Monday, September 19, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Aaron Blair vs. Noah Syndergaard
The Atlanta Braves head to Citi Field on Monday to take on the New York Mets. The probable pitchers are Aaron Blair for the Braves and Noah Syndergaard for the Mets. The opening line for this game has Atlanta at +235 and New York at -275. The over/under is 7. The Braves have a 77-63-8 over/under mark and a 75-73-0 run line record, meaning they cover 51% of the time. The Mets are 70-78-0 against the run line and have a 66-79-3 over/under record. They cover the spread 47% of the time.
The Braves head into this game with a 57-91 record, and they are 32-42 on the road. Starting pitcher Aaron Blair has a 0-6 record with an ERA of 8.23 and a WHIP of 1.77. He has 32 strikeouts during his 54.2 innings pitched and he has given up 68 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 11.2 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 6.45. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 4.08 and they have allowed 503 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .248 against the pen while they've been struck out 505 times and walked 238 times this year. As a unit, Atlanta has given up 8.87 base hits per nine innings while striking out 7.65 hitters per nine. They are 26th in the Majors in team earned run average at 4.61. The Braves pitchers have collectively given up 1,315 base hits and 683 earned runs. They have allowed 166 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Atlanta as a pitching staff has walked 508 batters and struck out 1,133. They walk 3.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.37 and their FIP as a unit is 4.34.
As a team, Atlanta is hitting .253, good for 19th in the league while putting together a .247 average on the road. The Braves have a .380 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .319 which is good for 20th in the league. They rank 17th in baseball with 8.69 hits per contest. Nick Markakis comes into this game hitting .272 and his on-base percentage is at .347. He has 152 hits this season along with 62 runs scored and 86 runs batted in. He's struck out 94 times and has walked 66 times. Freddie Freeman is hitting .295 and he has an on-base percentage of .392. He has totaled 161 hits so far while scoring 91 runs and he's driven in 79. He has walked 80 times and has struck out 156 times. The Braves have 1,286 hits, including 277 doubles and 108 home runs. They've stolen 65 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 33 times. Atlanta has walked 459 times this season and they've struck out 1,120 times as a unit. They've left 1,071 men on base and have a team OPS of .699. They score 3.93 runs per contest and have scored a total of 582 runs so far this year.
New York comes into this game with a 40-33 home mark and a 79-69 overall record. With an ERA of 2.43, Noah Syndergaard has a 13-8 record and a 1.12 WHIP. He has 205 strikeouts over the 174 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 155 hits. He has allowed 8 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 2.25. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.54 and they have given up 414 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .233 against the Mets bullpen while being struck out 496 times and walking 167 times this season. As a team, New York has allowed 8.63 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.58 batters per nine. They are 3rd in the league in team earned run average at 3.54. The Mets pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,266 base knocks and 517 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 137 home runs this year and they give up 0.9 home runs per nine innings as a staff. New York as a staff has walked 398 hitters and struck out 1,260. They give up a walk 2.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.26 while their FIP as a staff is 3.56.
As a team, they are batting .242, good for 28th in the league while putting together a .235 average at home. The Mets hold a .413 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .311 which is good for 26th in baseball. They rank 27th in baseball with 8.11 hits per contest. Yoenis Cespedes comes into this matchup batting .288 and he has an OBP of .357. He has 124 hits this year along with 64 runs scored and 81 RBI. He's struck out 99 times and has walked on 45 occasions. Asdrubal Cabrera is hitting .277 and he has an OBP of .329. He has collected 130 hits so far while he's scored 59 runs and drove in 49. He has earned a walk 31 times and has punched out 98 times. The Mets as a unit have 1,201 base hits, including 212 doubles and 201 homers. They have 37 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 16 times. New York as a team has walked 459 times this year and they have struck out 1,207 times. They've had 1,011 men left on base and have an OPS of .725. They score 3.93 runs per game and have totaled 582 runs so far this season.
Atlanta Braves Betting Trends
The Atlanta Braves are 77-63-8 against the over/under so far this season
The Atlanta Braves are 75-73-0 against the run line so far this season
New York Mets Betting Trends
The New York Mets are 66-79-3 against the over/under so far this season
The New York Mets are 70-78-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
09/18/16 P Rob Whalen Shoulder 60-day DL (8/25)
09/17/16 C A.J. Pierzynski Hamstring 60-day DL (9/11)
09/14/16 C Williams Perez Tricep "?" for next start
09/13/16 P Mike Foltynewicz Calf "?" for next start
09/04/16 P Aaron Blair Knee 15-day DL (8/29)
09/02/16 P Eric O'Flaherty Elbow 60-day DL (8/18)
08/31/16 P Arodys Vizcaino Shoulder 15-day DL (8/29)
08/01/16 P Matt Marksberry Shoulder 60-day DL (7/31)
04/12/16 P Daniel Winkler Elbow 60-day DL (4/11)
04/04/16 P Andrew McKirahan Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Paco Rodriguez Elbow out for season
New York Mets
09/18/16 P Jon Niese Knee 60-day DL (8/24)
09/17/16 3B Wilmer Flores Wrist "?" Saturday vs. Minnesota Twins
09/17/16 P Jacob deGrom Forearm out for season
09/03/16 P Zack Wheeler Elbow 60-day DL (3/25); out for season
08/31/16 2B Neil Walker Back 60-day DL, out for season
08/27/16 RF Justin Ruggiano Shoulder 60-day DL (8/27)
08/23/16 P Steven Matz Shoulder 15-day DL (8/15)
07/06/16 P Matt Harvey Shoulder 60-day DL (7/6), out for season
06/03/16 3B David Wright Neck 60-day DL (5/30), out for season
Josh's Pick: Take the Mets
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