Friday, September 9, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Kevin Gausman vs. Michael Fulmer
The Baltimore Orioles visit Comerica Park on Friday to play the Detroit Tigers. The probable starters are Kevin Gausman for the Orioles and Michael Fulmer for the Tigers. The opening line for this matchup has Baltimore at +101 and Detroit at -111. The over/under was set at 8.5. The Orioles have a 62-74-3 over/under record and a 71-68-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 51% of the time. The Tigers are 75-64-0 against the run line and have a 69-64-6 over/under record. They cover the spread 54% of the time.
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The Orioles head into this matchup with a 76-63 record, including 31-38 on the road. Starting pitcher Kevin Gausman has a 7-10 record with an earned run average of 3.58 and a WHIP of 1.28. He has 148 strikeouts over his 146 innings pitched and he has given up 147 hits so far this season. He has allowed 9.1 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.08. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.64 and they have given up 438 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .246 against the bullpen while being struck out 431 times and walking 187 times this season. As a team, Baltimore has allowed 8.99 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.77 batters per nine. They are 20th in the league in team earned run average at 4.40. The Orioles pitchers have collectively given up 1,225 base hits and 599 earned runs. They have allowed 163 home runs this season and they allow 1.2 homers per nine innings as a staff. Baltimore as a pitching staff has walked 480 batters and struck out 1,058. They walk 3.5 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.39 and their FIP as a unit is 4.43.
As a team, Baltimore is batting .261, good for 10th in the league while putting together a .256 average away from home. The Orioles hold a .451 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .321 which is good for 19th in baseball. They rank 10th in baseball with 8.94 hits per game. Adam Jones comes into this game hitting .276 and his on-base percentage is at .314. He has 145 hits this season along with 79 runs scored and 77 runs batted in. He's struck out 99 times and has walked 30 times. Manny Machado is hitting .307 and he has an on-base percentage of .358. He has totaled 169 hits so far while scoring 96 runs and he's driven in 90. He has walked 43 times and has struck out 100 times. The Orioles have 1,241 hits, including 239 doubles and 219 home runs. They've stolen 16 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 10 times. Baltimore has walked 400 times this season and they've struck out 1,137 times as a unit. They've left 914 men on base and have a team OPS of .772. They score 4.75 runs per contest and have scored a total of 660 runs so far this year.
Detroit comes into this matchup with a 39-28 home record and a 75-64 overall mark. With an earned run average of 2.77, Michael Fulmer has a 10-6 record and a 1.08 WHIP. He has 112 strikeouts over the 136.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 112 hits. He has allowed 7.4 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.79. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.24 and they have given up 433 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .260 against the Tigers bullpen while being struck out 369 times and walking 146 times this season. As a team, Detroit has allowed 9.03 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.53 batters per nine. They are 18th in the league in team earned run average at 4.19. The Tigers pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,241 base knocks and 576 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 151 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Detroit as a staff has walked 388 hitters and struck out 1,034. They give up a walk 2.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.5 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.32 while their FIP as a staff is 4.12.
As a team, they are batting .267, good for 4th in the league while putting together a .270 average at home. The Tigers hold a .436 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .329 which is good for 6th in baseball. They rank 4th in baseball with 9.19 hits per contest. Miguel Cabrera comes into this matchup batting .315 and he has an OBP of .389. He has 162 hits this year along with 77 runs scored and 87 RBI. He's struck out 98 times and has walked on 62 occasions. Ian Kinsler is hitting .279 and he has an OBP of .339. He has collected 152 hits so far while he's scored 101 runs and drove in 72. He has earned a walk 39 times and has punched out 103 times. The Tigers as a unit have 1,277 base hits, including 212 doubles and 183 homers. They have 53 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 24 times. Detroit as a team has walked 415 times this year and they have struck out 1,118 times. They've had 949 men left on base and have an OPS of .765. They score 4.61 runs per game and have totaled 641 runs so far this season.
Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends
The Baltimore Orioles are 62-74-3 against the over/under so far this season
The Baltimore Orioles are 71-68-0 against the run line so far this season
Detroit Tigers Betting Trends
The Detroit Tigers are 69-64-6 against the over/under so far this season
The Detroit Tigers are 75-64-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
09/07/16 1B Chris Davis Hand "?" Friday vs Detroit Tigers
09/01/16 RF Joey Rickard Thumb 60-day DL (7/21)
08/24/16 P Chris Tillman Shoulder 15-day DL (8/21), expected to be activated & start Sunday vs. Detroit Tigers
08/13/16 P Darren O'Day Shoulder 15-day DL (8/12)
09/07/16 SS Erick Aybar Abdominal "?" Friday vs. Baltimore Orioles
08/07/16 3B Nick Castellanos Hand 15-day DL (8/7)
06/21/16 P Drew VerHagen Shoulder 60-day DL (5/23), out for season
04/04/16 P Jeff Ferrell Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
04/01/16 P Angel Nesbitt Ankle 15-day DL (3/25)
Tony's Pick: Take the Orioles
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