Tuesday, July 26, 2016
For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here
Probable Pitchers: Lucas Harrell vs. Ervin Santana
The Atlanta Braves head to Target Field on Tuesday to take on the Minnesota Twins. The probable pitchers are Lucas Harrell for the Braves and Ervin Santana for the Twins. The opening line for this game has Atlanta at +175 and Minnesota at -185. The over/under is 9. The Braves have a 43-49-7 over/under mark and a 44-55-0 run line record, meaning they cover 44% of the time. The Twins are 51-47-0 against the run line and have a 57-35-6 over/under record. They cover the spread 52% of the time.
The Braves head into this game with a 33-66 record, and they are 19-30 on the road. Starting pitcher Lucas Harrell has a 1-2 record with an ERA of 4.24 and a WHIP of 1.29. He has 17 strikeouts during his 23.1 innings pitched and he has given up 21 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 8.1 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.78. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 4.26 and they have allowed 333 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .256 against the pen while they've been struck out 333 times and walked 162 times this year. As a unit, Atlanta has given up 8.77 base hits per nine innings while striking out 7.66 hitters per nine. They are 22nd in the Majors in team earned run average at 4.44. The Braves pitchers have collectively given up 871 base hits and 441 earned runs. They have allowed 112 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Atlanta as a pitching staff has walked 339 batters and struck out 761. They walk 3.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.7 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.35 and their FIP as a unit is 4.34.
As a team, Atlanta is hitting .237, good for 30th in the league while putting together a .235 average on the road. The Braves have a .349 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .302 which is good for 29th in the league. They rank 27th in baseball with 8.09 hits per contest. Freddie Freeman comes into this game hitting .275 and his on-base percentage is at .359. He has 102 hits this season along with 49 runs scored and 36 runs batted in. He's struck out 114 times and has walked 43 times. Nick Markakis is hitting .262 and he has an on-base percentage of .341. He has totaled 97 hits so far while scoring 38 runs and he's driven in 49. He has walked 45 times and has struck out 60 times. The Braves have 801 hits, including 162 doubles and 61 home runs. They've stolen 50 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 22 times. Atlanta has walked 284 times this season and they've struck out 761 times as a unit. They've left 702 men on base and have a team OPS of .652. They score 3.38 runs per contest and have scored a total of 335 runs so far this year.
Minnesota comes into this game with a 20-29 home mark and a 37-61 overall record. With an ERA of 3.93, Ervin Santana has a 3-8 record and a 1.28 WHIP. He has 75 strikeouts over the 105.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 106 hits. He has allowed 9.1 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.02. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.41 and they have given up 352 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .269 against the Twins bullpen while being struck out 320 times and walking 106 times this season. As a team, Minnesota has allowed 10.03 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.41 batters per nine. They are 28th in the league in team earned run average at 4.93. The Twins pitchers as a team have surrendered 967 base knocks and 475 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 133 home runs this year and they give up 1.4 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Minnesota as a staff has walked 266 hitters and struck out 714. They give up a walk 2.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.42 while their FIP as a staff is 4.48.
As a team, they are batting .251, good for 17th in the league while putting together a .256 average at home. The Twins hold a .415 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .316 which is good for 21st in baseball. They rank 16th in baseball with 8.64 hits per contest. Eduardo Nunez comes into this matchup batting .298 and he has an OBP of .324. He has 107 hits this year along with 48 runs scored and 46 RBI. He's struck out 55 times and has walked on 13 occasions. Joe Mauer is hitting .261 and he has an OBP of .362. He has collected 89 hits so far while he's scored 47 runs and drove in 30. He has earned a walk 54 times and has punched out 64 times. The Twins as a unit have 847 base hits, including 171 doubles and 113 homers. They have 63 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 20 times. Minnesota as a team has walked 304 times this year and they have struck out 839 times. They've had 679 men left on base and have an OPS of .731. They score 4.44 runs per game and have totaled 435 runs so far this season.
Atlanta Braves Betting Trends
The Atlanta Braves are 43-49-7 against the over/under so far this season
The Atlanta Braves are 44-55-0 against the run line so far this season
Minnesota Twins Betting Trends
The Minnesota Twins are 57-35-6 against the over/under so far this season
The Minnesota Twins are 51-47-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
07/23/16 P Julio Teheran Back "?" for next scheduled start Thursday vs. Philadelphia Phillies
07/16/16 P Arodys Vizcaino Oblique 15-day DL (7/15)
07/12/16 C Tyler Flowers Hand 15-day DL (7/10)
06/28/16 P John Gant Oblique 15-day DL (6/27)
06/20/16 LF Mallex Smith Thumb 15-day DL (6/20)
06/08/16 P Williams Perez Rotator Cuff 15-day DL (6/7)
05/27/16 2B Hector Olivera Suspension 82 game suspension, eligible to return (8/1)
04/12/16 P Daniel Winkler Elbow 15-day DL (4/11)
04/04/16 P Andrew McKirahan Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Paco Rodriguez Elbow out for season
04/04/16 P Shae Simmons Elbow 15-day DL (3/25)
07/25/16 C Kurt Suzuki Chin "?" Tuesday vs. Atlanta Braves
07/04/16 3B Trevor Plouffe Ribs 15-day DL (7/1)
06/10/16 P Phil Hughes Knee 60-day DL (6/10); out for season
04/13/16 P Glen Perkins Shoulder 60-day DL (4/11); out for season
Guy's Pick: Take the Twins
Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here
Read more articles by Guy Bruhn
Get all of Today's MLB Picks
Get all of Today's Guaranteed Expert MLB Picks