Wednesday, April 27, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Chris Tillman vs. Matt Moore
The Baltimore Orioles visit Tropicana Field on Wednesday to play the Tampa Bay Rays. The probable starters are Chris Tillman for the Orioles and Matt Moore for the Rays. The opening line for this matchup has Baltimore at +120 and Tampa Bay at -130. The over/under was set at 7.5. The Orioles have a 6-11-1 over/under record and a 10-8-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 56% of the time. The Rays are 9-10-0 against the run line and have a 5-11-3 over/under record. They cover the spread 47% of the time.
The Orioles head into this matchup with a 11-7 record, including 4-6 on the road. Starting pitcher Chris Tillman has a 1-1 record with an earned run average of 4.42 and a WHIP of 1.26. He has 15 strikeouts over his 18.1 innings pitched and he has given up 17 hits so far this season. He has allowed 8.3 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.3. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 1.78 and they have given up 47 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .201 against the bullpen while being struck out 61 times and walking 25 times this season. As a team, Baltimore has allowed 8.31 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.85 batters per nine. They are 12th in the league in team earned run average at 3.73. The Orioles pitchers have collectively given up 145 base hits and 65 earned runs. They have allowed 12 home runs this season and they allow 0.7 homers per nine innings as a staff. Baltimore as a pitching staff has walked 55 batters and struck out 137. They walk 3.2 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.9 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.27 and their FIP as a unit is 3.53.
As a team, Baltimore is batting .269, good for 5th in the league while putting together a .256 average away from home. The Orioles hold a .461 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .330 which is good for 7th in baseball. They rank 8th in baseball with 9.06 hits per game. Chris Davis comes into this game hitting .215 and his on-base percentage is at .363. He has 14 hits this season along with 17 runs scored and 13 runs batted in. He's struck out 26 times and has walked 15 times. Manny Machado is hitting .360 and he has an on-base percentage of .415. He has totaled 27 hits so far while scoring 16 runs and he's driven in 11. He has walked 6 times and has struck out 15 times. The Orioles have 163 hits, including 36 doubles and 27 home runs. They've stolen 4 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 3 times. Baltimore has walked 55 times this season and they've struck out 152 times as a unit. They've left 116 men on base and have a team OPS of .792. They score 4.5 runs per contest and have scored a total of 81 runs so far this year.
Tampa Bay comes into this matchup with a 6-5 home record and a 9-10 overall mark. With an earned run average of 3.60, Matt Moore has a 1-1 record and a 1.12 WHIP. He has 26 strikeouts over the 25 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 23 hits. He has allowed 8.3 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.4. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 2.82 and they have given up 43 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .214 against the Rays bullpen while being struck out 47 times and walking 15 times this season. As a team, Tampa Bay has allowed 7.89 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.55 batters per nine. They are 6th in the league in team earned run average at 3.33. The Rays pitchers as a team have surrendered 147 base knocks and 62 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 21 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Tampa Bay as a staff has walked 41 hitters and struck out 178. They give up a walk 2.2 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.12 while their FIP as a staff is 3.41.
As a team, they are batting .224, good for 28th in the league while putting together a .211 average at home. The Rays hold a .391 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .292 which is good for 28th in baseball. They rank 29th in baseball with 7.37 hits per contest. Evan Longoria comes into this matchup batting .253 and he has an OBP of .289. He has 20 hits this year along with 10 runs scored and 9 RBI. He's struck out 16 times and has walked on 4 occasions. Logan Forsythe is hitting .290 and he has an OBP of .364. He has collected 20 hits so far while he's scored 12 runs and drove in 8. He has earned a walk 7 times and has punched out 19 times. The Rays as a unit have 140 base hits, including 32 doubles and 23 homers. They have 8 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 6 times. Tampa Bay as a team has walked 48 times this year and they have struck out 178 times. They've had 121 men left on base and have an OPS of .682. They score 3.53 runs per game and have totaled 67 runs so far this season.
Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends
The Baltimore Orioles are 6-11-1 against the over/under so far this season
The Baltimore Orioles are 10-8-0 against the run line so far this season
Tampa Bay Rays Betting Trends
The Tampa Bay Rays are 5-11-3 against the over/under so far this season
The Tampa Bay Rays are 9-10-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
04/23/16 P Yovani Gallardo Shoulder 15-day DL (4/23)
03/31/16 3B Jimmy Paredes Wrist 15-day DL (3/25)
Tampa Bay Rays
04/10/16 P Chase Whitley Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Brad Boxberge Abdominal 15-day DL (3/25)
04/01/16 P Alex Cobb Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
Guy's Pick: Take the Orioles
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