Sunday, August 28, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Kevin Gausman vs. Michael Pineda
The Baltimore Orioles visit Yankee Stadium on Sunday to play the New York Yankees. The probable starters are Kevin Gausman for the Orioles and Michael Pineda for the Yankees. The opening line for this matchup has Baltimore at -118 and New York at +108. The over/under was set at 9. The Orioles have a 58-67-3 over/under record and a 65-63-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 51% of the time. The Yankees are 62-65-0 against the run line and have a 55-63-9 over/under record. They cover the spread 49% of the time.
The Orioles head into this matchup with a 70-58 record, including 28-36 on the road. Starting pitcher Kevin Gausman has a 5-10 record with an earned run average of 3.92 and a WHIP of 1.32. He has 131 strikeouts over his 133 innings pitched and he has given up 138 hits so far this season. He has allowed 9.3 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.35. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.62 and they have given up 405 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .244 against the bullpen while being struck out 400 times and walking 175 times this season. As a team, Baltimore has allowed 9.09 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.67 batters per nine. They are 21st in the league in team earned run average at 4.45. The Orioles pitchers have collectively given up 1,140 base hits and 558 earned runs. They have allowed 150 home runs this season and they allow 1.2 homers per nine innings as a staff. Baltimore as a pitching staff has walked 445 batters and struck out 962. They walk 3.5 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.7 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.40 and their FIP as a unit is 4.45.
As a team, Baltimore is batting .261, good for 10th in the league while putting together a .253 average away from home. The Orioles hold a .450 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .320 which is good for 18th in baseball. They rank 9th in baseball with 8.94 hits per game. Adam Jones comes into this game hitting .275 and his on-base percentage is at .316. He has 137 hits this season along with 74 runs scored and 74 runs batted in. He's struck out 91 times and has walked 30 times. Manny Machado is hitting .305 and he has an on-base percentage of .358. He has totaled 153 hits so far while scoring 89 runs and he's driven in 81. He has walked 41 times and has struck out 93 times. The Orioles have 1,143 hits, including 221 doubles and 199 home runs. They've stolen 15 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 9 times. Baltimore has walked 363 times this season and they've struck out 1,054 times as a unit. They've left 833 men on base and have a team OPS of .770. They score 4.73 runs per contest and have scored a total of 605 runs so far this year.
New York comes into this matchup with a 36-27 home record and a 66-61 overall mark. With an earned run average of 5.02, Michael Pineda has a 6-10 record and a 1.35 WHIP. He has 160 strikeouts over the 141.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 151 hits. He has allowed 9.6 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.86. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.50 and they have given up 313 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .217 against the Yankees bullpen while being struck out 453 times and walking 123 times this season. As a team, New York has allowed 8.56 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.98 batters per nine. They are 17th in the league in team earned run average at 4.21. The Yankees pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,064 base knocks and 523 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 163 home runs this year and they give up 1.3 home runs per nine innings as a staff. New York as a staff has walked 323 hitters and struck out 1,116. They give up a walk 2.6 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.24 while their FIP as a staff is 4.03.
As a team, they are batting .252, good for 19th in the league while putting together a .253 average at home. The Yankees hold a .405 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .312 which is good for 23rd in baseball. They rank 21st in baseball with 8.5 hits per contest. Brett Gardner comes into this matchup batting .260 and he has an OBP of .348. He has 109 hits this year along with 64 runs scored and 33 RBI. He's struck out 87 times and has walked on 53 occasions. Didi Gregorius is hitting .283 and he has an OBP of .310. He has collected 125 hits so far while he's scored 53 runs and drove in 57. He has earned a walk 14 times and has punched out 66 times. The Yankees as a unit have 1,080 base hits, including 192 doubles and 143 homers. They have 57 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 16 times. New York as a team has walked 358 times this year and they have struck out 915 times. They've had 841 men left on base and have an OPS of .718. They score 4.24 runs per game and have totaled 539 runs so far this season.
Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends
The Baltimore Orioles are 58-67-3 against the over/under so far this season
The Baltimore Orioles are 65-63-0 against the run line so far this season
New York Yankees Betting Trends
The New York Yankees are 55-63-9 against the over/under so far this season
The New York Yankees are 62-65-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
08/26/16 CF Adam Jones Hamstring injured last game, "?" Saturday vs. New York Yankees
08/24/16 P Chris Tillman Shoulder 15-day DL (8/21)
08/19/16 P Dylan Bundy Ankle "?" for next scheduled start
08/13/16 P Darren O'Day Shoulder 15-day DL (8/12)
07/22/16 RF Joey Rickard Thumb 15-day DL (7/21)
06/21/16 P Brian Duensing Elbow 15-day DL (6/20)
New York Yankees
08/13/16 P Nathan Eovaldi Elbow 15-day DL (8/11)
05/31/16 LF Dustin Ackley Shoulder 60-day DL (5/29), out for season
03/31/16 P Bryan Mitchell Toe 60-day DL (3/31)
03/31/16 1B Gregory Bird Shoulder 60-day DL (3/25); out for season
Guy's Pick: Take the Orioles
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