Wednesday, June 22, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Matt Wisler vs. Adam Conley
The Atlanta Braves visit Marlins Park on Wednesday to play the Miami Marlins. The probable starters are Matt Wisler for the Braves and Adam Conley for the Marlins. The opening line for this matchup has Atlanta at +148 and Miami at -158. The over/under was set at 8.5. The Braves have a 31-32-6 over/under record and a 30-39-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 44% of the time. The Marlins are 34-36-0 against the run line and have a 36-33-1 over/under record. They cover the spread 49% of the time.
The Braves head into this matchup with a 23-46 record, including 14-19 on the road. Starting pitcher Matt Wisler has a 3-7 record with an earned run average of 4.23 and a WHIP of 1.18. He has 60 strikeouts over his 83 innings pitched and he has given up 76 hits so far this season. He has allowed 8.2 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.61. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 4.46 and they have given up 231 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .253 against the bullpen while being struck out 246 times and walking 117 times this season. As a team, Atlanta has allowed 8.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.86 batters per nine. They are 23rd in the league in team earned run average at 4.44. The Braves pitchers have collectively given up 590 base hits and 308 earned runs. They have allowed 75 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Atlanta as a pitching staff has walked 243 batters and struck out 546. They walk 3.5 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.9 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.33 and their FIP as a unit is 4.22.
As a team, Atlanta is batting .235, good for 27th in the league while putting together a .240 average away from home. The Braves hold a .332 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .302 which is good for 26th in baseball. They rank 26th in baseball with 8.03 hits per game. Nick Markakis comes into this game hitting .242 and his on-base percentage is at .331. He has 62 hits this season along with 25 runs scored and 39 runs batted in. He's struck out 43 times and has walked 34 times. Freddie Freeman is hitting .279 and he has an on-base percentage of .365. He has totaled 72 hits so far while scoring 33 runs and he's driven in 26. He has walked 30 times and has struck out 76 times. The Braves have 554 hits, including 108 doubles and 32 home runs. They've stolen 39 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 17 times. Atlanta has walked 204 times this season and they've struck out 544 times as a unit. They've left 503 men on base and have a team OPS of .634. They score 3.36 runs per contest and have scored a total of 232 runs so far this year.
Miami comes into this matchup with a 17-17 home record and a 37-33 overall mark. With an earned run average of 3.94, Adam Conley has a 3-4 record and a 1.41 WHIP. He has 72 strikeouts over the 75.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 72 hits. He has allowed 8.6 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.84. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.66 and they have given up 198 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .229 against the Marlins bullpen while being struck out 239 times and walking 108 times this season. As a team, Miami has allowed 8.44 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.63 batters per nine. They are 13th in the league in team earned run average at 4.02. The Marlins pitchers as a team have surrendered 584 base knocks and 278 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 61 home runs this year and they give up 0.9 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Miami as a staff has walked 265 hitters and struck out 597. They give up a walk 3.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.36 while their FIP as a staff is 3.88.
As a team, they are batting .272, good for 3rd in the league while putting together a .258 average at home. The Marlins hold a .410 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .329 which is good for 7th in baseball. They rank 3rd in baseball with 9.41 hits per contest. Marcell Ozuna comes into this matchup batting .322 and he has an OBP of .374. He has 84 hits this year along with 44 runs scored and 43 RBI. He's struck out 58 times and has walked on 22 occasions. Martin Prado is hitting .321 and he has an OBP of .366. He has collected 84 hits so far while he's scored 31 runs and drove in 22. He has earned a walk 19 times and has punched out 31 times. The Marlins as a unit have 659 base hits, including 117 doubles and 61 homers. They have 19 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 10 times. Miami as a team has walked 198 times this year and they have struck out 524 times. They've had 526 men left on base and have an OPS of .739. They score 4.14 runs per game and have totaled 290 runs so far this season.
Atlanta Braves Betting Trends
The Atlanta Braves are 31-32-6 against the over/under so far this season
The Atlanta Braves are 30-39-0 against the run line so far this season
Miami Marlins Betting Trends
The Miami Marlins are 36-33-1 against the over/under so far this season
The Miami Marlins are 34-36-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
06/20/16 LF Mallex Smith Thumb 15-day DL (6/19)
06/08/16 P Williams Perez Rotator Cuff 15-day DL (6/7)
06/03/16 P Mike Foltynewicz Elbow 15-day DL (6/1)
06/02/16 3B Gordon Beckham Hamstring 15-day DL (6/2)
05/27/16 2B Hector Olivera Suspension 82 game suspension, eligible to return (8/1)
04/12/16 P Daniel Winkler Elbow 15-day DL (4/11)
04/04/16 P Andrew McKiraha Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Paco Rodrigue Elbow out for season
04/04/16 P Shae Simmons Elbow 15-day DL (3/25)
05/26/16 P Bryan Morris Back 15-day DL (5/25)
05/15/16 P Kendry Flores Shoulder 15-day DL (5/15)
04/29/16 2B Dee Gordon Suspension expected to miss 80 games
04/04/16 P Raudel Lazo Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
04/03/16 P Carter Capps Arm 60-day DL; out for season
Guy's Pick: Take the Braves
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