Friday, September 23, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Matt Wisler vs. Andrew Cashner
The Atlanta Braves visit Marlins Park on Friday to play the Miami Marlins. The probable starters are Matt Wisler for the Braves and Andrew Cashner for the Marlins. The opening line for this matchup has Atlanta at +130 and Miami at -140. The over/under was set at 8.5. The Braves have a 79-65-8 over/under record and a 79-73-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 52% of the time. The Marlins are 72-80-0 against the run line and have a 75-72-5 over/under record. They cover the spread 47% of the time.
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The Braves head into this matchup with a 61-91 record, including 35-42 on the road. Starting pitcher Matt Wisler has a 7-12 record with an earned run average of 4.93 and a WHIP of 1.32. He has 107 strikeouts over his 146 innings pitched and he has given up 148 hits so far this season. He has allowed 9.1 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.7. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 4.07 and they have given up 515 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .248 against the bullpen while being struck out 514 times and walking 244 times this season. As a team, Atlanta has allowed 8.85 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.58 batters per nine. They are 26th in the league in team earned run average at 4.57. The Braves pitchers have collectively given up 1,345 base hits and 695 earned runs. They have allowed 169 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Atlanta as a pitching staff has walked 518 batters and struck out 1,152. They walk 3.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.36 and their FIP as a unit is 4.33.
As a team, Atlanta is batting .254, good for 17th in the league while putting together a .249 average away from home. The Braves hold a .381 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .320 which is good for 17th in baseball. They rank 15th in baseball with 8.75 hits per game. Freddie Freeman comes into this game hitting .303 and his on-base percentage is at .398. He has 170 hits this season along with 93 runs scored and 83 runs batted in. He's struck out 161 times and has walked 82 times. Nick Markakis is hitting .272 and he has an on-base percentage of .348. He has totaled 156 hits so far while scoring 64 runs and he's driven in 87. He has walked 68 times and has struck out 97 times. The Braves have 1,330 hits, including 283 doubles and 111 home runs. They've stolen 69 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 33 times. Atlanta has walked 472 times this season and they've struck out 1,160 times as a unit. They've left 1,105 men on base and have a team OPS of .702. They score 3.97 runs per contest and have scored a total of 604 runs so far this year.
Miami comes into this matchup with a 38-36 home record and a 76-76 overall mark. With an earned run average of 5.27, Andrew Cashner has a 5-11 record and a 1.52 WHIP. He has 103 strikeouts over the 123 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 132 hits. He has allowed 9.7 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.77. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.59 and they have given up 451 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .231 against the Marlins bullpen while being struck out 527 times and walking 239 times this season. As a team, Miami has allowed 8.46 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.67 batters per nine. They are 8th in the league in team earned run average at 3.97. The Marlins pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,274 base knocks and 598 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 141 home runs this year and they give up 0.9 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Miami as a staff has walked 553 hitters and struck out 1,306. They give up a walk 3.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.35 while their FIP as a staff is 3.91.
As a team, they are batting .264, good for 5th in the league while putting together a .251 average at home. The Marlins hold a .395 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .322 which is good for 14th in baseball. They rank 4th in baseball with 9.11 hits per contest. Martin Prado comes into this matchup batting .309 and he has an OBP of .365. He has 177 hits this year along with 68 runs scored and 70 RBI. He's struck out 66 times and has walked on 49 occasions. Christian Yelich is hitting .299 and he has an OBP of .374. He has collected 164 hits so far while he's scored 74 runs and drove in 95. He has earned a walk 64 times and has punched out 134 times. The Marlins as a unit have 1,385 base hits, including 249 doubles and 121 homers. They have 61 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 24 times. Miami as a team has walked 416 times this year and they have struck out 1,151 times. They've had 1,104 men left on base and have an OPS of .717. They score 4.07 runs per game and have totaled 619 runs so far this season.
Atlanta Braves Betting Trends
The Atlanta Braves are 79-65-8 against the over/under so far this season
The Atlanta Braves are 79-73-0 against the run line so far this season
Miami Marlins Betting Trends
The Miami Marlins are 75-72-5 against the over/under so far this season
The Miami Marlins are 72-80-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
09/22/16 P Jose A. Ramirez Suspension 3-game suspension, eligible to return Saturday vs. Miami Marlins
09/18/16 P Rob Whalen Shoulder 60-day DL (8/25)
09/17/16 C A.J. Pierzynski Hamstring 60-day DL (9/11)
09/14/16 C Williams Perez Tricep "?" for next start
09/13/16 P Mike Foltynewicz Calf "?" for next start
09/02/16 P Eric O'Flaherty Elbow 60-day DL (8/18)
08/31/16 P Arodys Vizcaino Shoulder 15-day DL (8/29)
08/01/16 P Matt Marksberry Shoulder 60-day DL (7/31)
04/12/16 P Daniel Winkler Elbow 60-day DL (4/11)
04/04/16 P Andrew McKirahan Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Paco Rodriguez Elbow out for season
08/14/16 P Adam Conley Finger 15-day DL (8/14)
05/15/16 P Kendry Flores Shoulder 15-day DL (5/15)
04/04/16 P Raudel Lazo Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
Tony's Pick: Take the Braves
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