miami Marlins Betting Trends
The Miami Marlins are 5-3-0 against the over/under so far this season
The Miami Marlins are 5-3-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
04/13/16 2B Hector Olivera Legal problems out indefinitely
04/12/16 P Daniel Winkler Elbow 15-day DL (4/11)
04/11/16 RF Ender Inciarte Hamstring 15-day DL (4/9)
04/04/16 P Andrew McKiraha Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Manuel Banuelos Elbow 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Paco Rodrigue Elbow out for season
04/04/16 P Shae Simmons Elbow 15-day DL (3/25)
04/10/16 P Wei-Yin Chen Elbow "?" next start Friday vs Atlanta Braves
04/04/16 P Raudel Lazo Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
04/03/16 P Carter Capps Arm 60-day DL; out for season
04/03/16 P Mike Dunn Forearm 15-day DL (3/25)
Josh's Pick: Take the Marlins
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