Tuesday, June 7, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Aaron Blair vs. Colin Rea
The Atlanta Braves head to Petco Park on Tuesday to take on the San Diego Padres. The probable pitchers are Aaron Blair for the Braves and Colin Rea for the Padres. The opening line for this game has Atlanta at +132 and San Diego at -142. The over/under is 7.5. The Braves have a 25-25-6 over/under mark and a 22-34-0 run line record, meaning they cover 39% of the time. The Padres are 36-22-0 against the run line and have a 29-28-1 over/under record. They cover the spread 62% of the time.
The Braves head into this game with a 16-40 record, and they are 10-17 on the road. Starting pitcher Aaron Blair has a 0-4 record with an ERA of 7.55 and a WHIP of 1.81. He has 16 strikeouts during his 31 innings pitched and he has given up 38 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 11 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 5.7. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 4.40 and they have allowed 187 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .251 against the pen while they've been struck out 202 times and walked 93 times this year. As a unit, Atlanta has given up 8.67 base hits per nine innings while striking out 7.76 hitters per nine. They are 22nd in the Majors in team earned run average at 4.45. The Braves pitchers have collectively given up 487 base hits and 250 earned runs. They have allowed 61 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Atlanta as a pitching staff has walked 199 batters and struck out 436. They walk 3.5 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.36 and their FIP as a unit is 4.28.
As a team, Atlanta is hitting .227, good for 30th in the league while putting together a .232 average on the road. The Braves have a .314 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .294 which is good for 28th in the league. They rank 29th in baseball with 7.64 hits per contest. Nick Markakis comes into this game hitting .248 and his on-base percentage is at .343. He has 50 hits this season along with 19 runs scored and 31 runs batted in. He's struck out 39 times and has walked 29 times. Freddie Freeman is hitting .246 and he has an on-base percentage of .339. He has totaled 51 hits so far while scoring 26 runs and he's driven in 16. He has walked 25 times and has struck out 62 times. The Braves have 428 hits, including 81 doubles and 23 home runs. They've stolen 24 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 16 times. Atlanta has walked 163 times this season and they've struck out 444 times as a unit. They've left 388 men on base and have a team OPS of .607. They score 3.11 runs per contest and have scored a total of 174 runs so far this year.
San Diego comes into this game with a 13-17 home mark and a 23-35 overall record. With an ERA of 4.85, Colin Rea has a 3-2 record and a 1.37 WHIP. He has 39 strikeouts over the 55.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 53 hits. He has allowed 8.6 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.63. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.94 and they have given up 201 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .250 against the Padres bullpen while being struck out 205 times and walking 98 times this season. As a team, San Diego has allowed 8.74 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.22 batters per nine. They are 24th in the league in team earned run average at 4.53. The Padres pitchers as a team have surrendered 509 base knocks and 264 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 64 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. San Diego as a staff has walked 236 hitters and struck out 479. They give up a walk 4.1 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.2 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.42 while their FIP as a staff is 4.37.
As a team, they are batting .236, good for 27th in the league while putting together a .230 average at home. The Padres hold a .380 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .290 which is good for 29th in baseball. They rank 22nd in baseball with 8.07 hits per contest. Wil Myers comes into this matchup batting .283 and he has an OBP of .315. He has 63 hits this year along with 33 runs scored and 30 RBI. He's struck out 54 times and has walked on 12 occasions. Jon Jay is hitting .299 and he has an OBP of .346. He has collected 66 hits so far while he's scored 28 runs and drove in 18. He has earned a walk 14 times and has punched out 51 times. The Padres as a unit have 468 base hits, including 92 doubles and 59 homers. They have 36 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 14 times. San Diego as a team has walked 143 times this year and they have struck out 535 times. They've had 355 men left on base and have an OPS of .670. They score 4 runs per game and have totaled 232 runs so far this season.
Atlanta Braves Betting Trends
The Atlanta Braves are 25-25-6 against the over/under so far this season
The Atlanta Braves are 22-34-0 against the run line so far this season
San Diego Padres Betting Trends
The San Diego Padres are 29-28-1 against the over/under so far this season
The San Diego Padres are 36-22-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
06/03/16 P Mike Foltynewicz Elbow 15-day DL (6/1)
06/02/16 3B Gordon Beckham Hamstring 15-day DL (6/2)
05/29/16 SS Erick Aybar Foot 15-day DL (5/28)
05/27/16 2B Hector Olivera Suspension 82 game suspension, eligible to return (8/1)
04/12/16 P Daniel Winkler Elbow 15-day DL (4/11)
04/04/16 P Andrew McKiraha Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Paco Rodrigue Elbow out for season
04/04/16 P Shae Simmons Elbow 15-day DL (3/25)
San Diego Padres
05/31/16 P Cesar Vargas Elbow 15-day DL (5/29)
05/09/16 2B Jemile Weeks Hamstring 15-day DL (5/8)
04/21/16 P Robbie Erlin Elbow 60-day DL (4/18)
04/21/16 2B Cory Spangenberg Quad 15-day DL (4/20)
04/09/16 P Tyson Ross Shoulder 15-day DL (4/5)
04/04/16 P Buddy Baumann Back 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Jonathan Edwards Hip 15-day DL (3/25)
Tony's Pick: Take the Padres
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