Sunday, June 19, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Julio Teheran vs. Jacob deGrom
The Atlanta Braves head to Citi Field on Sunday to take on the New York Mets. The probable pitchers are Julio Teheran for the Braves and Jacob deGrom for the Mets. The opening line for this game has Atlanta at +180 and New York at -190. The over/under is 7. The Braves have a 31-30-6 over/under mark and a 28-39-0 run line record, meaning they cover 42% of the time. The Mets are 28-38-0 against the run line and have a 32-33-1 over/under record. They cover the spread 42% of the time.
The Braves head into this game with a 21-46 record, and they are 12-19 on the road. Starting pitcher Julio Teheran has a 2-7 record with an ERA of 2.93 and a WHIP of 0.99. He has 85 strikeouts during his 89 innings pitched and he has given up 64 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 6.5 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.06. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 4.51 and they have allowed 229 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .254 against the pen while they've been struck out 243 times and walked 116 times this year. As a unit, Atlanta has given up 8.63 base hits per nine innings while striking out 7.89 hitters per nine. They are 23rd in the Majors in team earned run average at 4.52. The Braves pitchers have collectively given up 582 base hits and 305 earned runs. They have allowed 73 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Atlanta as a pitching staff has walked 241 batters and struck out 532. They walk 3.6 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.9 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.36 and their FIP as a unit is 4.25.
As a team, Atlanta is hitting .235, good for 28th in the league while putting together a .239 average on the road. The Braves have a .327 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .301 which is good for 27th in the league. They rank 26th in baseball with 8 hits per contest. Nick Markakis comes into this game hitting .243 and his on-base percentage is at .334. He has 60 hits this season along with 24 runs scored and 37 runs batted in. He's struck out 41 times and has walked 34 times. Freddie Freeman is hitting .272 and he has an on-base percentage of .359. He has totaled 68 hits so far while scoring 33 runs and he's driven in 25. He has walked 29 times and has struck out 73 times. The Braves have 536 hits, including 102 doubles and 29 home runs. They've stolen 39 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 16 times. Atlanta has walked 200 times this season and they've struck out 524 times as a unit. They've left 490 men on base and have a team OPS of .629. They score 3.31 runs per contest and have scored a total of 222 runs so far this year.
New York comes into this game with a 17-14 home mark and a 36-30 overall record. With an ERA of 2.82, Jacob deGrom has a 3-3 record and a 1.15 WHIP. He has 65 strikeouts over the 67 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 60 hits. He has allowed 8.1 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 2.97. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.07 and they have given up 159 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .218 against the Mets bullpen while being struck out 205 times and walking 77 times this season. As a team, New York has allowed 8.35 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.81 batters per nine. They are 2nd in the league in team earned run average at 3.18. The Mets pitchers as a team have surrendered 545 base knocks and 206 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 52 home runs this year and they give up 0.8 home runs per nine innings as a staff. New York as a staff has walked 164 hitters and struck out 576. They give up a walk 2.5 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.21 while their FIP as a staff is 3.21.
As a team, they are batting .236, good for 26th in the league while putting together a .226 average at home. The Mets hold a .411 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .311 which is good for 22nd in baseball. They rank 28th in baseball with 7.86 hits per contest. Asdrubal Cabrera comes into this matchup batting .264 and he has an OBP of .326. He has 64 hits this year along with 25 runs scored and 21 RBI. He's struck out 53 times and has walked on 16 occasions. Yoenis Cespedes is hitting .283 and he has an OBP of .354. He has collected 62 hits so far while he's scored 37 runs and drove in 42. He has earned a walk 23 times and has punched out 57 times. The Mets as a unit have 519 base hits, including 103 doubles and 88 homers. They have 13 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 9 times. New York as a team has walked 216 times this year and they have struck out 590 times. They've had 458 men left on base and have an OPS of .722. They score 3.74 runs per game and have totaled 247 runs so far this season.
Atlanta Braves Betting Trends
The Atlanta Braves are 31-30-6 against the over/under so far this season
The Atlanta Braves are 28-39-0 against the run line so far this season
New York Mets Betting Trends
The New York Mets are 32-33-1 against the over/under so far this season
The New York Mets are 28-38-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
06/17/16 3B Adonis Garcia Ankle "?" Saturday vs. New York Mets
06/08/16 P Williams Perez Rotator Cuff 15-day DL (6/7)
06/03/16 P Mike Foltynewicz Elbow 15-day DL (6/1)
06/02/16 3B Gordon Beckham Hamstring 15-day DL (6/2)
05/27/16 2B Hector Olivera Suspension 82 game suspension, eligible to return (8/1)
04/12/16 P Daniel Winkler Elbow 15-day DL (4/11)
04/04/16 P Andrew McKiraha Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Paco Rodrigue Elbow out for season
04/04/16 P Shae Simmons Elbow 15-day DL (3/25)
New York Mets
06/17/16 3B Wilmer Flores Hand "?" Saturday vs. Atlanta Braves
06/16/16 CF Juan Lagares Thumb 15-day DL (6/15)
06/03/16 3B David Wright Neck 15-day DL (5/30)
05/24/16 1B Lucas Duda Back 15-day DL (5/21)
04/26/16 C Travis d'Arnaud Shoulder 15-day DL (4/25)
04/04/16 P Zack Wheeler Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
Tony's Pick: Take the Mets
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