Thursday, May 19, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Mike Foltynewicz vs. Jeff Locke
The Atlanta Braves visit PNC Park on Thursday to play the Pittsburgh Pirates. The probable starters are Mike Foltynewicz for the Braves and Jeff Locke for the Pirates. The opening line for this matchup has Atlanta at +180 and Pittsburgh at -190. The over/under was set at 8. The Braves have a 19-15-4 over/under record and a 14-24-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 37% of the time. The Pirates are 19-19-0 against the run line and have a 25-12-1 over/under record. They cover the spread 50% of the time.
The Braves head into this matchup with a 9-29 record, including 7-12 on the road. Starting pitcher Mike Foltynewicz has a 1-1 record with an earned run average of 2.89 and a WHIP of 1.18. He has 16 strikeouts over his 18.2 innings pitched and he has given up 20 hits so far this season. He has allowed 9.6 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.5. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 4.74 and they have given up 135 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .263 against the bullpen while being struck out 143 times and walking 65 times this season. As a team, Atlanta has allowed 9.11 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.85 batters per nine. They are 25th in the league in team earned run average at 4.70. The Braves pitchers have collectively given up 347 base hits and 179 earned runs. They have allowed 40 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Atlanta as a pitching staff has walked 136 batters and struck out 299. They walk 3.6 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.9 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.41 and their FIP as a unit is 4.20.
As a team, Atlanta is batting .233, good for 28th in the league while putting together a .232 average away from home. The Braves hold a .313 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .297 which is good for 27th in baseball. They rank 22nd in baseball with 7.97 hits per game. Nick Markakis comes into this game hitting .264 and his on-base percentage is at .371. He has 37 hits this season along with 14 runs scored and 22 runs batted in. He's struck out 27 times and has walked 23 times. Freddie Freeman is hitting .275 and he has an on-base percentage of .375. He has totaled 38 hits so far while scoring 17 runs and he's driven in 10. He has walked 19 times and has struck out 40 times. The Braves have 303 hits, including 58 doubles and 13 home runs. They've stolen 16 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 10 times. Atlanta has walked 108 times this season and they've struck out 314 times as a unit. They've left 266 men on base and have a team OPS of .609. They score 3.24 runs per contest and have scored a total of 123 runs so far this year.
Pittsburgh comes into this matchup with a 9-7 home record and a 21-17 overall mark. With an earned run average of 5.45, Jeff Locke has a 1-3 record and a 1.66 WHIP. He has 25 strikeouts over the 38 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 42 hits. He has allowed 9.9 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.24. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.45 and they have given up 130 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .256 against the Pirates bullpen while being struck out 109 times and walking 63 times this season. As a team, Pittsburgh has allowed 9.01 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.91 batters per nine. They are 22nd in the league in team earned run average at 4.53. The Pirates pitchers as a team have surrendered 344 base knocks and 173 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 50 home runs this year and they give up 1.3 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Pittsburgh as a staff has walked 153 hitters and struck out 302. They give up a walk 4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.9 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.45 while their FIP as a staff is 4.73.
As a team, they are batting .282, good for 2nd in the league while putting together a .295 average at home. The Pirates hold a .433 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .361 which is good for 1st in baseball. They rank 2nd in baseball with 9.95 hits per contest. Andrew McCutchen comes into this matchup batting .255 and he has an OBP of .345. He has 39 hits this year along with 26 runs scored and 18 RBI. He's struck out 41 times and has walked on 19 occasions. Starling Marte is hitting .326 and he has an OBP of .374. He has collected 47 hits so far while he's scored 21 runs and drove in 14. He has earned a walk 4 times and has punched out 35 times. The Pirates as a unit have 378 base hits, including 76 doubles and 37 homers. They have 27 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 12 times. Pittsburgh as a team has walked 150 times this year and they have struck out 306 times. They've had 314 men left on base and have an OPS of .794. They score 5.03 runs per game and have totaled 191 runs so far this season.
Atlanta Braves Betting Trends
The Atlanta Braves are 19-15-4 against the over/under so far this season
The Atlanta Braves are 14-24-0 against the run line so far this season
Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Trends
The Pittsburgh Pirates are 25-12-1 against the over/under so far this season
The Pittsburgh Pirates are 19-19-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
05/11/16 P Jim Johnson Groin 15-day DL (5/9)
04/13/16 2B Hector Olivera Legal problems out indefinitely
04/12/16 P Daniel Winkler Elbow 15-day DL (4/11)
04/04/16 P Andrew McKiraha Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Manuel Banuelos Elbow 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Paco Rodrigue Elbow out for season
04/04/16 P Shae Simmons Elbow 15-day DL (3/25)
03/31/16 C Elias Diaz Elbow 15-day DL (3/25)
Guy's Pick: Take the Braves
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