Wednesday, May 4, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Jhoulys Chacin vs. Steven Matz
The Atlanta Braves visit Citi Field on Wednesday to play the New York Mets. The probable starters are Jhoulys Chacin for the Braves and Steven Matz for the Mets. The opening line for this matchup has Atlanta at +194 and New York at -210. The over/under was set at 7. The Braves have a 14-8-3 over/under record and a 11-14-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 44% of the time. The Mets are 12-12-0 against the run line and have a 13-10-1 over/under record. They cover the spread 50% of the time.
The Braves head into this matchup with a 6-19 record, including 5-7 on the road. Starting pitcher Jhoulys Chacin has a 1-1 record with an earned run average of 3.27 and a WHIP of 1.18. He has 23 strikeouts over his 22 innings pitched and he has given up 22 hits so far this season. He has allowed 9 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 1.53. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 4.88 and they have given up 88 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .252 against the bullpen while being struck out 90 times and walking 53 times this season. As a team, Atlanta has allowed 9.04 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.95 batters per nine. They are 26th in the league in team earned run average at 4.88. The Braves pitchers have collectively given up 224 base hits and 121 earned runs. They have allowed 28 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Atlanta as a pitching staff has walked 102 batters and struck out 197. They walk 4.1 men per 9 innings while striking out 8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.46 and their FIP as a unit is 4.42.
As a team, Atlanta is batting .228, good for 28th in the league while putting together a .222 average away from home. The Braves hold a .289 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .297 which is good for 25th in baseball. They rank 25th in baseball with 7.68 hits per game. Nick Markakis comes into this game hitting .293 and his on-base percentage is at .400. He has 27 hits this season along with 10 runs scored and 20 runs batted in. He's struck out 17 times and has walked 15 times. Adonis Garcia is hitting .283 and he has an on-base percentage of .347. He has totaled 26 hits so far while scoring 8 runs and he's driven in 7. He has walked 7 times and has struck out 19 times. The Braves have 192 hits, including 37 doubles and 5 home runs. They've stolen 10 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 7 times. Atlanta has walked 77 times this season and they've struck out 212 times as a unit. They've left 178 men on base and have a team OPS of .587. They score 3.2 runs per contest and have scored a total of 80 runs so far this year.
New York comes into this matchup with a 8-5 home record and a 16-8 overall mark. With an earned run average of 3.86, Steven Matz has a 3-1 record and a 1.52 WHIP. He has 22 strikeouts over the 21 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 25 hits. He has allowed 10.7 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 2.74. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 2.92 and they have given up 69 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .237 against the Mets bullpen while being struck out 86 times and walking 27 times this season. As a team, New York has allowed 8.81 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.35 batters per nine. They are 4th in the league in team earned run average at 2.84. The Mets pitchers as a team have surrendered 211 base knocks and 68 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 11 home runs this year and they give up 0.5 home runs per nine innings as a staff. New York as a staff has walked 59 hitters and struck out 224. They give up a walk 2.5 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.3 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.25 while their FIP as a staff is 2.52.
As a team, they are batting .257, good for 11th in the league while putting together a .237 average at home. The Mets hold a .453 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .333 which is good for 9th in baseball. They rank 10th in baseball with 8.71 hits per contest. Neil Walker comes into this matchup batting .305 and he has an OBP of .340. He has 29 hits this year along with 13 runs scored and 19 RBI. He's struck out 19 times and has walked on 5 occasions. Asdrubal Cabrera is hitting .306 and he has an OBP of .366. He has collected 26 hits so far while he's scored 9 runs and drove in 7. He has earned a walk 6 times and has punched out 15 times. The Mets as a unit have 209 base hits, including 44 doubles and 36 homers. They have 6 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 4 times. New York as a team has walked 84 times this year and they have struck out 203 times. They've had 177 men left on base and have an OPS of .786. They score 4.67 runs per game and have totaled 112 runs so far this season.
Atlanta Braves Betting Trends
The Atlanta Braves are 14-8-3 against the over/under so far this season
The Atlanta Braves are 11-14-0 against the run line so far this season
New York Mets Betting Trends
The New York Mets are 13-10-1 against the over/under so far this season
The New York Mets are 12-12-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
04/18/16 3B Gordon Beckham Hamstring 15-day DL (4/17)
04/13/16 2B Hector Olivera Legal problems out indefinitely
04/12/16 P Daniel Winkler Elbow 15-day DL (4/11)
04/11/16 RF Ender Inciarte Hamstring 15-day DL (4/9)
04/04/16 P Andrew McKiraha Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Manuel Banuelos Elbow 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Paco Rodrigue Elbow out for season
04/04/16 P Shae Simmons Elbow 15-day DL (3/25)
New York Mets
04/26/16 C Travis d'Arnaud Shoulder 15-day DL (4/25)
04/04/16 P Joshua Edgin Elbow 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Zack Wheeler Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
Tony's Pick: Take the Braves
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