Tuesday, September 13, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Dylan Bundy vs. Drew Pomeranz
The Baltimore Orioles visit Fenway Park on Tuesday to play the Boston Red Sox. The probable starters are Dylan Bundy for the Orioles and Drew Pomeranz for the Red Sox. The opening line for this matchup has Baltimore at +140 and Boston at -150. The over/under was set at 9.5. The Orioles have a 63-76-3 over/under record and a 74-68-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 52% of the time. The Red Sox are 73-69-0 against the run line and have a 71-65-6 over/under record. They cover the spread 51% of the time.
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The Orioles head into this matchup with a 78-64 record, including 33-39 on the road. Starting pitcher Dylan Bundy has a 8-5 record with an earned run average of 3.82 and a WHIP of 1.37. He has 92 strikeouts over his 94.1 innings pitched and he has given up 94 hits so far this season. He has allowed 9 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.53. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.63 and they have given up 445 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .246 against the bullpen while being struck out 438 times and walking 191 times this season. As a team, Baltimore has allowed 8.96 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.76 batters per nine. They are 20th in the league in team earned run average at 4.36. The Orioles pitchers have collectively given up 1,247 base hits and 607 earned runs. They have allowed 164 home runs this season and they allow 1.2 homers per nine innings as a staff. Baltimore as a pitching staff has walked 490 batters and struck out 1,080. They walk 3.5 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.39 and their FIP as a unit is 4.40.
As a team, Baltimore is batting .261, good for 11th in the league while putting together a .256 average away from home. The Orioles hold a .453 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .322 which is good for 16th in baseball. They rank 11th in baseball with 8.92 hits per game. Manny Machado comes into this game hitting .307 and his on-base percentage is at .358. He has 172 hits this season along with 98 runs scored and 90 runs batted in. He's struck out 101 times and has walked 45 times. Adam Jones is hitting .281 and he has an on-base percentage of .322. He has totaled 151 hits so far while scoring 81 runs and he's driven in 80. He has walked 33 times and has struck out 99 times. The Orioles have 1,266 hits, including 245 doubles and 226 home runs. They've stolen 16 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 11 times. Baltimore has walked 413 times this season and they've struck out 1,162 times as a unit. They've left 932 men on base and have a team OPS of .774. They score 4.77 runs per contest and have scored a total of 677 runs so far this year.
Boston comes into this matchup with a 41-30 home record and a 80-62 overall mark. With an earned run average of 3.01, Drew Pomeranz has a 10-11 record and a 1.15 WHIP. He has 174 strikeouts over the 158.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 122 hits. He has allowed 6.9 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.59. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.78 and they have given up 366 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .236 against the Red Sox bullpen while being struck out 440 times and walking 162 times this season. As a team, Boston has allowed 8.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.44 batters per nine. They are 13th in the league in team earned run average at 4.10. The Red Sox pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,191 base knocks and 574 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 156 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Boston as a staff has walked 430 hitters and struck out 1,183. They give up a walk 3.1 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.29 while their FIP as a staff is 4.04.
As a team, they are batting .286, good for 1st in the league while putting together a .304 average at home. The Red Sox hold a .468 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .351 which is good for 1st in baseball. They rank 1st in baseball with 10.07 hits per contest. Mookie Betts comes into this matchup batting .314 and he has an OBP of .356. He has 188 hits this year along with 107 runs scored and 102 RBI. He's struck out 79 times and has walked on 41 occasions. Xander Bogaerts is hitting .299 and he has an OBP of .357. He has collected 173 hits so far while he's scored 101 runs and drove in 83. He has earned a walk 49 times and has punched out 108 times. The Red Sox as a unit have 1,430 base hits, including 314 doubles and 184 homers. They have 77 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 21 times. Boston as a team has walked 485 times this year and they have struck out 1,034 times. They've had 1,026 men left on base and have an OPS of .819. They score 5.56 runs per game and have totaled 790 runs so far this season.
Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends
The Baltimore Orioles are 63-76-3 against the over/under so far this season
The Baltimore Orioles are 74-68-0 against the run line so far this season
Boston Red Sox Betting Trends
The Boston Red Sox are 71-65-6 against the over/under so far this season
The Boston Red Sox are 73-69-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
09/01/16 RF Joey Rickard Thumb 60-day DL (7/21)
08/13/16 P Darren O'Day Shoulder 15-day DL (8/12)
Boston Red Sox
09/07/16 P Steven Wright Shoulder out indefinitely
08/25/16 LF Andrew Benintendi Knee 15-day DL (8/25)
06/17/16 2B Josh Rutledge Knee 60-day DL (6/15)
06/07/16 P Carson Smith Elbow 60-day DL (5/15)
06/06/16 C Blake Swihart Ankle 60-day DL (6/5)
05/03/16 3B Pablo Sandoval Shoulder 60-day DL (4/11); out for season
04/04/16 P Brandon Workman Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
Tony's Pick: Take the Orioles
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