Sunday, August 28, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Aaron Blair vs. Madison Bumgarner
The Atlanta Braves visit AT&T Park on Sunday to play the San Francisco Giants. The probable starters are Aaron Blair for the Braves and Madison Bumgarner for the Giants. The opening line for this matchup has Atlanta at +275 and San Francisco at -310. The over/under was set at 7.5. The Braves have a 62-60-7 over/under record and a 64-65-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 50% of the time. The Giants are 59-69-0 against the run line and have a 61-63-4 over/under record. They cover the spread 46% of the time.
The Braves head into this matchup with a 47-82 record, including 28-38 on the road. Starting pitcher Aaron Blair has a 0-5 record with an earned run average of 7.99 and a WHIP of 1.76. He has 29 strikeouts over his 50.2 innings pitched and he has given up 60 hits so far this season. He has allowed 10.7 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 6.01. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 4.14 and they have given up 437 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .252 against the bullpen while being struck out 438 times and walking 213 times this season. As a team, Atlanta has allowed 8.81 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.56 batters per nine. They are 24th in the league in team earned run average at 4.55. The Braves pitchers have collectively given up 1,138 base hits and 588 earned runs. They have allowed 143 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Atlanta as a pitching staff has walked 454 batters and struck out 976. They walk 3.5 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.37 and their FIP as a unit is 4.38.
As a team, Atlanta is batting .246, good for 25th in the league while putting together a .245 average away from home. The Braves hold a .368 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .311 which is good for 25th in baseball. They rank 24th in baseball with 8.42 hits per game. Nick Markakis comes into this game hitting .272 and his on-base percentage is at .344. He has 132 hits this season along with 51 runs scored and 73 runs batted in. He's struck out 85 times and has walked 56 times. Freddie Freeman is hitting .290 and he has an on-base percentage of .387. He has totaled 138 hits so far while scoring 76 runs and he's driven in 62. He has walked 68 times and has struck out 139 times. The Braves have 1,086 hits, including 230 doubles and 89 home runs. They've stolen 59 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 29 times. Atlanta has walked 391 times this season and they've struck out 983 times as a unit. They've left 923 men on base and have a team OPS of .680. They score 3.71 runs per contest and have scored a total of 478 runs so far this year.
San Francisco comes into this matchup with a 36-28 home record and a 70-58 overall mark. With an earned run average of 2.44, Madison Bumgarner has a 12-8 record and a 1.05 WHIP. He has 202 strikeouts over the 180.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 142 hits. He has allowed 7.1 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.22. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.83 and they have given up 350 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .246 against the Giants bullpen while being struck out 322 times and walking 128 times this season. As a team, San Francisco has allowed 8.36 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.93 batters per nine. They are 4th in the league in team earned run average at 3.74. The Giants pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,071 base knocks and 479 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 132 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. San Francisco as a staff has walked 347 hitters and struck out 1,017. They give up a walk 2.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.9 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.23 while their FIP as a staff is 3.87.
As a team, they are batting .260, good for 11th in the league while putting together a .268 average at home. The Giants hold a .399 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .333 which is good for 4th in baseball. They rank 8th in baseball with 8.96 hits per contest. Buster Posey comes into this matchup batting .297 and he has an OBP of .369. He has 124 hits this year along with 69 runs scored and 60 RBI. He's struck out 53 times and has walked on 49 occasions. Brandon Crawford is hitting .272 and he has an OBP of .340. He has collected 121 hits so far while he's scored 54 runs and drove in 74. He has earned a walk 46 times and has punched out 94 times. The Giants as a unit have 1,147 base hits, including 220 doubles and 104 homers. They have 65 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 29 times. San Francisco as a team has walked 464 times this year and they have struck out 881 times. They've had 947 men left on base and have an OPS of .732. They score 4.47 runs per game and have totaled 572 runs so far this season.
Atlanta Braves Betting Trends
The Atlanta Braves are 62-60-7 against the over/under so far this season
The Atlanta Braves are 64-65-0 against the run line so far this season
San Francisco Giants Betting Trends
The San Francisco Giants are 61-63-4 against the over/under so far this season
The San Francisco Giants are 59-69-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
08/26/16 P Rob Whalen Shoulder 15-day DL (8/25)
08/17/16 C A.J. Pierzynski Hamstring 15-day DL (8/17)
08/09/16 P Chris Withrow Elbow 15-day DL (8/5)
08/01/16 P Matt Marksberry Shoulder 15-day DL (7/31)
06/20/16 LF Mallex Smith Thumb 60-day DL (6/20)
06/08/16 P Williams Perez Rotator Cuff 60-day DL (6/7)
04/12/16 P Daniel Winkler Elbow 60-day DL (4/11)
04/04/16 P Andrew McKirahan Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Paco Rodriguez Elbow out for season
San Francisco Giants
08/26/16 RF Hunter Pence Hamstring "?" Saturday vs. Atlanta Braves
08/23/16 LF Gregor Blanco Shoulder 15-day DL (8/22)
08/19/16 P Matt Cain Back 15-day DL (8/18)
08/02/16 RF Mac Williamson Shoulder 15-day DL (8/1)
07/29/16 P Josh Osich Forearm 15-day DL (7/24)
07/07/16 P Cory Gearrin Shoulder 15-day DL (7/6)
06/30/16 P Christopher Heston Oblique 60-day DL (6/29)
06/11/16 2B Kelby Tomlinson Thumb 15-day DL (6/9)
Guy's Pick: Take the Braves
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