Wednesday, June 8, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Julio Teheran vs. Drew Pomeranz
The Atlanta Braves visit Petco Park on Wednesday to play the San Diego Padres. The probable starters are Julio Teheran for the Braves and Drew Pomeranz for the Padres. The opening line for this matchup has Atlanta at +128 and San Diego at -138. The over/under was set at 7. The Braves have a 26-25-6 over/under record and a 22-35-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 39% of the time. The Padres are 37-22-0 against the run line and have a 30-28-1 over/under record. They cover the spread 63% of the time.
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The Braves head into this matchup with a 16-41 record, including 10-18 on the road. Starting pitcher Julio Teheran has a 1-6 record with an earned run average of 2.92 and a WHIP of 1.05. He has 69 strikeouts over his 74 innings pitched and he has given up 56 hits so far this season. He has allowed 6.8 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.07. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 4.36 and they have given up 191 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .251 against the bullpen while being struck out 205 times and walking 94 times this season. As a team, Atlanta has allowed 8.73 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.73 batters per nine. They are 23rd in the league in team earned run average at 4.50. The Braves pitchers have collectively given up 498 base hits and 257 earned runs. They have allowed 62 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Atlanta as a pitching staff has walked 200 batters and struck out 441. They walk 3.5 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.7 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.36 and their FIP as a unit is 4.28.
As a team, Atlanta is batting .227, good for 30th in the league while putting together a .233 average away from home. The Braves hold a .313 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .294 which is good for 28th in baseball. They rank 29th in baseball with 7.67 hits per game. Nick Markakis comes into this game hitting .243 and his on-base percentage is at .338. He has 50 hits this season along with 19 runs scored and 31 runs batted in. He's struck out 39 times and has walked 29 times. Freddie Freeman is hitting .242 and he has an on-base percentage of .333. He has totaled 51 hits so far while scoring 26 runs and he's driven in 16. He has walked 25 times and has struck out 65 times. The Braves have 437 hits, including 82 doubles and 23 home runs. They've stolen 24 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 16 times. Atlanta has walked 165 times this season and they've struck out 455 times as a unit. They've left 397 men on base and have a team OPS of .606. They score 3.09 runs per contest and have scored a total of 176 runs so far this year.
San Diego comes into this matchup with a 14-17 home record and a 24-35 overall mark. With an earned run average of 2.22, Drew Pomeranz has a 5-5 record and a 1.05 WHIP. He has 77 strikeouts over the 65 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 37 hits. He has allowed 5.1 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 2.99. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.89 and they have given up 204 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .251 against the Padres bullpen while being struck out 209 times and walking 98 times this season. As a team, San Diego has allowed 8.81 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.34 batters per nine. They are 24th in the league in team earned run average at 4.53. The Padres pitchers as a team have surrendered 518 base knocks and 266 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 64 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. San Diego as a staff has walked 238 hitters and struck out 490. They give up a walk 4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.3 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.42 while their FIP as a staff is 4.32.
As a team, they are batting .237, good for 25th in the league while putting together a .233 average at home. The Padres hold a .382 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .291 which is good for 29th in baseball. They rank 22nd in baseball with 8.12 hits per contest. Wil Myers comes into this matchup batting .286 and he has an OBP of .318. He has 65 hits this year along with 35 runs scored and 30 RBI. He's struck out 54 times and has walked on 12 occasions. Jon Jay is hitting .296 and he has an OBP of .343. He has collected 67 hits so far while he's scored 29 runs and drove in 18. He has earned a walk 14 times and has punched out 51 times. The Padres as a unit have 479 base hits, including 96 doubles and 60 homers. They have 37 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 14 times. San Diego as a team has walked 144 times this year and they have struck out 540 times. They've had 361 men left on base and have an OPS of .673. They score 4.05 runs per game and have totaled 239 runs so far this season.
Atlanta Braves Betting Trends
The Atlanta Braves are 26-25-6 against the over/under so far this season
The Atlanta Braves are 22-35-0 against the run line so far this season
San Diego Padres Betting Trends
The San Diego Padres are 30-28-1 against the over/under so far this season
The San Diego Padres are 37-22-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
06/07/16 P Williams Perez Tricep left last game, "?" for next scheduled start06/03/16 P Mike Foltynewicz Elbow 15-day DL (6/1)06/02/16 3B Gordon Beckham Hamstring 15-day DL (6/2)05/29/16 SS Erick Aybar Foot 15-day DL (5/28)05/27/16 2B Hector Olivera Suspension 82 game suspension, eligible to return (8/1)04/12/16 P Daniel Winkler Elbow 15-day DL (4/11)04/04/16 P Andrew McKiraha Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)04/04/16 P Paco Rodrigue Elbow out for season04/04/16 P Shae Simmons Elbow 15-day DL (3/25)
San Diego Padres
05/31/16 P Cesar Vargas Elbow 15-day DL (5/29)05/09/16 2B Jemile Weeks Hamstring 15-day DL (5/8)04/21/16 P Robbie Erlin Elbow 60-day DL (4/18)04/21/16 2B Cory Spangenberg Quad 15-day DL (4/20)04/09/16 P Tyson Ross Shoulder 15-day DL (4/5)04/04/16 P Buddy Baumann Back 60-day DL (3/25)04/04/16 P Jonathan Edwards Hip 15-day DL (3/25)
Tony's Pick: Take the Braves
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