Tuesday, September 6, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Williams Perez vs. Gio Gonzalez
The Atlanta Braves visit Nationals Park on Tuesday to play the Washington Nationals. The probable starters are Williams Perez for the Braves and Gio Gonzalez for the Nationals. The opening line for this matchup has Atlanta at +207 and Washington at -225. The over/under was set at 8.5. The Braves have a 67-62-8 over/under record and a 71-66-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 52% of the time. The Nationals are 68-68-0 against the run line and have a 64-65-7 over/under record. They cover the spread 50% of the time.
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The Braves head into this matchup with a 54-83 record, including 32-39 on the road. Starting pitcher Williams Perez has a 2-2 record with an earned run average of 4.62 and a WHIP of 1.21. He has 23 strikeouts over his 48.2 innings pitched and he has given up 45 hits so far this season. He has allowed 8.3 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.2. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 4.15 and they have given up 457 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .250 against the bullpen while being struck out 463 times and walking 217 times this season. As a team, Atlanta has allowed 8.75 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.65 batters per nine. They are 23rd in the league in team earned run average at 4.51. The Braves pitchers have collectively given up 1,201 base hits and 619 earned runs. They have allowed 154 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Atlanta as a pitching staff has walked 467 batters and struck out 1,049. They walk 3.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.35 and their FIP as a unit is 4.34.
As a team, Atlanta is batting .248, good for 23rd in the league while putting together a .245 average away from home. The Braves hold a .374 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .316 which is good for 22nd in baseball. They rank 22nd in baseball with 8.5 hits per game. Freddie Freeman comes into this game hitting .294 and his on-base percentage is at .396. He has 148 hits this season along with 85 runs scored and 71 runs batted in. He's struck out 145 times and has walked 78 times. Nick Markakis is hitting .264 and he has an on-base percentage of .338. He has totaled 136 hits so far while scoring 53 runs and he's driven in 75. He has walked 61 times and has struck out 91 times. The Braves have 1,164 hits, including 249 doubles and 98 home runs. They've stolen 62 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 31 times. Atlanta has walked 431 times this season and they've struck out 1,035 times as a unit. They've left 986 men on base and have a team OPS of .690. They score 3.83 runs per contest and have scored a total of 525 runs so far this year.
Washington comes into this matchup with a 38-26 home record and a 79-57 overall mark. With an earned run average of 4.14, Gio Gonzalez has a 10-9 record and a 1.28 WHIP. He has 146 strikeouts over the 154.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 145 hits. He has allowed 8.5 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.83. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.31 and they have given up 345 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .232 against the Nationals bullpen while being struck out 397 times and walking 131 times this season. As a team, Washington has allowed 7.71 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.07 batters per nine. They are 2nd in the league in team earned run average at 3.43. The Nationals pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,054 base knocks and 469 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 131 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Washington as a staff has walked 390 hitters and struck out 1,239. They give up a walk 2.9 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.1 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.17 while their FIP as a staff is 3.58.
As a team, they are batting .255, good for 16th in the league while putting together a .253 average at home. The Nationals hold a .428 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .325 which is good for 13th in baseball. They rank 18th in baseball with 8.71 hits per contest. Daniel Murphy comes into this matchup batting .340 and he has an OBP of .383. He has 165 hits this year along with 82 runs scored and 98 RBI. He's struck out 52 times and has walked on 32 occasions. Wilson Ramos is hitting .309 and he has an OBP of .357. He has collected 131 hits so far while he's scored 54 runs and drove in 72. He has earned a walk 32 times and has punched out 64 times. The Nationals as a unit have 1,185 base hits, including 226 doubles and 177 homers. They have 96 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 32 times. Washington as a team has walked 457 times this year and they have struck out 1,035 times. They've had 939 men left on base and have an OPS of .754. They score 4.75 runs per game and have totaled 646 runs so far this season.
Atlanta Braves Betting Trends
The Atlanta Braves are 67-62-8 against the over/under so far this season
The Atlanta Braves are 71-66-0 against the run line so far this season
Washington Nationals Betting Trends
The Washington Nationals are 64-65-7 against the over/under so far this season
The Washington Nationals are 68-68-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
09/04/16 P Aaron Blair Knee 15-day DL (8/29)
09/03/16 P Matt Wisler Oblique expected to miss next scheduled start Monday vs Washington Nationals
09/02/16 P Eric O'Flaherty Elbow 60-day DL (8/18)
08/31/16 P Arodys Vizcaino Shoulder 15-day DL (8/29)
08/26/16 P Rob Whalen Shoulder 15-day DL (8/25)
08/01/16 P Matt Marksberry Shoulder 15-day DL (7/31)
06/20/16 LF Mallex Smith Thumb 60-day DL (6/20)
04/12/16 P Daniel Winkler Elbow 60-day DL (4/11)
04/04/16 P Andrew McKirahan Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Paco Rodriguez Elbow out for season
09/05/16 P Stephen Strasburg Elbow 15-day DL (8/21); expected to be activated and start Wednesday vs Atlanta
09/03/16 P Joe Ross Shoulder 60-day DL (7/3)
08/18/16 P Sammy Solis Shoulder 15-day DL (8/16)
07/27/16 2B Stephen Drew Vertigo 15-day DL (7/24)
03/31/16 P Aaron Barrett Elbow 60-day DL (4/1)
Josh's Pick: Take the Braves
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