Sunday, May 22, 2016
Citizens Bank Park
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Probable Pitchers: Casey Kelly vs. Jerad Eickhoff
The Atlanta Braves visit Citizens Bank Park on Sunday to play the Philadelphia Phillies. The probable starters are Casey Kelly for the Braves and Jerad Eickhoff for the Phillies. The opening line for this matchup has Atlanta at +120 and Philadelphia at -130. The over/under was set at 8. The Braves have a 21-17-4 over/under record and a 17-25-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 41% of the time. The Phillies are 22-21-0 against the run line and have a 18-23-2 over/under record. They cover the spread 51% of the time.
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The Braves head into this matchup with a 12-30 record, including 10-13 on the road. Starting pitcher Casey Kelly has a 0-0 record with an earned run average of 3.00 and a WHIP of 1.00. He has no strikeouts over his 3 innings pitched and he has given up 3 hits so far this season. He has allowed 9 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.09. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 4.55 and they have given up 141 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .254 against the bullpen while being struck out 155 times and walking 68 times this season. As a team, Atlanta has allowed 9.03 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.76 batters per nine. They are 25th in the league in team earned run average at 4.57. The Braves pitchers have collectively given up 370 base hits and 188 earned runs. They have allowed 42 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Atlanta as a pitching staff has walked 141 batters and struck out 318. They walk 3.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.39 and their FIP as a unit is 4.14.
As a team, Atlanta is batting .234, good for 27th in the league while putting together a .234 average away from home. The Braves hold a .323 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .298 which is good for 26th in baseball. They rank 21st in baseball with 8 hits per game. Nick Markakis comes into this game hitting .257 and his on-base percentage is at .365. He has 39 hits this season along with 15 runs scored and 24 runs batted in. He's struck out 28 times and has walked 25 times. Freddie Freeman is hitting .272 and he has an on-base percentage of .364. He has totaled 41 hits so far while scoring 19 runs and he's driven in 15. He has walked 19 times and has struck out 44 times. The Braves have 328 hits, including 64 doubles and 18 home runs. They've stolen 18 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 11 times. Atlanta has walked 117 times this season and they've struck out 332 times as a unit. They've left 287 men on base and have a team OPS of .621. They score 3.29 runs per contest and have scored a total of 135 runs so far this year.
Philadelphia comes into this matchup with a 12-9 home record and a 24-19 overall mark. With an earned run average of 4.44, Jerad Eickhoff has a 1-6 record and a 1.24 WHIP. He has 40 strikeouts over the 46.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 48 hits. He has allowed 9.3 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.03. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.89 and they have given up 124 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .238 against the Phillies bullpen while being struck out 137 times and walking 61 times this season. As a team, Philadelphia has allowed 7.99 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.12 batters per nine. They are 11th in the league in team earned run average at 3.79. The Phillies pitchers as a team have surrendered 333 base knocks and 158 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 49 home runs this year and they give up 1.2 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Philadelphia as a staff has walked 122 hitters and struck out 380. They give up a walk 2.9 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.1 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.21 while their FIP as a staff is 3.79.
As a team, they are batting .233, good for 29th in the league while putting together a .228 average at home. The Phillies hold a .359 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .293 which is good for 28th in baseball. They rank 29th in baseball with 7.57 hits per contest. Odubel Herrera comes into this matchup batting .327 and he has an OBP of .438. He has 48 hits this year along with 25 runs scored and 13 RBI. He's struck out 30 times and has walked on 30 occasions. Maikel Franco is hitting .244 and he has an OBP of .284. He has collected 38 hits so far while he's scored 12 runs and drove in 23. He has earned a walk 9 times and has punched out 32 times. The Phillies as a unit have 318 base hits, including 58 doubles and 31 homers. They have 16 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 16 times. Philadelphia as a team has walked 109 times this year and they have struck out 331 times. They've had 254 men left on base and have an OPS of .651. They score 3.26 runs per game and have totaled 137 runs so far this season.
Atlanta Braves Betting Trends
The Atlanta Braves are 21-17-4 against the over/under so far this season
The Atlanta Braves are 17-25-0 against the run line so far this season
Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends
The Philadelphia Phillies are 18-23-2 against the over/under so far this season
The Philadelphia Phillies are 22-21-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
05/11/16 P Jim Johnson Groin 15-day DL (5/9)
04/13/16 2B Hector Olivera Legal problems out indefinitely
04/12/16 P Daniel Winkler Elbow 15-day DL (4/11)
04/04/16 P Andrew McKiraha Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Manuel Banuelos Elbow 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Paco Rodrigue Elbow out for season
04/04/16 P Shae Simmons Elbow 15-day DL (3/25)
05/01/16 P Dalier Hinojosa Hand 15-day DL (4/29)
04/24/16 P Charlie Morton Hamstring 15-day DL (4/24); out for season
04/14/16 P Daniel Stumpf Suspension 80-game suspension
04/03/16 P Mario Hollands Elbow 60-day DL (4/2)
03/31/16 LF Aaron Altherr Wrist 60-day DL (4/2)
03/31/16 LF Cody Asche Ribs 15-day DL (3/25)
03/31/16 P Matt Harrison Back 60-day DL (4/2)
Tony's Pick: Take the Braves
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