Monday, August 8, 2016
For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here
Probable Pitchers: Robert Whalen vs. Zach Davies
The Atlanta Braves visit Miller Park on Monday to play the Milwaukee Brewers. The probable starters are Robert Whalen for the Braves and Zach Davies for the Brewers. The opening line for this matchup has Atlanta at +153 and Milwaukee at -163. The over/under was set at 9. The Braves have a 49-54-7 over/under record and a 52-58-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 47% of the time. The Brewers are 58-50-0 against the run line and have a 50-51-7 over/under record. They cover the spread 54% of the time.
The Braves head into this matchup with a 40-70 record, including 22-31 on the road. Starting pitcher Robert Whalen has a 1-0 record with an earned run average of 7.20 and a WHIP of 1.60. He has 5 strikeouts over his 5 innings pitched and he has given up 4 hits so far this season. He has allowed 7.2 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 7.33. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 4.03 and they have given up 353 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .246 against the bullpen while being struck out 366 times and walking 180 times this season. As a team, Atlanta has allowed 8.57 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.52 batters per nine. They are 22nd in the league in team earned run average at 4.35. The Braves pitchers have collectively given up 945 base hits and 479 earned runs. They have allowed 120 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Atlanta as a pitching staff has walked 386 batters and struck out 829. They walk 3.5 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.5 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.34 and their FIP as a unit is 4.34.
As a team, Atlanta is batting .244, good for 25th in the league while putting together a .238 average away from home. The Braves hold a .360 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .307 which is good for 25th in baseball. They rank 23rd in baseball with 8.31 hits per game. Freddie Freeman comes into this game hitting .280 and his on-base percentage is at .366. He has 116 hits this season along with 57 runs scored and 46 runs batted in. He's struck out 126 times and has walked 49 times. Nick Markakis is hitting .269 and he has an on-base percentage of .345. He has totaled 110 hits so far while scoring 43 runs and he's driven in 57. He has walked 49 times and has struck out 69 times. The Braves have 914 hits, including 188 doubles and 70 home runs. They've stolen 55 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 25 times. Atlanta has walked 315 times this season and they've struck out 840 times as a unit. They've left 782 men on base and have a team OPS of .667. They score 3.54 runs per contest and have scored a total of 389 runs so far this year.
Milwaukee comes into this matchup with a 30-25 home record and a 49-59 overall mark. With an earned run average of 3.57, Zach Davies has a 9-4 record and a 1.19 WHIP. He has 89 strikeouts over the 111 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 103 hits. He has allowed 8.4 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.83. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.89 and they have given up 360 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .258 against the Brewers bullpen while being struck out 343 times and walking 149 times this season. As a team, Milwaukee has allowed 9.16 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.5 batters per nine. They are 16th in the league in team earned run average at 4.24. The Brewers pitchers as a team have surrendered 972 base knocks and 450 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 122 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Milwaukee as a staff has walked 375 hitters and struck out 796. They give up a walk 3.5 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.5 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.41 while their FIP as a staff is 4.45.
As a team, they are batting .249, good for 21st in the league while putting together a .251 average at home. The Brewers hold a .400 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .328 which is good for 9th in baseball. They rank 27th in baseball with 8.18 hits per contest. Jonathan Villar comes into this matchup batting .306 and he has an OBP of .389. He has 121 hits this year along with 58 runs scored and 40 RBI. He's struck out 116 times and has walked on 55 occasions. Ryan Braun is hitting .324 and he has an OBP of .389. He has collected 110 hits so far while he's scored 55 runs and drove in 56. He has earned a walk 34 times and has punched out 60 times. The Brewers as a unit have 883 base hits, including 165 doubles and 116 homers. They have 112 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 34 times. Milwaukee as a team has walked 410 times this year and they have struck out 1,028 times. They've had 748 men left on base and have an OPS of .728. They score 4.1 runs per game and have totaled 443 runs so far this season.
Atlanta Braves Betting Trends
The Atlanta Braves are 49-54-7 against the over/under so far this season
The Atlanta Braves are 52-58-0 against the run line so far this season
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends
The Milwaukee Brewers are 50-51-7 against the over/under so far this season
The Milwaukee Brewers are 58-50-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
08/02/16 P Julio Teheran Back 15-day DL (7/31)
08/01/16 P Matt Marksberry Shoulder 15-day DL (7/31)
07/16/16 P Arodys Vizcaino Oblique 15-day DL (7/15)
07/12/16 C Tyler Flowers Hand 15-day DL (7/10)
06/28/16 P John Gant Oblique 15-day DL (6/27)
06/20/16 LF Mallex Smith Thumb 15-day DL (6/20)
06/08/16 P Williams Perez Rotator Cuff 15-day DL (6/7)
04/12/16 P Daniel Winkler Elbow 60-day DL (4/11)
04/04/16 P Andrew McKirahan Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Paco Rodriguez Elbow out for season
04/04/16 P Shae Simmons Elbow 15-day DL (3/25)
07/25/16 3B Will Middlebrooks Leg 15-day DL (7/25)
06/10/16 RF Domingo Santana Elbow 15-day DL (6/8)
05/27/16 P Chris Capuano Elbow 60-day DL (4/2)
04/04/16 LF Rymer Liriano Facial 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Zach Jones Shoulder 60-day DL (3/31)
04/02/16 P Yhonathan Barrios Shoulder 60-day DL (3/25)
04/01/16 P Sean Nolin Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
Guy's Pick: Take the Braves
Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here
Read more articles by Guy Bruhn
Get all of Today's MLB Picks
Get all of Today's Guaranteed Expert MLB Picks