Thursday, June 30, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Kevin Gausman vs. Taijuan Walker
The Baltimore Orioles visit Safeco Field on Thursday to play the Seattle Mariners. The probable starters are Kevin Gausman for the Orioles and Taijuan Walker for the Mariners. The opening line for this matchup has Baltimore at +104 and Seattle at -114. The over/under was set at 8. The Orioles have a 38-35-3 over/under record and a 45-31-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 59% of the time. The Mariners are 37-40-0 against the run line and have a 36-36-5 over/under record. They cover the spread 48% of the time.
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The Orioles head into this matchup with a 46-30 record, including 15-17 on the road. Starting pitcher Kevin Gausman has a 1-5 record with an earned run average of 3.93 and a WHIP of 1.27. He has 69 strikeouts over his 75.2 innings pitched and he has given up 78 hits so far this season. He has allowed 9.3 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.23. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.08 and they have given up 238 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .243 against the bullpen while being struck out 236 times and walking 100 times this season. As a team, Baltimore has allowed 9.19 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.6 batters per nine. They are 15th in the league in team earned run average at 4.22. The Orioles pitchers have collectively given up 688 base hits and 316 earned runs. They have allowed 85 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Baltimore as a pitching staff has walked 251 batters and struck out 569. They walk 3.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.39 and their FIP as a unit is 4.33.
As a team, Baltimore is batting .273, good for 4th in the league while putting together a .267 average away from home. The Orioles hold a .474 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .334 which is good for 6th in baseball. They rank 4th in baseball with 9.36 hits per game. Manny Machado comes into this game hitting .330 and his on-base percentage is at .387. He has 97 hits this season along with 56 runs scored and 46 runs batted in. He's struck out 56 times and has walked 26 times. Mark Trumbo is hitting .281 and he has an on-base percentage of .331. He has totaled 85 hits so far while scoring 43 runs and he's driven in 56. He has walked 21 times and has struck out 87 times. The Orioles have 710 hits, including 149 doubles and 123 home runs. They've stolen 12 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 8 times. Baltimore has walked 231 times this season and they've struck out 641 times as a unit. They've left 504 men on base and have a team OPS of .807. They score 5.11 runs per contest and have scored a total of 388 runs so far this year.
Seattle comes into this matchup with a 18-19 home record and a 39-38 overall mark. With an earned run average of 3.45, Taijuan Walker has a 3-6 record and a 1.16 WHIP. He has 70 strikeouts over the 75.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 71 hits. He has allowed 8.4 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.51. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.33 and they have given up 209 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .222 against the Mariners bullpen while being struck out 270 times and walking 93 times this season. As a team, Seattle has allowed 8.61 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.54 batters per nine. They are 7th in the league in team earned run average at 3.85. The Mariners pitchers as a team have surrendered 662 base knocks and 296 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 98 home runs this year and they give up 1.3 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Seattle as a staff has walked 235 hitters and struck out 657. They give up a walk 3.1 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.5 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.30 while their FIP as a staff is 4.24.
As a team, they are batting .262, good for 12th in the league while putting together a .253 average at home. The Mariners hold a .438 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .328 which is good for 9th in baseball. They rank 11th in baseball with 9.05 hits per contest. Nelson Cruz comes into this matchup batting .284 and he has an OBP of .367. He has 81 hits this year along with 46 runs scored and 53 RBI. He's struck out 77 times and has walked on 33 occasions. Robinson Cano is hitting .303 and he has an OBP of .358. He has collected 96 hits so far while he's scored 55 runs and drove in 54. He has earned a walk 24 times and has punched out 50 times. The Mariners as a unit have 697 base hits, including 114 doubles and 113 homers. They have 24 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 19 times. Seattle as a team has walked 239 times this year and they have struck out 584 times. They've had 514 men left on base and have an OPS of .767. They score 4.87 runs per game and have totaled 375 runs so far this season.
Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends
The Baltimore Orioles are 38-35-3 against the over/under so far this season
The Baltimore Orioles are 45-31-0 against the run line so far this season
Seattle Mariners Betting Trends
The Seattle Mariners are 36-36-5 against the over/under so far this season
The Seattle Mariners are 37-40-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
06/21/16 P Brian Duensing Elbow 15-day DL (6/20)
06/14/16 P Vance Worley Groin 15-day DL (6/13)
06/04/16 P Darren O'Day Hamstring 15-day DL (6/3)
05/31/16 C Caleb Joseph Groin 15-day DL (5/30)
06/29/16 P Taijuan Walker Foot is upgraded to expected to start Thursday vs. Baltimore Orioles
06/29/16 P Wade Miley Shoulder 15-day DL (6/13); expected to start Wednesday vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
06/25/16 P Adrian Sampson Elbow 15-day DL (6/24)
06/01/16 P Felix Hernandez Calf 15-day DL (5/28)
05/04/16 P Tony Zych Rotator Cuff 60-day DL (5/2)
04/04/16 P Charlie Furbush Bicep 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Evan Scribner Oblique 60-day DL (3/25)
03/30/16 C Jesus Sucre Leg 60-day DL (3/1)
03/30/16 P Ryan Cook Shoulder 60-day DL (3/12)
Guy's Pick: Take the Orioles
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