Friday, June 17, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: John Gant vs. Matt Harvey
The Atlanta Braves head to Citi Field on Friday to take on the New York Mets. The probable pitchers are John Gant for the Braves and Matt Harvey for the Mets. The opening line for this game has Atlanta at +245 and New York at -270. The over/under is 7.5. The Braves have a 30-29-6 over/under mark and a 26-39-0 run line record, meaning they cover 40% of the time. The Mets are 27-37-0 against the run line and have a 31-32-1 over/under record. They cover the spread 42% of the time.
The Braves head into this game with a 19-46 record, and they are 11-19 on the road. Starting pitcher John Gant has a 0-1 record with an ERA of 5.63 and a WHIP of 1.75. He has 19 strikeouts during his 16 innings pitched and he has given up 19 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 10.7 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.26. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 4.61 and they have allowed 225 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .254 against the pen while they've been struck out 238 times and walked 112 times this year. As a unit, Atlanta has given up 8.68 base hits per nine innings while striking out 7.9 hitters per nine. They are 25th in the Majors in team earned run average at 4.61. The Braves pitchers have collectively given up 568 base hits and 302 earned runs. They have allowed 72 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Atlanta as a pitching staff has walked 233 batters and struck out 517. They walk 3.6 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.9 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.36 and their FIP as a unit is 4.28.
As a team, Atlanta is hitting .233, good for 28th in the league while putting together a .237 average on the road. The Braves have a .324 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .300 which is good for 27th in the league. They rank 26th in baseball with 7.94 hits per contest. Nick Markakis comes into this game hitting .243 and his on-base percentage is at .335. He has 58 hits this season along with 23 runs scored and 34 runs batted in. He's struck out 41 times and has walked 33 times. Freddie Freeman is hitting .257 and he has an on-base percentage of .349. He has totaled 62 hits so far while scoring 31 runs and he's driven in 22. He has walked 29 times and has struck out 72 times. The Braves have 516 hits, including 96 doubles and 28 home runs. They've stolen 34 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 16 times. Atlanta has walked 192 times this season and they've struck out 511 times as a unit. They've left 473 men on base and have a team OPS of .624. They score 3.23 runs per contest and have scored a total of 210 runs so far this year.
New York comes into this game with a 16-13 home mark and a 35-29 overall record. With an ERA of 4.66, Matt Harvey has a 4-8 record and a 1.38 WHIP. He has 61 strikeouts over the 73.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 81 hits. He has allowed 9.9 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.75. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.04 and they have given up 152 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .214 against the Mets bullpen while being struck out 203 times and walking 74 times this season. As a team, New York has allowed 8.28 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.85 batters per nine. They are 2nd in the league in team earned run average at 3.16. The Mets pitchers as a team have surrendered 524 base knocks and 198 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 50 home runs this year and they give up 0.8 home runs per nine innings as a staff. New York as a staff has walked 159 hitters and struck out 561. They give up a walk 2.5 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.9 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.20 while their FIP as a staff is 3.20.
As a team, they are batting .235, good for 27th in the league while putting together a .223 average at home. The Mets hold a .409 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .310 which is good for 22nd in baseball. They rank 28th in baseball with 7.84 hits per contest. Asdrubal Cabrera comes into this matchup batting .265 and he has an OBP of .328. He has 62 hits this year along with 24 runs scored and 21 RBI. He's struck out 51 times and has walked on 16 occasions. Yoenis Cespedes is hitting .286 and he has an OBP of .357. He has collected 61 hits so far while he's scored 37 runs and drove in 40. He has earned a walk 22 times and has punched out 56 times. The Mets as a unit have 502 base hits, including 98 doubles and 85 homers. They have 13 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 9 times. New York as a team has walked 210 times this year and they have struck out 577 times. They've had 444 men left on base and have an OPS of .719. They score 3.75 runs per game and have totaled 240 runs so far this season.
Atlanta Braves Betting Trends
The Atlanta Braves are 30-29-6 against the over/under so far this season
The Atlanta Braves are 26-39-0 against the run line so far this season
New York Mets Betting Trends
The New York Mets are 31-32-1 against the over/under so far this season
The New York Mets are 27-37-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
06/08/16 P Williams Perez Rotator Cuff 15-day DL (6/7)
06/03/16 P Mike Foltynewicz Elbow 15-day DL (6/1)
06/02/16 3B Gordon Beckham Hamstring 15-day DL (6/2)
05/27/16 2B Hector Olivera Suspension 82 game suspension, eligible to return (8/1)
04/12/16 P Daniel Winkler Elbow 15-day DL (4/11)
04/04/16 P Andrew McKiraha Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Paco Rodrigue Elbow out for season
04/04/16 P Shae Simmons Elbow 15-day DL (3/25)
New York Mets
06/16/16 CF Juan Lagares Thumb is downgraded to not expected to be in the starting lineup Thursday vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
06/15/16 LF Michael Conforto Wrist "?" Thursday vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
06/15/16 2B Neil Walker Back "?" Thursday vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
06/03/16 3B David Wright Neck 15-day DL (5/30)
05/24/16 1B Lucas Duda Back 15-day DL (5/21)
04/26/16 C Travis d'Arnaud Shoulder 15-day DL (4/25)
04/04/16 P Zack Wheeler Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
Guy's Pick: Take the Mets
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