Sunday, September 11, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Chris Tillman vs. Justin Verlander
The Baltimore Orioles head to Comerica Park on Sunday to take on the Detroit Tigers. The probable pitchers are Chris Tillman for the Orioles and Justin Verlander for the Tigers. The opening line for this game has Baltimore at +133 and Detroit at -143. The over/under is 8.5. The Orioles have a 62-75-3 over/under mark and a 72-68-0 run line record, meaning they cover 51% of the time. The Tigers are 75-65-0 against the run line and have a 69-65-6 over/under record. They cover the spread 54% of the time.
The Orioles head into this game with a 76-64 record, and they are 31-39 on the road. Starting pitcher Chris Tillman has a 15-5 record with an ERA of 3.76 and a WHIP of 1.27. He has 126 strikeouts during his 153 innings pitched and he has given up 136 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 8 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.26. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 3.65 and they have allowed 440 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .246 against the pen while they've been struck out 434 times and walked 188 times this year. As a unit, Baltimore has given up 9 base hits per nine innings while striking out 7.79 hitters per nine. They are 20th in the Majors in team earned run average at 4.40. The Orioles pitchers have collectively given up 1,234 base hits and 603 earned runs. They have allowed 164 home runs this season and they allow 1.2 homers per nine innings as a staff. Baltimore as a pitching staff has walked 483 batters and struck out 1,068. They walk 3.5 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.39 and their FIP as a unit is 4.42.
As a team, Baltimore is hitting .260, good for 10th in the league while putting together a .255 average on the road. The Orioles have a .450 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .321 which is good for 19th in the league. They rank 10th in baseball with 8.91 hits per contest. Adam Jones comes into this game hitting .278 and his on-base percentage is at .318. He has 147 hits this season along with 80 runs scored and 78 runs batted in. He's struck out 99 times and has walked 31 times. Manny Machado is hitting .305 and he has an on-base percentage of .355. He has totaled 169 hits so far while scoring 96 runs and he's driven in 90. He has walked 43 times and has struck out 101 times. The Orioles have 1,246 hits, including 241 doubles and 220 home runs. They've stolen 16 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 10 times. Baltimore has walked 401 times this season and they've struck out 1,144 times as a unit. They've left 917 men on base and have a team OPS of .770. They score 4.74 runs per contest and have scored a total of 663 runs so far this year.
Detroit comes into this game with a 40-28 home mark and a 76-64 overall record. With an ERA of 3.28, Justin Verlander has a 14-7 record and a 1.01 WHIP. He has 209 strikeouts over the 195 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 149 hits. He has allowed 6.9 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.57. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.24 and they have given up 435 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .260 against the Tigers bullpen while being struck out 371 times and walking 146 times this season. As a team, Detroit has allowed 9 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.52 batters per nine. They are 16th in the league in team earned run average at 4.18. The Tigers pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,246 base knocks and 579 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 152 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Detroit as a staff has walked 389 hitters and struck out 1,041. They give up a walk 2.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.5 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.31 while their FIP as a staff is 4.11.
As a team, they are batting .267, good for 3rd in the league while putting together a .270 average at home. The Tigers hold a .436 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .329 which is good for 6th in baseball. They rank 4th in baseball with 9.19 hits per contest. Miguel Cabrera comes into this matchup batting .313 and he has an OBP of .388. He has 162 hits this year along with 77 runs scored and 87 RBI. He's struck out 101 times and has walked on 63 occasions. Ian Kinsler is hitting .281 and he has an OBP of .341. He has collected 154 hits so far while he's scored 102 runs and drove in 72. He has earned a walk 39 times and has punched out 104 times. The Tigers as a unit have 1,286 base hits, including 213 doubles and 184 homers. They have 54 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 25 times. Detroit as a team has walked 418 times this year and they have struck out 1,128 times. They've had 955 men left on base and have an OPS of .765. They score 4.61 runs per game and have totaled 645 runs so far this season.
Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends
The Baltimore Orioles are 62-75-3 against the over/under so far this season
The Baltimore Orioles are 72-68-0 against the run line so far this season
Detroit Tigers Betting Trends
The Detroit Tigers are 69-65-6 against the over/under so far this season
The Detroit Tigers are 75-65-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
09/01/16 RF Joey Rickard Thumb 60-day DL (7/21)
08/24/16 P Chris Tillman Shoulder 15-day DL (8/21), expected to be activated & start Sunday vs. Detroit Tigers
08/13/16 P Darren O'Day Shoulder 15-day DL (8/12)
08/07/16 3B Nick Castellanos Hand 15-day DL (8/7)
06/21/16 P Drew VerHagen Shoulder 60-day DL (5/23), out for season
04/04/16 P Jeff Ferrell Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
04/01/16 P Angel Nesbitt Ankle 15-day DL (3/25)
Guy's Pick: Take the Tigers
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