Monday, July 4, 2016
Citizens Bank Park
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Probable Pitchers: Joel De La Cruz vs. Jerad Eickhoff
The Atlanta Braves visit Citizens Bank Park on Monday to play the Philadelphia Phillies. The probable starters are Joel De La Cruz for the Braves and Jerad Eickhoff for the Phillies. The opening line for this matchup has Atlanta at +145 and Philadelphia at -155. The over/under was set at 8.5. The Braves have a 37-38-6 over/under record and a 36-45-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 44% of the time. The Phillies are 40-42-0 against the run line and have a 40-40-2 over/under record. They cover the spread 49% of the time.
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The Braves head into this matchup with a 28-53 record, including 15-20 on the road. Starting pitcher Joel De La Cruz has a 0-1 record with an earned run average of 4.50 and a WHIP of 1.33. He has 1 strikeout over his 6 innings pitched and he has given up 7 hits so far this season. He has allowed 10.5 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 5.5. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 4.20 and they have given up 271 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .250 against the bullpen while being struck out 287 times and walking 139 times this season. As a team, Atlanta has allowed 8.52 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.82 batters per nine. They are 15th in the league in team earned run average at 4.30. The Braves pitchers have collectively given up 699 base hits and 353 earned runs. They have allowed 84 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Atlanta as a pitching staff has walked 280 batters and struck out 641. They walk 3.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.33 and their FIP as a unit is 4.18.
As a team, Atlanta is batting .239, good for 26th in the league while putting together a .237 average away from home. The Braves hold a .343 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .302 which is good for 28th in baseball. They rank 24th in baseball with 8.16 hits per game. Nick Markakis comes into this game hitting .257 and his on-base percentage is at .336. He has 78 hits this season along with 32 runs scored and 42 runs batted in. He's struck out 51 times and has walked 37 times. Freddie Freeman is hitting .289 and he has an on-base percentage of .371. He has totaled 88 hits so far while scoring 39 runs and he's driven in 31. He has walked 35 times and has struck out 89 times. The Braves have 661 hits, including 131 doubles and 43 home runs. They've stolen 44 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 20 times. Atlanta has walked 227 times this season and they've struck out 626 times as a unit. They've left 576 men on base and have a team OPS of .645. They score 3.43 runs per contest and have scored a total of 278 runs so far this year.
Philadelphia comes into this matchup with a 17-23 home record and a 36-46 overall mark. With an earned run average of 3.38, Jerad Eickhoff has a 5-9 record and a 1.24 WHIP. He has 83 strikeouts over the 96 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 95 hits. He has allowed 8.9 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.93. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.43 and they have given up 266 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .253 against the Phillies bullpen while being struck out 267 times and walking 105 times this season. As a team, Philadelphia has allowed 9.14 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.73 batters per nine. They are 17th in the league in team earned run average at 4.38. The Phillies pitchers as a team have surrendered 735 base knocks and 352 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 106 home runs this year and they give up 1.3 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Philadelphia as a staff has walked 225 hitters and struck out 702. They give up a walk 2.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.33 while their FIP as a staff is 4.15.
As a team, they are batting .239, good for 27th in the league while putting together a .217 average at home. The Phillies hold a .380 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .292 which is good for 30th in baseball. They rank 29th in baseball with 7.87 hits per contest. Odubel Herrera comes into this matchup batting .302 and he has an OBP of .391. He has 90 hits this year along with 46 runs scored and 30 RBI. He's struck out 60 times and has walked on 43 occasions. Maikel Franco is hitting .251 and he has an OBP of .310. He has collected 71 hits so far while he's scored 26 runs and drove in 43. He has earned a walk 24 times and has punched out 58 times. The Phillies as a unit have 645 base hits, including 120 doubles and 73 homers. They have 34 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 27 times. Philadelphia as a team has walked 192 times this year and they have struck out 647 times. They've had 489 men left on base and have an OPS of .672. They score 3.46 runs per game and have totaled 284 runs so far this season.
Atlanta Braves Betting Trends
The Atlanta Braves are 37-38-6 against the over/under so far this season
The Atlanta Braves are 36-45-0 against the run line so far this season
Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends
The Philadelphia Phillies are 40-40-2 against the over/under so far this season
The Philadelphia Phillies are 40-42-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
07/02/16 CF Ender Inciarte Groin "?" Sunday vs. Miami Marlins
07/01/16 3B Gordon Beckham Hamstring 15-day DL (6/2); expected to be activated Monday vs. Philadelphia Phillies
06/28/16 P John Gant Oblique 15-day DL (6/27)
06/20/16 LF Mallex Smith Thumb 15-day DL (6/20)
06/08/16 P Williams Perez Rotator Cuff 15-day DL (6/7)
05/27/16 2B Hector Olivera Suspension 82 game suspension, eligible to return (8/1)
04/12/16 P Daniel Winkler Elbow 15-day DL (4/11)
04/04/16 P Andrew McKirahan Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Paco Rodriguez Elbow out for season
04/04/16 P Shae Simmons Elbow 15-day DL (3/25)
05/01/16 P Dalier Hinojosa Hand 15-day DL (4/29)
04/24/16 P Charlie Morton Hamstring 60-day DL (4/24); out for season
04/14/16 P Daniel Stumpf Suspension 80-game suspension
03/31/16 LF Aaron Altherr Wrist 60-day DL (4/2)
03/31/16 P Matt Harrison Back 60-day DL (4/2)
Guy's Pick: Take the Braves
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