Thursday, June 16, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Tyler Wilson vs. Eduardo Rodriguez
The Baltimore Orioles visit Fenway Park on Thursday to play the Boston Red Sox. The probable starters are Tyler Wilson for the Orioles and Eduardo Rodriguez for the Red Sox. The opening line for this matchup has Baltimore at +115 and Boston at -135. The over/under was set at 9.5. The Orioles have a 31-29-3 over/under record and a 36-27-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 57% of the time. The Red Sox are 36-27-0 against the run line and have a 34-24-5 over/under record. They cover the spread 57% of the time.
The Orioles head into this matchup with a 37-26 record, including 13-15 on the road. Starting pitcher Tyler Wilson has a 2-5 record with an earned run average of 4.73 and a WHIP of 1.27. He has 30 strikeouts over his 59 innings pitched and he has given up 60 hits so far this season. He has allowed 9.2 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.47. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.01 and they have given up 200 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .247 against the bullpen while being struck out 196 times and walking 79 times this season. As a team, Baltimore has allowed 9.14 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.63 batters per nine. They are 15th in the league in team earned run average at 4.11. The Orioles pitchers have collectively given up 568 base hits and 255 earned runs. They have allowed 67 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Baltimore as a pitching staff has walked 206 batters and struck out 474. They walk 3.3 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.39 and their FIP as a unit is 4.19.
As a team, Baltimore is batting .259, good for 11th in the league while putting together a .257 average away from home. The Orioles hold a .457 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .324 which is good for 13th in baseball. They rank 11th in baseball with 8.78 hits per game. Manny Machado comes into this game hitting .307 and his on-base percentage is at .375. He has 78 hits this season along with 48 runs scored and 41 runs batted in. He's struck out 53 times and has walked 26 times. Mark Trumbo is hitting .285 and he has an on-base percentage of .336. He has totaled 71 hits so far while scoring 38 runs and he's driven in 49. He has walked 17 times and has struck out 73 times. The Orioles have 553 hits, including 115 doubles and 101 home runs. They've stolen 11 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 6 times. Baltimore has walked 200 times this season and they've struck out 544 times as a unit. They've left 413 men on base and have a team OPS of .781. They score 4.79 runs per contest and have scored a total of 302 runs so far this year.
Boston comes into this matchup with a 19-13 home record and a 36-27 overall mark. With an earned run average of 6.06, Eduardo Rodriguez has a 1-1 record and a 1.41 WHIP. He has 7 strikeouts over the 16.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 16 hits. He has allowed 8.8 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 7.54. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.61 and they have given up 155 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .220 against the Red Sox bullpen while being struck out 212 times and walking 83 times this season. As a team, Boston has allowed 8.03 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.66 batters per nine. They are 19th in the league in team earned run average at 4.21. The Red Sox pitchers as a team have surrendered 502 base knocks and 263 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 71 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Boston as a staff has walked 222 hitters and struck out 543. They give up a walk 3.5 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.28 while their FIP as a staff is 4.17.
As a team, they are batting .290, good for 1st in the league while putting together a .298 average at home. The Red Sox hold a .481 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .355 which is good for 1st in baseball. They rank 1st in baseball with 10.4 hits per contest. Xander Bogaerts comes into this matchup batting .355 and he has an OBP of .403. He has 94 hits this year along with 51 runs scored and 44 RBI. He's struck out 44 times and has walked on 21 occasions. Mookie Betts is hitting .289 and he has an OBP of .338. He has collected 80 hits so far while he's scored 59 runs and drove in 47. He has earned a walk 20 times and has punched out 41 times. The Red Sox as a unit have 655 base hits, including 162 doubles and 78 homers. They have 45 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 6 times. Boston as a team has walked 218 times this year and they have struck out 466 times. They've had 460 men left on base and have an OPS of .837. They score 5.89 runs per game and have totaled 371 runs so far this season.
Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends
The Baltimore Orioles are 31-29-3 against the over/under so far this season
The Baltimore Orioles are 36-27-0 against the run line so far this season
Boston Red Sox Betting Trends
The Boston Red Sox are 34-24-5 against the over/under so far this season
The Boston Red Sox are 36-27-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
06/14/16 P Vance Worley Groin 15-day DL (6/13)
06/04/16 P Darren O'Day Hamstring 15-day DL (6/3)
05/31/16 C Caleb Joseph Groin 15-day DL (5/30)
05/03/16 SS J.J. Hardy Foot 15-day DL (5/2)
04/23/16 P Yovani Gallardo Shoulder 15-day DL (4/23)
Boston Red Sox
06/07/16 P Carson Smith Elbow 60-day DL (5/15)
06/06/16 C Blake Swihart Ankle 15-day DL (6/5)
06/06/16 C Ryan Hanigan Neck 15-day DL (6/5)
06/05/16 LF Brock Holt Concussion 15-day DL (6/2)
05/03/16 3B Pablo Sandoval Shoulder 60-day DL (4/11); out for season
04/04/16 P Brandon Workman Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
Guy's Pick: Take the Orioles
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