Saturday, July 16, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Chris Tillman vs. Matt Moore
The Baltimore Orioles visit Tropicana Field on Saturday to play the Tampa Bay Rays. The probable starters are Chris Tillman for the Orioles and Matt Moore for the Rays. The opening line for this matchup has Baltimore at -123 and Tampa Bay at +113. The over/under was set at 8.5. The Orioles have a 45-39-3 over/under record and a 49-38-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 56% of the time. The Rays are 35-53-0 against the run line and have a 39-43-6 over/under record. They cover the spread 40% of the time.
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The Orioles head into this matchup with a 51-36 record, including 18-22 on the road. Starting pitcher Chris Tillman has a 12-2 record with an earned run average of 3.41 and a WHIP of 1.23. He has 98 strikeouts over his 113.1 innings pitched and he has given up 96 hits so far this season. He has allowed 7.6 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.27. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.12 and they have given up 280 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .243 against the bullpen while being struck out 278 times and walking 123 times this season. As a team, Baltimore has allowed 9.26 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.59 batters per nine. They are 16th in the league in team earned run average at 4.35. The Orioles pitchers have collectively given up 795 base hits and 374 earned runs. They have allowed 99 home runs this season and they allow 1.2 homers per nine innings as a staff. Baltimore as a pitching staff has walked 302 batters and struck out 652. They walk 3.5 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.42 and their FIP as a unit is 4.43.
As a team, Baltimore is batting .272, good for 4th in the league while putting together a .266 average away from home. The Orioles hold a .467 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .333 which is good for 8th in baseball. They rank 4th in baseball with 9.43 hits per game. Manny Machado comes into this game hitting .318 and his on-base percentage is at .375. He has 109 hits this season along with 62 runs scored and 53 runs batted in. He's struck out 65 times and has walked 30 times. Mark Trumbo is hitting .288 and he has an on-base percentage of .341. He has totaled 100 hits so far while scoring 55 runs and he's driven in 68. He has walked 26 times and has struck out 99 times. The Orioles have 820 hits, including 169 doubles and 137 home runs. They've stolen 12 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 9 times. Baltimore has walked 264 times this season and they've struck out 743 times as a unit. They've left 590 men on base and have a team OPS of .800. They score 5.08 runs per contest and have scored a total of 442 runs so far this year.
Tampa Bay comes into this matchup with a 18-28 home record and a 34-54 overall mark. With an earned run average of 4.46, Matt Moore has a 5-6 record and a 1.33 WHIP. He has 97 strikeouts over the 109 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 112 hits. He has allowed 9.2 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.59. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.79 and they have given up 276 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .268 against the Rays bullpen while being struck out 235 times and walking 96 times this season. As a team, Tampa Bay has allowed 9.11 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.54 batters per nine. They are 24th in the league in team earned run average at 4.57. The Rays pitchers as a team have surrendered 783 base knocks and 393 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 116 home runs this year and they give up 1.3 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Tampa Bay as a staff has walked 269 hitters and struck out 734. They give up a walk 3.1 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.5 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.36 while their FIP as a staff is 4.35.
As a team, they are batting .240, good for 27th in the league while putting together a .231 average at home. The Rays hold a .420 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .306 which is good for 25th in baseball. They rank 25th in baseball with 8.08 hits per contest. Evan Longoria comes into this matchup batting .289 and he has an OBP of .337. He has 99 hits this year along with 47 runs scored and 47 RBI. He's struck out 82 times and has walked on 25 occasions. Logan Forsythe is hitting .285 and he has an OBP of .349. He has collected 67 hits so far while he's scored 34 runs and drove in 21. He has earned a walk 20 times and has punched out 55 times. The Rays as a unit have 711 base hits, including 151 doubles and 118 homers. They have 31 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 21 times. Tampa Bay as a team has walked 252 times this year and they have struck out 812 times. They've had 591 men left on base and have an OPS of .726. They score 3.91 runs per game and have totaled 344 runs so far this season.
Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends
The Baltimore Orioles are 45-39-3 against the over/under so far this season
The Baltimore Orioles are 49-38-0 against the run line so far this season
Tampa Bay Rays Betting Trends
The Tampa Bay Rays are 39-43-6 against the over/under so far this season
The Tampa Bay Rays are 35-53-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
07/11/16 LF Hyun-soo Kim Leg left last game, "?" Friday vs. Tampa Bay Rays
07/01/16 P T.J. McFarland Knee 15-day DL (6/29)
06/21/16 P Brian Duensing Elbow 15-day DL (6/20)
06/04/16 P Darren O'Day Hamstring 15-day DL (6/3)
Tampa Bay Rays
07/13/16 CF Kevin Kiermaier Hand 15-day DL (5/22); expected to be activated Friday vs. Baltimore Orioles
07/04/16 LF Desmond Jennings Hamstring 15-day DL (7/1)
06/21/16 CF Mike Mahtook Hand 15-day DL (6/21)
06/21/16 2B Steve Pearce Hamstring 15-day DL (6/21)
06/02/16 P Brad Boxberger Oblique 15-day DL (6/1)
04/10/16 P Chase Whitley Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/01/16 P Alex Cobb Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
Guy's Pick: Take the Orioles
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