Tuesday, May 10, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Kevin Gausman vs. Phil Hughes
The Baltimore Orioles visit Target Field on Tuesday to play the Minnesota Twins. The probable starters are Kevin Gausman for the Orioles and Phil Hughes for the Twins. The opening line for this matchup has Baltimore at -125 and Minnesota at +105. The over/under was set at 8.5. The Orioles have a 11-17-2 over/under record and a 16-14-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 53% of the time. The Twins are 12-19-0 against the run line and have a 15-14-2 over/under record. They cover the spread 39% of the time.
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The Orioles head into this matchup with a 18-12 record, including 5-7 on the road. Starting pitcher Kevin Gausman has a 0-1 record with an earned run average of 1.42 and a WHIP of 0.68. He has 14 strikeouts over his 19 innings pitched and he has given up 10 hits so far this season. He has allowed 4.7 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 2.91. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 2.45 and they have given up 84 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .227 against the bullpen while being struck out 93 times and walking 39 times this season. As a team, Baltimore has allowed 8.39 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.88 batters per nine. They are 9th in the league in team earned run average at 3.63. The Orioles pitchers have collectively given up 247 base hits and 107 earned runs. They have allowed 19 home runs this season and they allow 0.6 homers per nine innings as a staff. Baltimore as a pitching staff has walked 96 batters and struck out 232. They walk 3.3 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.9 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.29 and their FIP as a unit is 3.50.
As a team, Baltimore is batting .264, good for 7th in the league while putting together a .247 average away from home. The Orioles hold a .448 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .330 which is good for 8th in baseball. They rank 10th in baseball with 8.87 hits per game. Manny Machado comes into this game hitting .350 and his on-base percentage is at .403. He has 43 hits this season along with 24 runs scored and 22 runs batted in. He's struck out 20 times and has walked 10 times. Mark Trumbo is hitting .325 and he has an on-base percentage of .378. He has totaled 38 hits so far while scoring 16 runs and he's driven in 24. He has walked 8 times and has struck out 34 times. The Orioles have 266 hits, including 54 doubles and 43 home runs. They've stolen 4 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 3 times. Baltimore has walked 95 times this season and they've struck out 242 times as a unit. They've left 196 men on base and have a team OPS of .778. They score 4.47 runs per contest and have scored a total of 134 runs so far this year.
Minnesota comes into this matchup with a 6-8 home record and a 8-23 overall mark. With an earned run average of 5.85, Phil Hughes has a 1-5 record and a 1.42 WHIP. He has 22 strikeouts over the 32.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 38 hits. He has allowed 10.6 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.06. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.20 and they have given up 110 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .256 against the Twins bullpen while being struck out 109 times and walking 47 times this season. As a team, Minnesota has allowed 9.55 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.2 batters per nine. They are 25th in the league in team earned run average at 4.71. The Twins pitchers as a team have surrendered 290 base knocks and 143 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 37 home runs this year and they give up 1.2 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Minnesota as a staff has walked 103 hitters and struck out 249. They give up a walk 3.4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.2 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.44 while their FIP as a staff is 4.23.
As a team, they are batting .237, good for 22nd in the league while putting together a .256 average at home. The Twins hold a .371 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .307 which is good for 22nd in baseball. They rank 20th in baseball with 8.1 hits per contest. Joe Mauer comes into this matchup batting .299 and he has an OBP of .420. He has 32 hits this year along with 10 runs scored and 9 RBI. He's struck out 15 times and has walked on 22 occasions. Eduardo Nunez is hitting .372 and he has an OBP of .412. He has collected 29 hits so far while he's scored 12 runs and drove in 10. He has earned a walk 3 times and has punched out 15 times. The Twins as a unit have 251 base hits, including 54 doubles and 26 homers. They have 18 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 7 times. Minnesota as a team has walked 99 times this year and they have struck out 277 times. They've had 229 men left on base and have an OPS of .678. They score 3.42 runs per game and have totaled 106 runs so far this season.
Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends
The Baltimore Orioles are 11-17-2 against the over/under so far this season
The Baltimore Orioles are 16-14-0 against the run line so far this season
Minnesota Twins Betting Trends
The Minnesota Twins are 15-14-2 against the over/under so far this season
The Minnesota Twins are 12-19-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
05/03/16 SS J.J. Hardy Foot 15-day DL (5/2)
04/23/16 P Yovani Gallardo Shoulder 15-day DL (4/23)
03/31/16 3B Jimmy Paredes Wrist 15-day DL (3/25)
05/07/16 SS Eduardo Escobar Groin 15-day DL (5/7)
04/27/16 P Kyle Gibson Shoulder 15-day DL (4/23)
04/13/16 P Glen Perkins Shoulder 15-day DL (4/11)
Tony's Pick: Take the Orioles
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