Monday, September 5, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Ryan Weber vs. Max Scherzer
The Atlanta Braves visit Nationals Park on Monday to play the Washington Nationals. The probable starters are Ryan Weber for the Braves and Max Scherzer for the Nationals. The opening line for this matchup has Atlanta at +320 and Washington at -365. The over/under was set at 7.5. The Braves have a 67-61-8 over/under record and a 70-66-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 52% of the time. The Nationals are 68-67-0 against the run line and have a 64-64-7 over/under record. They cover the spread 50% of the time.
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The Braves head into this matchup with a 53-83 record, including 31-39 on the road. Starting pitcher Ryan Weber has a 1-0 record with an earned run average of 5.24 and a WHIP of 1.61. He has 13 strikeouts over his 22.1 innings pitched and he has given up 34 hits so far this season. He has allowed 13.7 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.13. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 4.18 and they have given up 457 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .251 against the bullpen while being struck out 457 times and walking 216 times this season. As a team, Atlanta has allowed 8.78 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.61 batters per nine. They are 23rd in the league in team earned run average at 4.55. The Braves pitchers have collectively given up 1,196 base hits and 619 earned runs. They have allowed 154 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Atlanta as a pitching staff has walked 464 batters and struck out 1,036. They walk 3.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.35 and their FIP as a unit is 4.36.
As a team, Atlanta is batting .248, good for 23rd in the league while putting together a .245 average away from home. The Braves hold a .373 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .315 which is good for 22nd in baseball. They rank 21st in baseball with 8.5 hits per game. Freddie Freeman comes into this game hitting .291 and his on-base percentage is at .392. He has 146 hits this season along with 84 runs scored and 70 runs batted in. He's struck out 144 times and has walked 76 times. Nick Markakis is hitting .266 and he has an on-base percentage of .341. He has totaled 136 hits so far while scoring 53 runs and he's driven in 75. He has walked 61 times and has struck out 90 times. The Braves have 1,156 hits, including 248 doubles and 96 home runs. They've stolen 62 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 31 times. Atlanta has walked 425 times this season and they've struck out 1,026 times as a unit. They've left 974 men on base and have a team OPS of .689. They score 3.85 runs per contest and have scored a total of 523 runs so far this year.
Washington comes into this matchup with a 38-26 home record and a 79-56 overall mark. With an earned run average of 2.89, Max Scherzer has a 15-7 record and a 0.91 WHIP. He has 238 strikeouts over the 190 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 128 hits. He has allowed 6.1 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.2. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.30 and they have given up 342 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .233 against the Nationals bullpen while being struck out 395 times and walking 131 times this season. As a team, Washington has allowed 7.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.09 batters per nine. They are 2nd in the league in team earned run average at 3.42. The Nationals pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,045 base knocks and 464 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 129 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Washington as a staff has walked 389 hitters and struck out 1,234. They give up a walk 2.9 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.1 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.17 while their FIP as a staff is 3.57.
As a team, they are batting .255, good for 17th in the league while putting together a .253 average at home. The Nationals hold a .429 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .326 which is good for 12th in baseball. They rank 17th in baseball with 8.71 hits per contest. Daniel Murphy comes into this matchup batting .340 and he has an OBP of .384. He has 164 hits this year along with 82 runs scored and 98 RBI. He's struck out 52 times and has walked on 32 occasions. Wilson Ramos is hitting .312 and he has an OBP of .360. He has collected 131 hits so far while he's scored 54 runs and drove in 72. He has earned a walk 32 times and has punched out 62 times. The Nationals as a unit have 1,176 base hits, including 225 doubles and 176 homers. They have 96 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 32 times. Washington as a team has walked 457 times this year and they have struck out 1,028 times. They've had 930 men left on base and have an OPS of .755. They score 4.78 runs per game and have totaled 645 runs so far this season.
Atlanta Braves Betting Trends
The Atlanta Braves are 67-61-8 against the over/under so far this season
The Atlanta Braves are 70-66-0 against the run line so far this season
Washington Nationals Betting Trends
The Washington Nationals are 64-64-7 against the over/under so far this season
The Washington Nationals are 68-67-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
09/04/16 P Aaron Blair Knee 15-day DL (8/29)
09/03/16 P Matt Wisler Oblique expected to miss next scheduled start Monday vs Washington Nationals
09/02/16 P Eric O'Flaherty Elbow 60-day DL (8/18)
08/31/16 P Arodys Vizcaino Shoulder 15-day DL (8/29)
08/26/16 P Rob Whalen Shoulder 15-day DL (8/25)
08/01/16 P Matt Marksberry Shoulder 15-day DL (7/31)
06/20/16 LF Mallex Smith Thumb 60-day DL (6/20)
04/12/16 P Daniel Winkler Elbow 60-day DL (4/11)
04/04/16 P Andrew McKirahan Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Paco Rodriguez Elbow out for season
09/03/16 P Joe Ross Shoulder 60-day DL (7/3)
09/03/16 P Max Scherzer Rest expected to miss scheduled start Sunday vs. New York Mets
08/23/16 P Stephen Strasburg Elbow 15-day DL (8/21)
08/18/16 P Sammy Solis Shoulder 15-day DL (8/16)
07/27/16 2B Stephen Drew Vertigo 15-day DL (7/24)
03/31/16 P Aaron Barrett Elbow 60-day DL (4/1)
Josh's Pick: Take the Braves
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