Saturday, July 2, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Tyler Wilson vs. James Paxton
The Baltimore Orioles head to Safeco Field on Saturday to take on the Seattle Mariners. The probable pitchers are Tyler Wilson for the Orioles and James Paxton for the Mariners. The opening line for this game has Baltimore at +122 and Seattle at -132. The over/under is 8. The Orioles have a 40-35-3 over/under mark and a 46-32-0 run line record, meaning they cover 59% of the time. The Mariners are 38-41-0 against the run line and have a 38-36-5 over/under record. They cover the spread 48% of the time.
The Orioles head into this game with a 47-31 record, and they are 16-18 on the road. Starting pitcher Tyler Wilson has a 4-5 record with an ERA of 4.50 and a WHIP of 1.30. He has 41 strikeouts during his 78 innings pitched and he has given up 82 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 9.5 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.63. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 3.11 and they have allowed 246 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .245 against the pen while they've been struck out 242 times and walked 103 times this year. As a unit, Baltimore has given up 9.18 base hits per nine innings while striking out 7.61 hitters per nine. They are 15th in the Majors in team earned run average at 4.25. The Orioles pitchers have collectively given up 705 base hits and 326 earned runs. They have allowed 87 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Baltimore as a pitching staff has walked 260 batters and struck out 584. They walk 3.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.40 and their FIP as a unit is 4.35.
As a team, Baltimore is hitting .272, good for 4th in the league while putting together a .267 average on the road. The Orioles have a .472 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .333 which is good for 6th in the league. They rank 7th in baseball with 9.36 hits per contest. Manny Machado comes into this game hitting .334 and his on-base percentage is at .392. He has 101 hits this season along with 58 runs scored and 50 runs batted in. He's struck out 57 times and has walked 27 times. Mark Trumbo is hitting .282 and he has an on-base percentage of .331. He has totaled 88 hits so far while scoring 45 runs and he's driven in 60. He has walked 21 times and has struck out 89 times. The Orioles have 730 hits, including 153 doubles and 125 home runs. They've stolen 12 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 8 times. Baltimore has walked 237 times this season and they've struck out 662 times as a unit. They've left 515 men on base and have a team OPS of .805. They score 5.17 runs per contest and have scored a total of 403 runs so far this year.
Seattle comes into this game with a 19-20 home mark and a 40-39 overall record. With an ERA of 4.15, James Paxton has a 1-3 record and a 1.67 WHIP. He has 41 strikeouts over the 34.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 47 hits. He has allowed 12.2 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 2.88. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.41 and they have given up 217 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .222 against the Mariners bullpen while being struck out 285 times and walking 97 times this season. As a team, Seattle has allowed 8.63 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.59 batters per nine. They are 7th in the league in team earned run average at 3.89. The Mariners pitchers as a team have surrendered 681 base knocks and 307 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 100 home runs this year and they give up 1.3 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Seattle as a staff has walked 239 hitters and struck out 678. They give up a walk 3 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.30 while their FIP as a staff is 4.21.
As a team, they are batting .261, good for 12th in the league while putting together a .253 average at home. The Mariners hold a .436 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .327 which is good for 14th in baseball. They rank 11th in baseball with 9.01 hits per contest. Nelson Cruz comes into this matchup batting .285 and he has an OBP of .370. He has 83 hits this year along with 47 runs scored and 53 RBI. He's struck out 78 times and has walked on 34 occasions. Robinson Cano is hitting .306 and he has an OBP of .362. He has collected 99 hits so far while he's scored 57 runs and drove in 54. He has earned a walk 25 times and has punched out 51 times. The Mariners as a unit have 712 base hits, including 117 doubles and 114 homers. They have 24 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 19 times. Seattle as a team has walked 243 times this year and they have struck out 598 times. They've had 527 men left on base and have an OPS of .763. They score 4.82 runs per game and have totaled 381 runs so far this season.
Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends
The Baltimore Orioles are 40-35-3 against the over/under so far this season
The Baltimore Orioles are 46-32-0 against the run line so far this season
Seattle Mariners Betting Trends
The Seattle Mariners are 38-36-5 against the over/under so far this season
The Seattle Mariners are 38-41-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
07/01/16 P T.J. McFarland Knee 15-day DL (6/29)
06/21/16 P Brian Duensing Elbow 15-day DL (6/20)
06/04/16 P Darren O'Day Hamstring 15-day DL (6/3)
06/30/16 P Nick Vincent Back 15-day DL (6/27)
06/30/16 C Steve Clevenger Hand 15-day DL (6/29)
06/25/16 P Adrian Sampson Elbow 15-day DL (6/24)
06/01/16 P Felix Hernandez Calf 15-day DL (5/28)
05/04/16 P Tony Zych Rotator Cuff 60-day DL (5/2)
04/04/16 P Charlie Furbush Bicep 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Evan Scribner Oblique 60-day DL (3/25)
03/30/16 C Jesus Sucre Leg 60-day DL (3/1)
03/30/16 P Ryan Cook Shoulder 60-day DL (3/12)
Guy's Pick: Take the Mariners
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