Monday, July 18, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Kevin Gausman vs. Ivan Nova
The Baltimore Orioles visit Yankee Stadium on Monday to play the New York Yankees. The probable starters are Kevin Gausman for the Orioles and Ivan Nova for the Yankees. The opening line for this matchup has Baltimore at -110 and New York at +100. The over/under was set at 9.5. The Orioles have a 45-41-3 over/under record and a 50-39-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 56% of the time. The Yankees are 40-50-0 against the run line and have a 40-41-9 over/under record. They cover the spread 44% of the time.
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The Orioles head into this matchup with a 53-36 record, including 20-22 on the road. Starting pitcher Kevin Gausman has a 1-6 record with an earned run average of 4.15 and a WHIP of 1.30. He has 82 strikeouts over his 86.2 innings pitched and he has given up 94 hits so far this season. He has allowed 9.8 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.29. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.06 and they have given up 281 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .240 against the bullpen while being struck out 286 times and walking 126 times this season. As a team, Baltimore has allowed 9.19 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.57 batters per nine. They are 14th in the league in team earned run average at 4.30. The Orioles pitchers have collectively given up 808 base hits and 378 earned runs. They have allowed 99 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Baltimore as a pitching staff has walked 312 batters and struck out 665. They walk 3.5 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.42 and their FIP as a unit is 4.41.
As a team, Baltimore is batting .271, good for 5th in the league while putting together a .263 average away from home. The Orioles hold a .465 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .331 which is good for 8th in baseball. They rank 4th in baseball with 9.37 hits per game. Manny Machado comes into this game hitting .313 and his on-base percentage is at .370. He has 110 hits this season along with 63 runs scored and 53 runs batted in. He's struck out 67 times and has walked 30 times. Mark Trumbo is hitting .290 and he has an on-base percentage of .342. He has totaled 103 hits so far while scoring 55 runs and he's driven in 68. He has walked 26 times and has struck out 99 times. The Orioles have 834 hits, including 172 doubles and 140 home runs. They've stolen 12 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 9 times. Baltimore has walked 267 times this season and they've struck out 751 times as a unit. They've left 600 men on base and have a team OPS of .796. They score 5.03 runs per contest and have scored a total of 448 runs so far this year.
New York comes into this matchup with a 23-20 home record and a 44-46 overall mark. With an earned run average of 5.18, Ivan Nova has a 6-5 record and a 1.35 WHIP. He has 61 strikeouts over the 80 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 91 hits. He has allowed 10.2 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.87. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.67 and they have given up 224 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .219 against the Yankees bullpen while being struck out 329 times and walking 77 times this season. As a team, New York has allowed 8.85 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.02 batters per nine. They are 21st in the league in team earned run average at 4.45. The Yankees pitchers as a team have surrendered 776 base knocks and 390 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 120 home runs this year and they give up 1.4 home runs per nine innings as a staff. New York as a staff has walked 219 hitters and struck out 791. They give up a walk 2.5 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.26 while their FIP as a staff is 4.10.
As a team, they are batting .250, good for 20th in the league while putting together a .248 average at home. The Yankees hold a .395 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .311 which is good for 23rd in baseball. They rank 21st in baseball with 8.42 hits per contest. Carlos Beltran comes into this matchup batting .294 and he has an OBP of .332. He has 90 hits this year along with 45 runs scored and 58 RBI. He's struck out 60 times and has walked on 17 occasions. Jacoby Ellsbury is hitting .272 and he has an OBP of .341. He has collected 82 hits so far while he's scored 38 runs and drove in 29. He has earned a walk 30 times and has punched out 43 times. The Yankees as a unit have 758 base hits, including 134 doubles and 95 homers. They have 44 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 13 times. New York as a team has walked 256 times this year and they have struck out 620 times. They've had 601 men left on base and have an OPS of .706. They score 4.18 runs per game and have totaled 376 runs so far this season.
Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends
The Baltimore Orioles are 45-41-3 against the over/under so far this season
The Baltimore Orioles are 50-39-0 against the run line so far this season
New York Yankees Betting Trends
The New York Yankees are 40-41-9 against the over/under so far this season
The New York Yankees are 40-50-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
07/16/16 LF Hyun-soo Kim Hamstring "?" Sunday vs. Tampa Bay Rays
07/01/16 P T.J. McFarland Knee 15-day DL (6/29)
06/21/16 P Brian Duensing Elbow 15-day DL (6/20)
06/04/16 P Darren O'Day Hamstring 15-day DL (6/3)
New York Yankees
06/10/16 1B Chris Parmelee Hamstring 15-day DL (6/10)
05/31/16 LF Dustin Ackley Shoulder 60-day DL (5/29), out for season
04/03/16 RF Mason Williams Shoulder 60-day DL (3/25)
03/31/16 P Bryan Mitchell Toe 60-day DL (3/31)
03/31/16 1B Gregory Bird Shoulder 60-day DL (3/25); out for season
Josh's Pick: Take the Orioles
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