Saturday, August 27, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Dylan Bundy vs. Chad Green
The Baltimore Orioles visit Yankee Stadium on Saturday to play the New York Yankees. The probable starters are Dylan Bundy for the Orioles and Chad Green for the Yankees. The opening line for this matchup has Baltimore at -105 and New York at -105. The over/under was set at 9. The Orioles have a 57-67-3 over/under record and a 65-62-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 51% of the time. The Yankees are 61-65-0 against the run line and have a 54-63-9 over/under record. They cover the spread 48% of the time.
The Orioles head into this matchup with a 70-57 record, including 28-35 on the road. Starting pitcher Dylan Bundy has a 7-4 record with an earned run average of 3.33 and a WHIP of 1.28. He has 74 strikeouts over his 81 innings pitched and he has given up 78 hits so far this season. He has allowed 8.7 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.39. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.55 and they have given up 393 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .241 against the bullpen while being struck out 396 times and walking 174 times this season. As a team, Baltimore has allowed 9.01 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.69 batters per nine. They are 21st in the league in team earned run average at 4.38. The Orioles pitchers have collectively given up 1,122 base hits and 545 earned runs. They have allowed 147 home runs this season and they allow 1.2 homers per nine innings as a staff. Baltimore as a pitching staff has walked 443 batters and struck out 958. They walk 3.6 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.7 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.40 and their FIP as a unit is 4.43.
As a team, Baltimore is batting .262, good for 10th in the league while putting together a .254 average away from home. The Orioles hold a .450 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .321 which is good for 17th in baseball. They rank 10th in baseball with 8.95 hits per game. Adam Jones comes into this game hitting .276 and his on-base percentage is at .317. He has 137 hits this season along with 74 runs scored and 74 runs batted in. He's struck out 91 times and has walked 30 times. Manny Machado is hitting .303 and he has an on-base percentage of .357. He has totaled 151 hits so far while scoring 87 runs and he's driven in 78. He has walked 41 times and has struck out 93 times. The Orioles have 1,136 hits, including 220 doubles and 197 home runs. They've stolen 15 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 9 times. Baltimore has walked 362 times this season and they've struck out 1,047 times as a unit. They've left 829 men on base and have a team OPS of .771. They score 4.73 runs per contest and have scored a total of 601 runs so far this year.
New York comes into this matchup with a 35-27 home record and a 65-61 overall mark. With an earned run average of 3.66, Chad Green has a 2-3 record and a 1.22 WHIP. He has 45 strikeouts over the 39.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 37 hits. He has allowed 8.5 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.34. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.50 and they have given up 311 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .217 against the Yankees bullpen while being struck out 451 times and walking 123 times this season. As a team, New York has allowed 8.58 hits per nine innings while striking out 9 batters per nine. They are 17th in the league in team earned run average at 4.21. The Yankees pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,057 base knocks and 519 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 161 home runs this year and they give up 1.3 home runs per nine innings as a staff. New York as a staff has walked 322 hitters and struck out 1,109. They give up a walk 2.6 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.24 while their FIP as a staff is 4.02.
As a team, they are batting .251, good for 20th in the league while putting together a .250 average at home. The Yankees hold a .402 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .311 which is good for 25th in baseball. They rank 24th in baseball with 8.43 hits per contest. Brett Gardner comes into this matchup batting .258 and he has an OBP of .347. He has 107 hits this year along with 63 runs scored and 30 RBI. He's struck out 87 times and has walked on 53 occasions. Didi Gregorius is hitting .283 and he has an OBP of .310. He has collected 124 hits so far while he's scored 53 runs and drove in 57. He has earned a walk 14 times and has punched out 66 times. The Yankees as a unit have 1,062 base hits, including 189 doubles and 140 homers. They have 57 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 16 times. New York as a team has walked 356 times this year and they have struck out 911 times. They've had 835 men left on base and have an OPS of .713. They score 4.17 runs per game and have totaled 525 runs so far this season.
Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends
The Baltimore Orioles are 57-67-3 against the over/under so far this season
The Baltimore Orioles are 65-62-0 against the run line so far this season
New York Yankees Betting Trends
The New York Yankees are 54-63-9 against the over/under so far this season
The New York Yankees are 61-65-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
08/24/16 P Chris Tillman Shoulder 15-day DL (8/21)
08/19/16 P Dylan Bundy Ankle "?" for next scheduled start
08/13/16 P Darren O'Day Shoulder 15-day DL (8/12)
07/22/16 RF Joey Rickard Thumb 15-day DL (7/21)
07/01/16 P T.J. McFarland Knee 15-day DL (6/29)
06/21/16 P Brian Duensing Elbow 15-day DL (6/20)
New York Yankees
08/13/16 P Nathan Eovaldi Elbow 15-day DL (8/11)
05/31/16 LF Dustin Ackley Shoulder 60-day DL (5/29), out for season
03/31/16 P Bryan Mitchell Toe 60-day DL (3/31)
03/31/16 1B Gregory Bird Shoulder 60-day DL (3/25); out for season
Guy's Pick: Take the Orioles
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