Tuesday, June 28, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Ubaldo Jimenez vs. Erik Johnson
The Baltimore Orioles visit Petco Park on Tuesday to play the San Diego Padres. The probable starters are Ubaldo Jimenez for the Orioles and Erik Johnson for the Padres. The opening line for this matchup has Baltimore at -140 and San Diego at +130. The over/under was set at 8.5. The Orioles have a 37-35-3 over/under record and a 44-31-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 59% of the time. The Padres are 46-31-0 against the run line and have a 39-36-2 over/under record. They cover the spread 60% of the time.
The Orioles head into this matchup with a 45-30 record, including 14-17 on the road. Starting pitcher Ubaldo Jimenez has a 4-7 record with an earned run average of 6.97 and a WHIP of 1.94. He has 64 strikeouts over his 71 innings pitched and he has given up 97 hits so far this season. He has allowed 12.3 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.61. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 2.91 and they have given up 233 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .242 against the bullpen while being struck out 232 times and walking 98 times this season. As a team, Baltimore has allowed 9.2 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.58 batters per nine. They are 15th in the league in team earned run average at 4.18. The Orioles pitchers have collectively given up 680 base hits and 309 earned runs. They have allowed 83 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Baltimore as a pitching staff has walked 245 batters and struck out 560. They walk 3.3 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.39 and their FIP as a unit is 4.28.
As a team, Baltimore is batting .271, good for 4th in the league while putting together a .262 average away from home. The Orioles hold a .470 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .332 which is good for 7th in baseball. They rank 7th in baseball with 9.25 hits per game. Manny Machado comes into this game hitting .325 and his on-base percentage is at .384. He has 94 hits this season along with 55 runs scored and 44 runs batted in. He's struck out 55 times and has walked 26 times. Mark Trumbo is hitting .279 and he has an on-base percentage of .330. He has totaled 83 hits so far while scoring 43 runs and he's driven in 55. He has walked 21 times and has struck out 86 times. The Orioles have 694 hits, including 145 doubles and 120 home runs. They've stolen 12 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 8 times. Baltimore has walked 228 times this season and they've struck out 634 times as a unit. They've left 496 men on base and have a team OPS of .802. They score 5.03 runs per contest and have scored a total of 377 runs so far this year.
San Diego comes into this matchup with a 18-22 home record and a 33-44 overall mark. With an earned run average of 8.54, Erik Johnson has a 0-5 record and a 1.90 WHIP. He has 19 strikeouts over the 26.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 39 hits. He has allowed 13.3 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 8.87. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.22 and they have given up 255 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .242 against the Padres bullpen while being struck out 276 times and walking 118 times this season. As a team, San Diego has allowed 8.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.38 batters per nine. They are 21st in the league in team earned run average at 4.44. The Padres pitchers as a team have surrendered 677 base knocks and 343 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 84 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. San Diego as a staff has walked 297 hitters and struck out 644. They give up a walk 3.9 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.41 while their FIP as a staff is 4.26.
As a team, they are batting .242, good for 24th in the league while putting together a .240 average at home. The Padres hold a .388 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .300 which is good for 28th in baseball. They rank 22nd in baseball with 8.25 hits per contest. Wil Myers comes into this matchup batting .282 and he has an OBP of .336. He has 83 hits this year along with 49 runs scored and 50 RBI. He's struck out 64 times and has walked on 26 occasions. Jon Jay is hitting .296 and he has an OBP of .345. He has collected 80 hits so far while he's scored 35 runs and drove in 23. He has earned a walk 16 times and has punched out 62 times. The Padres as a unit have 635 base hits, including 124 doubles and 81 homers. They have 58 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 21 times. San Diego as a team has walked 203 times this year and they have struck out 692 times. They've had 479 men left on base and have an OPS of .688. They score 4.23 runs per game and have totaled 326 runs so far this season.
Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends
The Baltimore Orioles are 37-35-3 against the over/under so far this season
The Baltimore Orioles are 44-31-0 against the run line so far this season
San Diego Padres Betting Trends
The San Diego Padres are 39-36-2 against the over/under so far this season
The San Diego Padres are 46-31-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
06/21/16 P Brian Duensing Elbow 15-day DL (6/20)
06/14/16 P Vance Worley Groin 15-day DL (6/13)
06/04/16 P Darren O'Day Hamstring 15-day DL (6/3)
05/31/16 C Caleb Joseph Groin 15-day DL (5/30)
San Diego Padres
06/26/16 CF Jon Jay Forearm "?"
06/12/16 P Andrew Cashner Neck 15-day DL (6/11)
05/31/16 P Cesar Vargas Elbow 15-day DL (5/29)
05/09/16 2B Jemile Weeks Hamstring 15-day DL (5/8)
04/21/16 P Robbie Erlin Elbow 60-day DL (4/18)
04/21/16 2B Cory Spangenberg Quad 15-day DL (4/20)
04/09/16 P Tyson Ross Shoulder 15-day DL (4/5)
04/04/16 P Buddy Baumann Back 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Jonathan Edwards Hip 15-day DL (3/25)
Josh's Pick: Take the Orioles
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