Tuesday, April 12, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Mike Wright vs. Clay Buchholz
The Baltimore Orioles visit Fenway Park on Tuesday to play the Boston Red Sox. The probable starters are Mike Wright for the Orioles and Clay Buchholz for the Red Sox. The opening line for this matchup has Baltimore at +148 and Boston at -158. The over/under was set at 9. The Orioles have a 0-4-1 over/under record and a 4-1-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 80% of the time. The Red Sox are 4-1-0 against the run line and have a 4-1-0 over/under record. They cover the spread 80% of the time.
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The Orioles head into this matchup with a 5-0 record. Starting pitcher Mike Wright held a 3-5 record with an earned run average of 6.04 and a WHIP of 1.57 last season. He had 26 strikeouts over his 44.2 innings pitched and he also gave up 52 hits over that time period. He allowed 10.5 hits per 9 innings and he had a FIP of 6.13. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 1.27 and they have given up 13 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .173 against the bullpen while being struck out 26 times and walking 7 times this season. As a team, Baltimore has allowed 6.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 10.8 batters per nine. They are 1st in the league in team earned run average at 1.80. The Orioles pitchers have collectively given up 34 base hits and 9 earned runs. They have allowed 4 home runs this season and they allow 0.8 homers per nine innings as a staff. Baltimore as a pitching staff has walked 13 batters and struck out 54. They walk 2.6 men per 9 innings while striking out 10.8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.04 and their FIP as a unit is 2.90.
As a team, Baltimore is batting .298, good for 2nd in the league. The Orioles hold a .503 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .347 which is good for 5th in baseball. They rank 8th in baseball with 9.6 hits per game. Chris Davis comes into this game hitting .176 and his on-base percentage is at .333. He has 3 hits this season along with 5 runs scored and 2 runs batted in. He's struck out 5 times and has walked 4 times. Manny Machado is hitting .429 and he has an on-base percentage of .455. He has totaled 9 hits so far while scoring 5 runs and he's driven in 4. He has walked 1 time and has struck out 6 times. The Orioles have 48 hits, including 9 doubles, 0 triples, and 8 home runs. They've stolen 1 base while they've been thrown out stealing 0 times. Baltimore has walked 13 times this season and they've struck out 33 times as a unit. They've left 32 men on base and have a team OPS of .850. They score 4.4 runs per contest and have scored a total of 22 runs so far this year.
Boston comes into this matchup with a 3-2 overall mark. With an earned run average last season of 3.26, Clay Buchholz had a 7-7 record and a 1.21 WHIP. He had 107 strikeouts over the 113.1 innings he pitched during which he gave up 114 hits. He allowed 9.1 hits per nine innings and his FIP stood at 2.68. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 1.56 and they have given up 6 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .107 against the Red Sox bullpen while being struck out 16 times and walking 7 times this season. As a team, Boston has allowed 7.74 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.63 batters per nine. They are 21st in the league in team earned run average at 4.60. The Red Sox pitchers as a team have surrendered 37 base knocks and 22 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 6 home runs this year and they give up 1.3 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Boston as a staff has walked 19 hitters and struck out 46. They give up a walk 4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.30 while their FIP as a staff is 4.28.
As a team, they are batting .276, good for 8th in the league. The Red Sox hold a .464 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .338 which is good for 10th in baseball. They rank 6th in baseball with 10 hits per contest. David Ortiz comes into this matchup batting .294 and he has an OBP of .368. He has 5 hits this year along with 3 runs scored and 5 RBI. He's struck out 3 times and has walked on 2 occasions. Xander Bogaerts is hitting .227 and he has an OBP of .292. He has collected 5 hits so far while he's scored 5 runs and drove in 1. He has earned a walk 2 times and has punched out 6 times. The Red Sox as a unit have 50 base hits, including 14 doubles, 1 triple, and 6 homers. They have 2 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 1 time. Boston as a team has walked 18 times this year and they have struck out 47 times. They've had 38 men left on base and have an OPS of .802. They score 5.6 runs per game and have totaled 28 runs so far this season.
Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends
The Baltimore Orioles are 0-4-1 against the over/under so far this season
The Baltimore Orioles are 4-1-0 against the run line so far this season
Boston Red Sox Betting Trends
The Boston Red Sox are 4-1-0 against the over/under so far this season
The Boston Red Sox are 4-1-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
04/11/16 CF Adam Jones Ribs is downgraded to not expected to be in the starting lineup Monday vs. Boston Red Sox
04/01/16 P Brian Matusz Back Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (3/25)
03/31/16 3B Jimmy Paredes Wrist Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (3/25)
03/30/16 P Kevin Gausman Shoulder Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (3/25)
Boston Red Sox
04/04/16 P Brandon Workman Elbow Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (3/25)
04/04/16 P Carson Smith Elbow Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (3/25)
04/04/16 P Eduardo Rodrigue Knee Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (4/2)
04/03/16 C Christian Vazquez Elbow Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (3/25)
Guy's Pick: Take the Red Sox
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