Monday, April 25, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Kevin Gausman vs. Chris Archer
The Baltimore Orioles visit Tropicana Field on Monday to play the Tampa Bay Rays. The probable starters are Kevin Gausman for the Orioles and Chris Archer for the Rays. The opening line for this matchup has Baltimore at +128 and Tampa Bay at -138. The over/under was set at 8. The Orioles have a 6-9-1 over/under record and a 10-6-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 63% of the time. The Rays are 7-10-0 against the run line and have a 4-10-3 over/under record. They cover the spread 41% of the time.
The Orioles head into this matchup with a 11-5 record, including 4-4 on the road. Starting pitcher Kevin Gausman is making his season debut for Baltimore. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 1.62 and they have given up 42 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .194 against the bullpen while being struck out 59 times and walking 21 times this season. As a team, Baltimore has allowed 8.23 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.91 batters per nine. They are 12th in the league in team earned run average at 3.64. The Orioles pitchers have collectively given up 129 base hits and 57 earned runs. They have allowed 10 home runs this season and they allow 0.6 homers per nine innings as a staff. Baltimore as a pitching staff has walked 49 batters and struck out 124. They walk 3.1 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.9 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.26 and their FIP as a unit is 3.38.
As a team, Baltimore is batting .283, good for 2nd in the league while putting together a .282 average away from home. The Orioles hold a .494 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .348 which is good for 4th in baseball. They rank 2nd in baseball with 9.62 hits per game. Chris Davis comes into this game hitting .246 and his on-base percentage is at .403. He has 14 hits this season along with 17 runs scored and 13 runs batted in. He's struck out 22 times and has walked 15 times. Manny Machado is hitting .397 and he has an on-base percentage of .446. He has totaled 27 hits so far while scoring 15 runs and he's driven in 11. He has walked 5 times and has struck out 12 times. The Orioles have 154 hits, including 34 doubles and 27 home runs. They've stolen 4 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 3 times. Baltimore has walked 53 times this season and they've struck out 135 times as a unit. They've left 106 men on base and have a team OPS of .842. They score 5 runs per contest and have scored a total of 80 runs so far this year.
Tampa Bay comes into this matchup with a 5-5 home record and a 7-10 overall mark. With an earned run average of 7.32, Chris Archer has a 0-4 record and a 2.09 WHIP. He has 29 strikeouts over the 19.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 30 hits. He has allowed 13.7 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.76. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.06 and they have given up 43 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .229 against the Rays bullpen while being struck out 44 times and walking 15 times this season. As a team, Tampa Bay has allowed 8.18 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.56 batters per nine. They are 13th in the league in team earned run average at 3.67. The Rays pitchers as a team have surrendered 136 base knocks and 61 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 21 home runs this year and they give up 1.3 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Tampa Bay as a staff has walked 40 hitters and struck out 159. They give up a walk 2.4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.18 while their FIP as a staff is 3.65.
As a team, they are batting .221, good for 29th in the league while putting together a .213 average at home. The Rays hold a .372 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .286 which is good for 29th in baseball. They rank 28th in baseball with 7.24 hits per contest. Evan Longoria comes into this matchup batting .254 and he has an OBP of .284. He has 18 hits this year along with 9 runs scored and 9 RBI. He's struck out 11 times and has walked on 3 occasions. Logan Forsythe is hitting .279 and he has an OBP of .353. He has collected 17 hits so far while he's scored 11 runs and drove in 7. He has earned a walk 7 times and has punched out 17 times. The Rays as a unit have 123 base hits, including 27 doubles and 18 homers. They have 7 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 6 times. Tampa Bay as a team has walked 42 times this year and they have struck out 153 times. They've had 106 men left on base and have an OPS of .656. They score 3.35 runs per game and have totaled 57 runs so far this season.
Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends
The Baltimore Orioles are 6-9-1 against the over/under so far this season
The Baltimore Orioles are 10-6-0 against the run line so far this season
Tampa Bay Rays Betting Trends
The Tampa Bay Rays are 4-10-3 against the over/under so far this season
The Tampa Bay Rays are 7-10-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
04/23/16 P Yovani Gallardo Shoulder 15-day DL (4/23)
03/31/16 3B Jimmy Paredes Wrist 15-day DL (3/25)
03/30/16 P Kevin Gausman Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
Tampa Bay Rays
04/10/16 P Chase Whitley Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Brad Boxberge Abdominal 15-day DL (3/25)
04/01/16 P Alex Cobb Elbow 15-day DL (3/25)
Josh's Pick: Take the Rays
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