Thursday, July 21, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Chris Tillman vs. CC Sabathia
The Baltimore Orioles head to Yankee Stadium on Thursday to take on the New York Yankees. The probable pitchers are Chris Tillman for the Orioles and CC Sabathia for the Yankees. The opening line for this game has Baltimore at -117 and New York at +107. The over/under is 9. The Orioles have a 45-44-3 over/under mark and a 50-42-0 run line record, meaning they cover 54% of the time. The Yankees are 43-50-0 against the run line and have a 40-44-9 over/under record. They cover the spread 46% of the time.
The Orioles head into this game with a 53-39 record, and they are 20-25 on the road. Starting pitcher Chris Tillman has a 13-2 record with an ERA of 3.29 and a WHIP of 1.21. He has 101 strikeouts during his 120.1 innings pitched and he has given up 100 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 7.5 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.21. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 3.11 and they have allowed 287 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .239 against the pen while they've been struck out 289 times and walked 131 times this year. As a unit, Baltimore has given up 9.14 base hits per nine innings while striking out 7.52 hitters per nine. They are 17th in the Majors in team earned run average at 4.33. The Orioles pitchers have collectively given up 828 base hits and 392 earned runs. They have allowed 106 home runs this season and they allow 1.2 homers per nine innings as a staff. Baltimore as a pitching staff has walked 325 batters and struck out 681. They walk 3.6 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.5 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.42 and their FIP as a unit is 4.47.
As a team, Baltimore is hitting .268, good for 5th in the league while putting together a .258 average on the road. The Orioles have a .460 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .329 which is good for 9th in the league. They rank 6th in baseball with 9.25 hits per contest. Mark Trumbo comes into this game hitting .284 and his on-base percentage is at .337. He has 104 hits this season along with 55 runs scored and 68 runs batted in. He's struck out 104 times and has walked 27 times. Manny Machado is hitting .308 and he has an on-base percentage of .366. He has totaled 111 hits so far while scoring 63 runs and he's driven in 54. He has walked 32 times and has struck out 70 times. The Orioles have 851 hits, including 175 doubles and 142 home runs. They've stolen 13 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 9 times. Baltimore has walked 275 times this season and they've struck out 777 times as a unit. They've left 619 men on base and have a team OPS of .788. They score 4.91 runs per contest and have scored a total of 452 runs so far this year.
New York comes into this game with a 26-20 home mark and a 47-46 overall record. With an ERA of 3.94, CC Sabathia has a 5-7 record and a 1.39 WHIP. He has 74 strikeouts over the 93.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 93 hits. He has allowed 8.9 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.95. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.55 and they have given up 225 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .214 against the Yankees bullpen while being struck out 338 times and walking 81 times this season. As a team, New York has allowed 8.69 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.95 batters per nine. They are 19th in the league in team earned run average at 4.33. The Yankees pitchers as a team have surrendered 788 base knocks and 393 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 122 home runs this year and they give up 1.3 home runs per nine innings as a staff. New York as a staff has walked 229 hitters and struck out 812. They give up a walk 2.5 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.25 while their FIP as a staff is 4.07.
As a team, they are batting .250, good for 18th in the league while putting together a .249 average at home. The Yankees hold a .396 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .312 which is good for 23rd in baseball. They rank 21st in baseball with 8.42 hits per contest. Jacoby Ellsbury comes into this matchup batting .272 and he has an OBP of .339. He has 85 hits this year along with 38 runs scored and 31 RBI. He's struck out 43 times and has walked on 30 occasions. Carlos Beltran is hitting .301 and he has an OBP of .341. He has collected 95 hits so far while he's scored 45 runs and drove in 58. He has earned a walk 19 times and has punched out 61 times. The Yankees as a unit have 783 base hits, including 140 doubles and 98 homers. They have 47 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 14 times. New York as a team has walked 267 times this year and they have struck out 633 times. They've had 623 men left on base and have an OPS of .708. They score 4.17 runs per game and have totaled 388 runs so far this season.
Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends
The Baltimore Orioles are 45-44-3 against the over/under so far this season
The Baltimore Orioles are 50-42-0 against the run line so far this season
New York Yankees Betting Trends
The New York Yankees are 40-44-9 against the over/under so far this season
The New York Yankees are 43-50-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
07/20/16 LF Hyun-soo Kim Hamstring 15-day DL (7/11)
07/19/16 1B Chris Davis Illness "?" Wednesday vs. New York Yankees
07/19/16 C Matt Wieters Foot "?" Wednesday vs. New York Yankees
07/01/16 P T.J. McFarland Knee 15-day DL (6/29)
06/21/16 P Brian Duensing Elbow 15-day DL (6/20)
06/04/16 P Darren O'Day Hamstring 15-day DL (6/3)
New York Yankees
07/19/16 1B Mark Teixeira Foot "?" Wednesday vs. Baltimore Orioles
06/10/16 1B Chris Parmelee Hamstring 15-day DL (6/10)
05/31/16 LF Dustin Ackley Shoulder 60-day DL (5/29), out for season
03/31/16 P Bryan Mitchell Toe 60-day DL (3/31)
03/31/16 1B Gregory Bird Shoulder 60-day DL (3/25); out for season
Josh's Pick: Take the Yankees
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