Monday, May 9, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Tyler Wilson vs. Jose Berrios
The Baltimore Orioles visit Target Field on Monday to play the Minnesota Twins. The probable starters are Tyler Wilson for the Orioles and Jose Berrios for the Twins. The opening line for this matchup has Baltimore at -113 and Minnesota at +103. The over/under was set at 8.5. The Orioles have a 10-17-2 over/under record and a 15-14-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 52% of the time. The Twins are 12-18-0 against the run line and have a 15-13-2 over/under record. They cover the spread 40% of the time.
The Orioles head into this matchup with a 17-12 record, including 5-7 on the road. Starting pitcher Tyler Wilson has a 1-1 record with an earned run average of 3.04 and a WHIP of 1.10. He has 13 strikeouts over his 23.2 innings pitched and he has given up 20 hits so far this season. He has allowed 7.6 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.96. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 2.51 and they have given up 83 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .231 against the bullpen while being struck out 91 times and walking 39 times this season. As a team, Baltimore has allowed 8.44 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.84 batters per nine. They are 8th in the league in team earned run average at 3.66. The Orioles pitchers have collectively given up 240 base hits and 104 earned runs. They have allowed 19 home runs this season and they allow 0.7 homers per nine innings as a staff. Baltimore as a pitching staff has walked 92 batters and struck out 223. They walk 3.2 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.30 and their FIP as a unit is 3.53.
As a team, Baltimore is batting .262, good for 8th in the league while putting together a .247 average away from home. The Orioles hold a .432 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .326 which is good for 9th in baseball. They rank 10th in baseball with 8.76 hits per game. Chris Davis comes into this game hitting .206 and his on-base percentage is at .320. He has 22 hits this season along with 21 runs scored and 19 runs batted in. He's struck out 37 times and has walked 17 times. Manny Machado is hitting .345 and he has an on-base percentage of .395. He has totaled 41 hits so far while scoring 22 runs and he's driven in 16. He has walked 9 times and has struck out 19 times. The Orioles have 254 hits, including 54 doubles and 37 home runs. They've stolen 4 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 3 times. Baltimore has walked 90 times this season and they've struck out 234 times as a unit. They've left 190 men on base and have a team OPS of .757. They score 4.24 runs per contest and have scored a total of 123 runs so far this year.
Minnesota comes into this matchup with a 6-8 home record and a 8-22 overall mark. With an earned run average of 6.75, Jose Berrios has a 1-1 record and a 1.71 WHIP. He has 13 strikeouts over the 9.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 9 hits. He has allowed 8.7 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.65. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.24 and they have given up 110 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .258 against the Twins bullpen while being struck out 109 times and walking 47 times this season. As a team, Minnesota has allowed 9.63 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.14 batters per nine. They are 26th in the league in team earned run average at 4.75. The Twins pitchers as a team have surrendered 284 base knocks and 140 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 37 home runs this year and they give up 1.3 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Minnesota as a staff has walked 101 hitters and struck out 240. They give up a walk 3.4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.1 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.45 while their FIP as a staff is 4.31.
As a team, they are batting .238, good for 22nd in the league while putting together a .256 average at home. The Twins hold a .376 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .308 which is good for 22nd in baseball. They rank 18th in baseball with 8.13 hits per contest. Joe Mauer comes into this matchup batting .302 and he has an OBP of .423. He has 32 hits this year along with 10 runs scored and 9 RBI. He's struck out 14 times and has walked on 22 occasions. Eduardo Nunez is hitting .365 and he has an OBP of .407. He has collected 27 hits so far while he's scored 12 runs and drove in 10. He has earned a walk 3 times and has punched out 13 times. The Twins as a unit have 244 base hits, including 53 doubles and 26 homers. They have 18 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 7 times. Minnesota as a team has walked 96 times this year and they have struck out 268 times. They've had 221 men left on base and have an OPS of .684. They score 3.5 runs per game and have totaled 105 runs so far this season.
Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends
The Baltimore Orioles are 10-17-2 against the over/under so far this season
The Baltimore Orioles are 15-14-0 against the run line so far this season
Minnesota Twins Betting Trends
The Minnesota Twins are 15-13-2 against the over/under so far this season
The Minnesota Twins are 12-18-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
05/03/16 SS J.J. Hardy Foot 15-day DL (5/2)
04/23/16 P Yovani Gallardo Shoulder 15-day DL (4/23)
03/31/16 3B Jimmy Paredes Wrist 15-day DL (3/25)
05/07/16 SS Eduardo Escobar Groin 15-day DL
04/27/16 P Kyle Gibson Shoulder 15-day DL (4/23)
04/13/16 P Glen Perkins Shoulder 15-day DL (4/11)
Josh's Pick: Take the Twins
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