Sunday, October 2, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Kevin Gausman vs. Luis Cessa
The Baltimore Orioles visit Yankee Stadium on Sunday to play the New York Yankees. The probable starters are Kevin Gausman for the Orioles and Luis Cessa for the Yankees. The Orioles have a 66-90-4 over/under record and a 81-79-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 51% of the time. The Yankees are 80-80-0 against the run line and have a 71-79-10 over/under record. They cover the spread 50% of the time.
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The Orioles head into this matchup with a 88-72 record, including 38-41 on the road. Starting pitcher Kevin Gausman has a 8-12 record with an earned run average of 3.66 and a WHIP of 1.28. He has 171 strikeouts over his 172.1 innings pitched and he has given up 175 hits so far this season. He has allowed 9.1 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.08. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.35 and they have given up 490 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .240 against the bullpen while being struck out 502 times and walking 206 times this season. As a team, Baltimore has allowed 8.82 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.84 batters per nine. They are 17th in the league in team earned run average at 4.21. The Orioles pitchers have collectively given up 1,386 base hits and 662 earned runs. They have allowed 181 home runs this season and they allow 1.2 homers per nine innings as a staff. Baltimore as a pitching staff has walked 540 batters and struck out 1,232. They walk 3.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.36 and their FIP as a unit is 4.32.
As a team, Baltimore is batting .256, good for 15th in the league while putting together a .253 average away from home. The Orioles hold a .444 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .317 which is good for 21st in baseball. They rank 14th in baseball with 8.74 hits per game. Adam Jones comes into this game hitting .269 and his on-base percentage is at .314. He has 164 hits this season along with 86 runs scored and 83 runs batted in. He's struck out 112 times and has walked 39 times. Manny Machado is hitting .294 and he has an on-base percentage of .343. He has totaled 186 hits so far while scoring 103 runs and he's driven in 95. He has walked 47 times and has struck out 118 times. The Orioles have 1,397 hits, including 263 doubles and 250 home runs. They've stolen 19 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 11 times. Baltimore has walked 463 times this season and they've struck out 1,310 times as a unit. They've left 1,056 men on base and have a team OPS of .761. They score 4.6 runs per contest and have scored a total of 736 runs so far this year.
New York comes into this matchup with a 47-32 home record and a 83-77 overall mark. With an earned run average of 4.18, Luis Cessa has a 4-3 record and a 1.13 WHIP. He has 40 strikeouts over the 64.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 59 hits. He has allowed 8.2 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.71. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.72 and they have given up 420 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .221 against the Yankees bullpen while being struck out 573 times and walking 181 times this season. As a team, New York has allowed 8.56 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.8 batters per nine. They are 15th in the league in team earned run average at 4.16. The Yankees pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,342 base knocks and 652 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 211 home runs this year and they give up 1.3 home runs per nine innings as a staff. New York as a staff has walked 439 hitters and struck out 1,379. They give up a walk 2.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.26 while their FIP as a staff is 4.19.
As a team, they are batting .251, good for 20th in the league while putting together a .252 average at home. The Yankees hold a .404 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .314 which is good for 25th in baseball. They rank 22nd in baseball with 8.47 hits per contest. Brett Gardner comes into this matchup batting .261 and he has an OBP of .352. He has 140 hits this year along with 80 runs scored and 39 RBI. He's struck out 104 times and has walked on 70 occasions. Didi Gregorius is hitting .274 and he has an OBP of .303. He has collected 153 hits so far while he's scored 68 runs and drove in 69. He has earned a walk 19 times and has punched out 82 times. The Yankees as a unit have 1,355 base hits, including 241 doubles and 181 homers. They have 71 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 22 times. New York as a team has walked 470 times this year and they have struck out 1,172 times. They've had 1,083 men left on base and have an OPS of .718. They score 4.19 runs per game and have totaled 671 runs so far this season.
Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends
The Baltimore Orioles are 66-90-4 against the over/under so far this season
The Baltimore Orioles are 81-79-0 against the run line so far this season
New York Yankees Betting Trends
The New York Yankees are 71-79-10 against the over/under so far this season
The New York Yankees are 80-80-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
09/29/16 P Wade Miley Personal paternity list; expected to start Saturday
09/18/16 RF Steve Pearce Elbow 60-day DL (9/18)
09/01/16 RF Joey Rickard Thumb 60-day DL (7/21)
New York Yankees
09/30/16 P Masahiro Tanaka Forearm "?" for next scheduled start Saturday vs. Baltimore Orioles
09/15/16 RF Aaron Judge Oblique out for regular season
09/08/16 P Chad Green Elbow 60-day DL (9/3)
08/13/16 P Nathan Eovaldi Elbow 15-day DL (8/11)
05/31/16 LF Dustin Ackley Shoulder 60-day DL (5/29), out for season
03/31/16 1B Gregory Bird Shoulder 60-day DL (3/25); out for season
Tony's Pick: Take the Orioles
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