Wednesday, September 14, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Kevin Gausman vs. Rick Porcello
The Baltimore Orioles visit Fenway Park on Wednesday to play the Boston Red Sox. The probable starters are Kevin Gausman for the Orioles and Rick Porcello for the Red Sox. The opening line for this matchup has Baltimore at +149 and Boston at -159. The over/under was set at 9. The Orioles have a 64-76-3 over/under record and a 74-69-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 52% of the time. The Red Sox are 74-69-0 against the run line and have a 72-65-6 over/under record. They cover the spread 52% of the time.
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The Orioles head into this matchup with a 78-65 record, including 33-40 on the road. Starting pitcher Kevin Gausman has a 7-10 record with an earned run average of 3.61 and a WHIP of 1.29. He has 155 strikeouts over his 152 innings pitched and he has given up 154 hits so far this season. He has allowed 9.1 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.69 and they have given up 453 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .247 against the bullpen while being struck out 445 times and walking 193 times this season. As a team, Baltimore has allowed 9.02 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.76 batters per nine. They are 21st in the league in team earned run average at 4.42. The Orioles pitchers have collectively given up 1,263 base hits and 619 earned runs. They have allowed 167 home runs this season and they allow 1.2 homers per nine innings as a staff. Baltimore as a pitching staff has walked 493 batters and struck out 1,087. They walk 3.5 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.39 and their FIP as a unit is 4.42.
As a team, Baltimore is batting .259, good for 11th in the league while putting together a .254 average away from home. The Orioles hold a .452 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .320 which is good for 18th in baseball. They rank 11th in baseball with 8.87 hits per game. Manny Machado comes into this game hitting .306 and his on-base percentage is at .358. He has 173 hits this season along with 99 runs scored and 91 runs batted in. He's struck out 101 times and has walked 45 times. Adam Jones is hitting .280 and he has an on-base percentage of .321. He has totaled 151 hits so far while scoring 81 runs and he's driven in 80. He has walked 33 times and has struck out 100 times. The Orioles have 1,268 hits, including 245 doubles and 228 home runs. They've stolen 16 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 11 times. Baltimore has walked 414 times this season and they've struck out 1,171 times as a unit. They've left 933 men on base and have a team OPS of .772. They score 4.75 runs per contest and have scored a total of 679 runs so far this year.
Boston comes into this matchup with a 42-30 home record and a 81-62 overall mark. With an earned run average of 3.21, Rick Porcello has a 20-3 record and a 1.02 WHIP. He has 161 strikeouts over the 193.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 169 hits. He has allowed 7.9 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.46. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.78 and they have given up 366 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .235 against the Red Sox bullpen while being struck out 440 times and walking 163 times this season. As a team, Boston has allowed 8.45 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.45 batters per nine. They are 12th in the league in team earned run average at 4.08. The Red Sox pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,193 base knocks and 576 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 158 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Boston as a staff has walked 431 hitters and struck out 1,192. They give up a walk 3.1 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.28 while their FIP as a staff is 4.04.
As a team, they are batting .287, good for 1st in the league while putting together a .306 average at home. The Red Sox hold a .470 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .352 which is good for 1st in baseball. They rank 1st in baseball with 10.11 hits per contest. Mookie Betts comes into this matchup batting .313 and he has an OBP of .355. He has 189 hits this year along with 108 runs scored and 104 RBI. He's struck out 80 times and has walked on 41 occasions. Xander Bogaerts is hitting .300 and he has an OBP of .358. He has collected 175 hits so far while he's scored 103 runs and drove in 84. He has earned a walk 49 times and has punched out 108 times. The Red Sox as a unit have 1,446 base hits, including 317 doubles and 187 homers. They have 77 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 22 times. Boston as a team has walked 488 times this year and they have struck out 1,041 times. They've had 1,032 men left on base and have an OPS of .822. They score 5.61 runs per game and have totaled 802 runs so far this season.
Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends
The Baltimore Orioles are 64-76-3 against the over/under so far this season
The Baltimore Orioles are 74-69-0 against the run line so far this season
Boston Red Sox Betting Trends
The Boston Red Sox are 72-65-6 against the over/under so far this season
The Boston Red Sox are 74-69-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
09/01/16 RF Joey Rickard Thumb 60-day DL (7/21)
08/13/16 P Darren O'Day Shoulder 15-day DL (8/12)
Boston Red Sox
09/07/16 P Steven Wright Shoulder out indefinitely
08/25/16 LF Andrew Benintendi Knee 15-day DL (8/25)
06/17/16 2B Josh Rutledge Knee 60-day DL (6/15)
06/07/16 P Carson Smith Elbow 60-day DL (5/15)
06/06/16 C Blake Swihart Ankle 60-day DL (6/5)
05/03/16 3B Pablo Sandoval Shoulder 60-day DL (4/11); out for season
04/04/16 P Brandon Workman Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
Guy's Pick: Take the Orioles
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