Thursday, August 11, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Roberto Hernandez vs. Matt Garza
The Atlanta Braves visit Miller Park on Thursday to play the Milwaukee Brewers. The probable starters are Roberto Hernandez for the Braves and Matt Garza for the Brewers. The opening line for this matchup has Atlanta at +148 and Milwaukee at -158. The over/under was set at 9. The Braves have a 50-56-7 over/under record and a 55-58-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 49% of the time. The Brewers are 58-53-0 against the run line and have a 51-53-7 over/under record. They cover the spread 52% of the time.
The Braves head into this matchup with a 43-70 record, including 25-31 on the road. Starting pitcher Roberto Hernandez has a 1-0 record with an earned run average of 5.40 and a WHIP of 1.40. He has 4 strikeouts over his 5 innings pitched and he has given up 6 hits so far this season. He has allowed 10.8 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.73. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.95 and they have given up 360 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .243 against the bullpen while being struck out 381 times and walking 183 times this season. As a team, Atlanta has allowed 8.51 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.56 batters per nine. They are 20th in the league in team earned run average at 4.28. The Braves pitchers have collectively given up 966 base hits and 486 earned runs. They have allowed 122 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Atlanta as a pitching staff has walked 395 batters and struck out 858. They walk 3.5 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.33 and their FIP as a unit is 4.30.
As a team, Atlanta is batting .244, good for 25th in the league while putting together a .239 average away from home. The Braves hold a .360 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .307 which is good for 26th in baseball. They rank 23rd in baseball with 8.33 hits per game. Freddie Freeman comes into this game hitting .275 and his on-base percentage is at .363. He has 117 hits this season along with 60 runs scored and 46 runs batted in. He's struck out 128 times and has walked 52 times. Nick Markakis is hitting .273 and he has an on-base percentage of .348. He has totaled 115 hits so far while scoring 45 runs and he's driven in 61. He has walked 50 times and has struck out 70 times. The Braves have 941 hits, including 191 doubles and 72 home runs. They've stolen 55 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 26 times. Atlanta has walked 324 times this season and they've struck out 859 times as a unit. They've left 797 men on base and have a team OPS of .667. They score 3.55 runs per contest and have scored a total of 401 runs so far this year.
Milwaukee comes into this matchup with a 30-27 home record and a 49-62 overall mark. With an earned run average of 5.03, Matt Garza has a 3-4 record and a 1.53 WHIP. He has 32 strikeouts over the 53.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 63 hits. He has allowed 10.6 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.57. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.84 and they have given up 369 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .256 against the Brewers bullpen while being struck out 350 times and walking 152 times this season. As a team, Milwaukee has allowed 9.14 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.46 batters per nine. They are 17th in the league in team earned run average at 4.24. The Brewers pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,000 base knocks and 464 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 126 home runs this year and they give up 1.2 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Milwaukee as a staff has walked 384 hitters and struck out 816. They give up a walk 3.5 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.5 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.41 while their FIP as a staff is 4.45.
As a team, they are batting .247, good for 22nd in the league while putting together a .248 average at home. The Brewers hold a .397 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .326 which is good for 12th in baseball. They rank 27th in baseball with 8.11 hits per contest. Jonathan Villar comes into this matchup batting .302 and he has an OBP of .388. He has 123 hits this year along with 61 runs scored and 41 RBI. He's struck out 121 times and has walked on 58 occasions. Ryan Braun is hitting .323 and he has an OBP of .389. He has collected 113 hits so far while he's scored 56 runs and drove in 57. He has earned a walk 36 times and has punched out 62 times. The Brewers as a unit have 900 base hits, including 167 doubles and 119 homers. They have 120 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 35 times. Milwaukee as a team has walked 423 times this year and they have struck out 1,063 times. They've had 765 men left on base and have an OPS of .723. They score 4.05 runs per game and have totaled 450 runs so far this season.
Atlanta Braves Betting Trends
The Atlanta Braves are 50-56-7 against the over/under so far this season
The Atlanta Braves are 55-58-0 against the run line so far this season
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends
The Milwaukee Brewers are 51-53-7 against the over/under so far this season
The Milwaukee Brewers are 58-53-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
08/09/16 P Chris Withrow Elbow 15-day DL (8/5)
08/02/16 P Julio Teheran Back 15-day DL (7/31)
08/01/16 P Matt Marksberry Shoulder 15-day DL (7/31)
07/16/16 P Arodys Vizcaino Oblique 15-day DL (7/15)
07/12/16 C Tyler Flowers Hand 15-day DL (7/10)
06/28/16 P John Gant Oblique 15-day DL (6/27)
06/20/16 LF Mallex Smith Thumb 15-day DL (6/20)
06/08/16 P Williams Perez Rotator Cuff 60-day DL (6/7)
04/12/16 P Daniel Winkler Elbow 60-day DL (4/11)
04/04/16 P Andrew McKirahan Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Paco Rodriguez Elbow out for season
08/09/16 P Junior Guerra Elbow 15-day DL (8/4)
07/25/16 3B Will Middlebrooks Leg 15-day DL (7/25)
06/10/16 RF Domingo Santana Elbow 15-day DL (6/8)
05/27/16 P Chris Capuano Elbow 60-day DL (4/2)
04/04/16 LF Rymer Liriano Facial 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Zach Jones Shoulder 60-day DL (3/31)
04/02/16 P Yhonathan Barrios Shoulder 60-day DL (3/25)
04/01/16 P Sean Nolin Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
Josh's Pick: Take the Braves
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