Friday, September 2, 2016
Citizens Bank Park
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Probable Pitchers: Joel De La Cruz vs. Jeremy Hellickson
The Atlanta Braves head to Citizens Bank Park on Friday to take on the Philadelphia Phillies. The probable pitchers are Joel De La Cruz for the Braves and Jeremy Hellickson for the Phillies. The opening line for this game has Atlanta at +142 and Philadelphia at -152. The over/under is 8.5. The Braves have a 64-61-8 over/under mark and a 67-66-0 run line record, meaning they cover 50% of the time. The Phillies are 68-65-0 against the run line and have a 66-63-4 over/under record. They cover the spread 51% of the time.
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The Braves head into this game with a 50-83 record, and they are 29-39 on the road. Starting pitcher Joel De La Cruz has a 0-7 record with an ERA of 4.66 and a WHIP of 1.41. He has 26 strikeouts during his 48.1 innings pitched and he has given up 52 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 9.7 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 5.34. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 4.23 and they have allowed 449 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .253 against the pen while they've been struck out 447 times and walked 216 times this year. As a unit, Atlanta has given up 8.81 base hits per nine innings while striking out 7.6 hitters per nine. They are 26th in the Majors in team earned run average at 4.55. The Braves pitchers have collectively given up 1,173 base hits and 606 earned runs. They have allowed 150 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Atlanta as a pitching staff has walked 461 batters and struck out 1,012. They walk 3.5 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.36 and their FIP as a unit is 4.37.
As a team, Atlanta is hitting .247, good for 24th in the league while putting together a .244 average on the road. The Braves have a .371 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .314 which is good for 23rd in the league. They rank 23rd in baseball with 8.44 hits per contest. Nick Markakis comes into this game hitting .268 and his on-base percentage is at .343. He has 134 hits this season along with 53 runs scored and 73 runs batted in. He's struck out 86 times and has walked 59 times. Freddie Freeman is hitting .289 and he has an on-base percentage of .387. He has totaled 142 hits so far while scoring 79 runs and he's driven in 66. He has walked 71 times and has struck out 142 times. The Braves have 1,123 hits, including 240 doubles and 92 home runs. They've stolen 61 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 30 times. Atlanta has walked 412 times this season and they've struck out 1,003 times as a unit. They've left 950 men on base and have a team OPS of .685. They score 3.76 runs per contest and have scored a total of 500 runs so far this year.
Philadelphia comes into this game with a 30-36 home mark and a 60-73 overall record. With an ERA of 3.80, Jeremy Hellickson has a 10-8 record and a 1.18 WHIP. He has 131 strikeouts over the 154 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 145 hits. He has allowed 8.5 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.16. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.42 and they have given up 436 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .258 against the Phillies bullpen while being struck out 418 times and walking 157 times this season. As a team, Philadelphia has allowed 9.23 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.29 batters per nine. They are 25th in the league in team earned run average at 4.55. The Phillies pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,208 base knocks and 595 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 178 home runs this year and they give up 1.4 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Philadelphia as a staff has walked 364 hitters and struck out 1,085. They give up a walk 2.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.3 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.33 while their FIP as a staff is 4.28.
As a team, they are batting .238, good for 29th in the league while putting together a .224 average at home. The Phillies hold a .385 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .296 which is good for 30th in baseball. They rank 29th in baseball with 7.95 hits per contest. Cesar Hernandez comes into this matchup batting .288 and he has an OBP of .351. He has 126 hits this year along with 51 runs scored and 34 RBI. He's struck out 93 times and has walked on 44 occasions. Odubel Herrera is hitting .282 and he has an OBP of .359. He has collected 137 hits so far while he's scored 68 runs and drove in 42. He has earned a walk 56 times and has punched out 109 times. The Phillies as a unit have 1,058 base hits, including 190 doubles and 134 homers. They have 72 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 35 times. Philadelphia as a team has walked 333 times this year and they have struck out 1,084 times. They've had 830 men left on base and have an OPS of .681. They score 3.7 runs per game and have totaled 492 runs so far this season.
Atlanta Braves Betting Trends
The Atlanta Braves are 64-61-8 against the over/under so far this season
The Atlanta Braves are 67-66-0 against the run line so far this season
Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends
The Philadelphia Phillies are 66-63-4 against the over/under so far this season
The Philadelphia Phillies are 68-65-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
08/31/16 P Arodys Vizcaino Shoulder 15-day DL (8/29)
08/26/16 P Rob Whalen Shoulder 15-day DL (8/25)
08/17/16 C A.J. Pierzynski Hamstring 15-day DL (8/17)
08/09/16 P Chris Withrow Elbow 15-day DL (8/5)
08/01/16 P Matt Marksberry Shoulder 15-day DL (7/31)
06/20/16 LF Mallex Smith Thumb 60-day DL (6/20)
06/08/16 P Williams Perez Rotator Cuff 60-day DL (6/7)
04/12/16 P Daniel Winkler Elbow 60-day DL (4/11)
04/04/16 P Andrew McKirahan Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Paco Rodriguez Elbow out for season
08/17/16 P Aaron Nola Elbow 60-day DL (7/29); out for season
08/09/16 P Zach Eflin Knee 60-day DL (8/9); out for season
07/26/16 2B Andres Blanco Finger 15-day DL (7/25)
05/01/16 P Dalier Hinojosa Hand 15-day DL (4/29)
04/24/16 P Charlie Morton Hamstring 60-day DL (4/24); out for season
03/31/16 P Matt Harrison Back 60-day DL (4/2)
Guy's Pick: Take the Phillies
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